3510 Corinne Ct · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
$218,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 3510 Corinne Ct in Katy, TX! This charming one-story home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a warm, inviting layout perfect for everyday living. Inside, you’ll find a combination of wood, tile, and carpet flooring, with new wood floors and baseboards completed in 2026. The spacious living area features vaulted ceilings and a cozy fireplace, flowing seamlessly into the kitchen and dining spaces. Enjoy the private backyard retreat with mature trees, a relaxing sitting area, and plenty of room to entertain. Fresh exterior paint adds to the home’s curb appeal, making this move-in ready property a wonderful opportunity in the heart of Katy! Buyer to independently veri
Key facts
- 6,834 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1985
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area listed as 1,454
- HOA & community: Association: Spectrum; Annual association fee of $533 covering common areas
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1985; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick and wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Paved driveway; Porch; Private yard; Located on a cul-de-sac in a subdivision; Concrete road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Pantry; Tile countertops
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (First level); Bedroom (First level); Bedroom (First level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Engineered hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Double vanity in at least one bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (Gas); Central air conditioning (Electric); Attic fan
- Interior features: Gas fireplace; Double vanity; Entrance foyer; Pantry; Tile counters; Tub/shower combination; Vanity; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $218k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-180 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (14.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (10.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Jack & Sharon Rhoads El (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,462 of 4,322 statewide, top 34%, 796 students, 79% FRL); Cardiff J H (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 863 students, 84% FRL); Mayde Creek H S (math 42% / reading 54%, grade D, #571 of 1,632 statewide, top 36%, 2,940 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 27% district-wide (53 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Katy ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.54%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $237,002
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3322 Brackenfern Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (+1%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $163 | 78 |
| 19519 Tigris Springs Cir | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (+8%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $169 | 65 |
| 19115 Winding Branch Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,447 (-0%) | 3mo | $207,500 | $143 | 64 |
| 19311 Winding Branch Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,479 (+2%) | 7mo | $203,000 | $137 | 63 |
| 19423 Indian Grass Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,582 (+9%) | 2mo | $233,000 | $147 | 61 |
| 3210 Windmoor Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,588 (+9%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $167 | 61 |
| 19422 Wildoats Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,513 (+4%) | 12mo | $255,000 | $169 | 61 |
| 19523 Cypress Moss Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,424 (-2%) | 4mo | $239,999 | $169 | 61 |
| 19923 Ricewood Way | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,588 (+9%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $161 | 58 |
| 19910 Eastman Pl | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,642 (+13%) | 10mo | $169,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 19119 Mossy Hedge Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,509 (+4%) | 12mo | $259,900 | $172 | 54 |
| 19446 Lazy Valley Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+6%) | 10mo | $199,900 | $130 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.27% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-36,087
- Equity at exit
- $49,803
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-52,601
- Equity at exit
- $49,930
Cash invested: $61,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77449
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 763
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,956 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,143
- Tax from tax record
- −$447 /mo · $5,362/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$44
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $-180
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-56 | -5% $-118 | +0% $-180 | +5% $-242 | +10% $-303 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-334 | -5% $-257 | +0% $-180 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-25 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-70 | -0.5pp $-124 | base $-180 | +0.5pp $-236 | +1.0pp $-294 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,500
- Closing costs
- $6,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19403 Misty Cove Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1714 | $1,999 | $1.17 | 6d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 19776 Clay Rd Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,475 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 20098 Morton Rd Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,276 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 19770 Clay Rd Katy, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $1,818 | $1.81 | 0d | 14 | 0.62mi |
| 4315 N Fry Rd Katy, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1091 | $2,419 | $2.22 | 0d | 368 | 0.84mi |
| 19434 Brook Village Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1822 | $1,950 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 19319 Cypress Arbor Ct Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1794 | $1,890 | $1.05 | 0d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3130 Birchleaf Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,840 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 20102 Twilight Canyon Rd Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1633 | $3,395 | $2.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4211 Falcon Meadow Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,795 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3427 W Rainmill Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 19407 Dawn Canyon Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1576 | $1,716 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2622 Broomsedge Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $1,050 | $0.60 | 6d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2919 Amber Cliff Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $1,900 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2607 Cypressvine Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $2,000 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 19138 Morton Rd Unit TOBC2 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $1,745 | $1.60 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2606 Olster Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1527 | $1,571 | $1.03 | 6d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2603 N Fry Rd Katy, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $2,213 | $2.32 | 0d | 38 | 1.24mi |
| 4711 Meadowbloom Ln Unit A2 Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 20014 Windcroft Hollow Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,689 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4607 Cypress Colony Ln Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,950 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 18747 Denise Dale Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,695 | $1.49 | 6d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 19638 Southaven Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1684 | $1,769 | $1.05 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 19930 Franz Rd Katy, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,439 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2411 Shady Brook Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1715 | $1,841 | $1.07 | 0d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $44 · $528/yr
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $218,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $218,000 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$218,000 Active
-
2026-05-21historical $218,000
-
2007-03-30soldstatus
-
2004-07-13soldstatus
-
2004-05-11historical
-
2004-02-11$100,500
-
1993-02-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,362 · $447/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,362 · $447/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,211
- − Property taxes
- −$5,362
- − Insurance
- −$1,090
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,877
- − Management
- −$1,877
- − HOA
- −$528
- − Depreciation
- −$6,342
- Taxable loss
- −$5,819
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,397
- After-tax cash flow
- $-761/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Katy ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825170
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,312
- Composite
- 56.59/100
- National rank
- #1146
- State rank
- #29 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 130,028
- Household income
- $87,808
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3088.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Two or more races 22% Black 20% White 19% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.27%
- Current HPI
- 254.6622
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.86%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+116.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $218,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $218,000 HARMLS
- 2007-03-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-07-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-05-11 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2004-02-11 Listed $100,500 HARMLS
- 1993-02-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,362 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…