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4619 SW I Ave
B- Composite 67.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

4619 SW I Ave · Lawton, OK 73505
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,317 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1969 0.25 ac lot Est $136k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property. Currently rented, the tenant wants to remain in the home. 3 bedrooms, extra living area w/ built-in in the garage. Call listing agent, Brenda Spencer-Ragland, 580-512-0591 for an appointment to see the home, it is an As-Is listing, the owner will do no repairs.

Key facts

  • Exterior paint
  • Newer roof
  • Two living areas

Tags

GLASS FRONT CABINETSDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMTWO LIVING AREASNEWER ROOFEXTERIOR PAINT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage (converted garage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built on 0.25 acre lot
  • Exterior features: Chain link fence; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Oven; Gas water heater
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Window coverings; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 6.1% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
  • Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Almor West Es (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #311 of 845 statewide, top 40%, 261 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Ms (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #90 of 345 statewide, top 27%, 1,035 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Hs (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #215 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 1,350 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $115k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.41%
Cash-on-cash
11.12%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$135,651
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4634 SW J Ave 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,300 (-1%) 9mo $131,500 $101 84
4536 SW Atom Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-1%) 0mo $70,000 $54 76
4703 SW K Cir 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,400 (+6%) 5mo $154,000 $110 74
4508 SW Cherokee Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,300 (-1%) 4mo $127,000 $98 72
706 SW 49th St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,200 (-9%) 6mo $25,000 $21 71
4627 SW Atom Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+6%) 1mo $152,500 $109 70
1114 SW 45th St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,200 (-9%) 7mo $69,500 $58 62
4629 SW Atom Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-9%) 1mo $124,000 $103 62
308 SW 52nd 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+10%) 8mo $133,500 $92 55
7 SW 49th St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-9%) 6mo $154,500 $129 50
306 SW 52nd St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+14%) 8mo $156,000 $104 47
4133 SW Parkridge Blvd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+14%) 1mo $217,000 $145 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$3,109
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$38,944
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73505

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
398
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $601/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $887
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $363 -5% $331 +0% $298 +5% $266 +10% $233
Rent -10% $198 -5% $248 +0% $298 +5% $348 +10% $398
Rate -1.0pp $356 -0.5pp $328 base $298 +0.5pp $269 +1.0pp $238

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $115,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
  18. 2026-05-04
    listed $115,000 Active
  19. 2024-03-11
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2024-02-20
    price $100,000
  21. 2024-02-02
    price $110,000
  22. 2024-01-16
    listed $115,000 Active
  23. 2021-12-02
    soldstatus $44,000 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    Great investment property. Currently rented, the tenant wants to remain in the home. 3 bedrooms, extra living area w/ built-in in the garage. Call listing agent, Brenda Spencer-Ragland, 580-512-0591 for an appointment to see the home, it is an As-Is listing, the owner will do no repairs.

  24. 2021-10-08
    listed $45,000 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    Great investment property. Currently rented, the tenant wants to remain in the home. 3 bedrooms, extra living area w/ built-in in the garage. Call listing agent, Brenda Spencer-Ragland, 580-512-0591 for an appointment to see the home, it is an As-Is listing, the owner will do no repairs.

  25. 2004-05-14
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$601 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,035 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$434/yr (+$36/mo · 72.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,181
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$601
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,214
− Management
−$1,214
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,789
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$429
After-tax cash flow
$3,151/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawton
NCES district ID
4017250
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,618
Composite
19.68/100
National rank
#8732
State rank
#137 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lawton

Score
63/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#15131

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lawton, OK
County
Comanche County · 96,361 people
City population
89,233
Metro
Lawton, OK
Population (ZIP)
47,790
Household income
$58,272
Rent vs Own
48.2% rent · 51.8% own
Severe rent burden
1986.0

Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
124,518 people
By 2030
124,231 · -0.2%
By 2040
122,193 · -1.9%
By 2050
120,368 · -3.3%
By 2075
120,492 · -3.2%
By 2100
123,113 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Comanche

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.88%
Current HPI
169.4524
Rent YoY
▲ 5.14%
Metro
Lawton, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+109.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $115,000 LBRMLS
  • 2024-03-11 Contingent LBRMLS
  • 2024-02-20 Price Changed $100,000 LBRMLS
  • 2024-02-02 Price Changed $110,000 LBRMLS
  • 2024-01-16 Listed $115,000 LBRMLS
  • 2021-12-02 Sold (MLS) $44,000 LBRMLS
  • 2021-10-08 Listed $45,000 LBRMLS
  • 2004-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $601 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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