800 Audrey Ct · Endicott, NY
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.07%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ranch-style home situated on a level lot at the end of a cul-de-sac. This property offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, along with an open basement providing additional space and potential. The rear yard is level and bordered by mature trees, offering a pleasant outdoor setting. Conveniently located near parks and shopping. The home requires renovation to be habitable and is being sold strictly as-is. Cash purchase required.
Key facts
- Rear yard
- Near shopping
- Level lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-845/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (6.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Ann G Mcguinness Elementar School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 317 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.63%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $163,608
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 Carrie Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,202 (-0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $125 | 83 |
| 804 Glendale Dr | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,282 (+7%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $51 | 70 |
| 207 N Page Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,196 (-1%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $142 | 68 |
| 812 Morlando Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (+14%) | 5mo | $183,000 | $134 | 67 |
| 607 Wallace St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (-7%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $147 | 65 |
| 201 Sliter Pl | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,177 (-2%) | 7mo | $196,201 | $167 | 58 |
| 915 Harvard St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,078 (-10%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $162 | 54 |
| 505 N Page Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,364 (+13%) | 3mo | $158,500 | $116 | 53 |
| 720 Grant St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,360 (+13%) | 9mo | $132,500 | $97 | 53 |
| 124 W Wendell St. St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,143 (-5%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $136 | 52 |
| 101 Frey Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,236 (+3%) | 7mo | $118,558 | $96 | 49 |
| 628 June St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (-15%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $151 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-17,336
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $4,874
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13760
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,302 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$448 /mo · $5,377/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $-70
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $313 | -5% $-38 | +0% $-70 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-136 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-173 | -5% $-122 | +0% $-70 | +5% $-19 | +10% $32 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-13 | -0.5pp $-41 | base $-70 | +0.5pp $-100 | +1.0pp $-131 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 469 Glendale Dr Unit 35 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1 Jane Lacey Dr Endicott, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $1,305 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 207 S Loder Ave Unit D-15 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $925 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 404 Exchange Ave Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 800 North St Unit 1 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 804 Broad St Unit 2 Endicott, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 228 Airport Rd Unit 1 Endicott, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,075 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-03-02status Pending
-
2026-02-23$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,377 · $448/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,377 · $448/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X · 7% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,625
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$5,377
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,250
- − Management
- −$1,250
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$2,614
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$627
- After-tax cash flow
- $-218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union-Endicott Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610710
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,265
- Composite
- 42.66/100
- National rank
- #3176
- State rank
- #387 of 590 in NY
Livability — Endicott
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #438
- US rank
- #7657
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Broome County · 126,805 people
- City population
- 42,896
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,896
- Household income
- $66,095
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.29%
- Current HPI
- 270.2661
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.09%
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Pending — GBAOR
- 2026-02-23 Listed $115,000 GBAOR
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,377 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…