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563 Clark St
B+ Composite 75.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$74,000

563 Clark St · Waverly, NY 14892
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,510 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1940 8,712 sqft lot $49/sqft · 62% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom handymay special. Ready for a flipper or hands on buyer with a vision to complete this home. Sold as is, this is the perfect opportunity to tailor the home to your desires. Priced to reflect renovation needs, this home offers a strong return on investemnt. Turn this home into your vision.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 107 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 4.6% in Waverly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#569 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Waverly Central School District (town): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #480 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($512 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
  • Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,340 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
13.82%
Cash-on-cash
26.89%
DSCR
2.20
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,302
List price
$74,000
Delta
-61.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
534 Waverly St St 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (+1%) 7mo $210,000 $138 80
126 Chemung St 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (+4%) 1mo $33,500 $21 70
33 Cadwell Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,376 (-9%) 9mo $175,000 $127 66
12 Lincoln Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,396 (-8%) 7mo $39,000 $28 63
30 & 32 Spring St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,410 (-7%) 12mo $134,600 $95 59
429 Spaulding St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,464 (-3%) 5mo $164,300 $112 57
110 1/2 Providence St 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,634 (+8%) 2mo $120,000 $73 55
679 Walker Hill Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,609 (+7%) 6mo $200,000 $124 54
417 Loder Street St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,312 (-13%) 10mo $95,000 $72 45
13 Ithaca St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-11%) 8mo $181,000 $135 42
20 Court St 0.69mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,688 (+12%) 3mo $265,000 $157 37
121 Park Pl 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (-14%) 8mo $185,000 $143 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$34,161
Equity at exit
$32,354
10-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
5.17×
Total profit
$86,321
Equity at exit
$49,158

Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14892

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,281 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$388
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,541/yr
Insurance
$31
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $763
Max offer price $74,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,500
Closing costs
$2,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,000 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,000 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,000 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $74,000 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $78,000 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,000 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,000 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-03-03
    listed $78,000 Active 311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (311 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom handymay special. Ready for a flipper or hands on buyer with a vision to complete this home. Sold as is, this is the perfect opportunity to tailor the home to your desires. Priced to reflect renovation needs, this home offers a strong return on investemnt. Turn this home into your vision.

  16. 2022-11-10
    soldstatus $55,000
  17. 2022-11-04
    soldstatus $55,000 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    2 Bedroom 1 1/2 Bath house on nice lot on quiet side street; Eat in kitchen; formal dining room; living room; office; and full bath on first floor. Updated electric and water heater. Natural gas furance. Greater starter home! Could easily be set up to have a downstairs bedroom instead of a dining room!

  18. 2022-05-24
    listed $64,000 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    2 Bedroom 1 1/2 Bath house on nice lot on quiet side street; Eat in kitchen; formal dining room; living room; office; and full bath on first floor. Updated electric and water heater. Natural gas furance. Greater starter home! Could easily be set up to have a downstairs bedroom instead of a dining room!

  19. 2004-12-08
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,541 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,541 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,366
− Mortgage interest
−$4,145
− Property taxes
−$1,541
− Insurance
−$1,036
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,229
− Management
−$1,229
− Depreciation
−$2,153
Taxable income
$4,033
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$968
After-tax cash flow
$3,938/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waverly Central School District
NCES district ID
3630270
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$44,935
Composite
36.9/100
National rank
#4544
State rank
#480 of 590 in NY

Livability — Waverly

Score
67/100
State rank
#569
US rank
#10246

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waverly, NY
Population (ZIP)
7,531

Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,155 people
By 2030
42,801 · -5.2%
By 2040
37,960 · -15.9%
By 2050
33,071 · -26.8%
By 2075
24,144 · -46.5%
By 2100
16,545 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tioga

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.9) · D 38.6% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -22.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.9 2020: R+20.6 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.78%
Current HPI
236.7714
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+212.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $78,000 NMPA
  • 2022-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-04 Sold (MLS) $55,000 NMPA
  • 2022-05-24 Listed $64,000 NMPA
  • 2004-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,541 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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