563 Clark St · Waverly, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$74,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom handymay special. Ready for a flipper or hands on buyer with a vision to complete this home. Sold as is, this is the perfect opportunity to tailor the home to your desires. Priced to reflect renovation needs, this home offers a strong return on investemnt. Turn this home into your vision.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 107 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 4.6% in Waverly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#569 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Waverly Central School District (town): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #480 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($512 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.89%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $194,302
- List price
- $74,000
- Delta
- -61.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 534 Waverly St St | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+1%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $138 | 80 |
| 126 Chemung St | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,564 (+4%) | 1mo | $33,500 | $21 | 70 |
| 33 Cadwell Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (-9%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $127 | 66 |
| 12 Lincoln Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,396 (-8%) | 7mo | $39,000 | $28 | 63 |
| 30 & 32 Spring St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,410 (-7%) | 12mo | $134,600 | $95 | 59 |
| 429 Spaulding St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (-3%) | 5mo | $164,300 | $112 | 57 |
| 110 1/2 Providence St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,634 (+8%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $73 | 55 |
| 679 Walker Hill Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,609 (+7%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $124 | 54 |
| 417 Loder Street St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (-13%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $72 | 45 |
| 13 Ithaca St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-11%) | 8mo | $181,000 | $135 | 42 |
| 20 Court St | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,688 (+12%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $157 | 37 |
| 121 Park Pl | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-14%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $143 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $34,161
- Equity at exit
- $32,354
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.17×
- Total profit
- $86,321
- Equity at exit
- $49,158
Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14892
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,281 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$388
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,541/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $409
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,500
- Closing costs
- $2,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $74,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $74,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $78,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $78,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-03-03$78,000 Active 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
3 Bedroom, 2 bathroom handymay special. Ready for a flipper or hands on buyer with a vision to complete this home. Sold as is, this is the perfect opportunity to tailor the home to your desires. Priced to reflect renovation needs, this home offers a strong return on investemnt. Turn this home into your vision.
-
2022-11-10soldstatus $55,000
-
2022-11-04soldstatus $55,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
2 Bedroom 1 1/2 Bath house on nice lot on quiet side street; Eat in kitchen; formal dining room; living room; office; and full bath on first floor. Updated electric and water heater. Natural gas furance. Greater starter home! Could easily be set up to have a downstairs bedroom instead of a dining room!
-
2022-05-24$64,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
2 Bedroom 1 1/2 Bath house on nice lot on quiet side street; Eat in kitchen; formal dining room; living room; office; and full bath on first floor. Updated electric and water heater. Natural gas furance. Greater starter home! Could easily be set up to have a downstairs bedroom instead of a dining room!
-
2004-12-08soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,541 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,541 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,366
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,145
- − Property taxes
- −$1,541
- − Insurance
- −$1,036
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,229
- − Management
- −$1,229
- − Depreciation
- −$2,153
- Taxable income
- $4,033
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$968
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,938/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waverly Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630270
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,935
- Composite
- 36.9/100
- National rank
- #4544
- State rank
- #480 of 590 in NY
Livability — Waverly
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #569
- US rank
- #10246
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waverly, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,531
Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,155 people
- By 2030
- 42,801 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 37,960 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 33,071 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 24,144 · -46.5%
- By 2100
- 16,545 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tioga
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.9) · D 38.6% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -22.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.9 2020: R+20.6 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- Current HPI
- 236.7714
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+212.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Listed $78,000 NMPA
- 2022-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-04 Sold (MLS) $55,000 NMPA
- 2022-05-24 Listed $64,000 NMPA
- 2004-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,541 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…