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3107 N Molleck Dr
B- Composite 69.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

3107 N Molleck Dr · Peoria, IL 61604
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 757 sqft · Condo public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1978 $142/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome To This Single Story Condo Featuring Classic Brick Low Maintenance Exterior And Has An Attached Garage. This Offers Convenience, Comfort And Easy Living. Enjoy The Covered Screened in Patio Perfect For Relaxing With Comfortable Shade, Natural Light And Peaceful Views Of The Backyard. Nice Updated Kitchen With Ample Cabinet Storage, Generous Counter Space With Light-Colored Cabinetry Contrasts Beautifully With Modern Wall Colors And Lighting Creating A Stylish And Inviting Atmosphere. Also, Updated Bath Sink, Toilet, And Flooring. Bathroom Includes A Walk-In Shower With Safety Features. Updated Furnace And Central Air In 2024. Water Heater In 2021. Roof In 2013. Condo Fees Include

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Updated kitchen
  • Updated bath sink

Tags

ATTACHED GARAGECOVERED SCREENED IN PATIOUPDATED KITCHENAMPLE CABINET STORAGEGENEROUS COUNTER SPACEUPDATED BATH SINK

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association fee: $142 (includes snow removal and lawn care)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Attached property; 1 story
  • Construction: Built in 1978; No basement
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with tile flooring; approximate dimensions 12' x 7'
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (Primary level: Bedroom 1 — 13' x 11'; Bedroom 2 — 11' x 9'); Egress windows in bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and living areas; Tile in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Electric water heater
  • Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Limestone Chsd 310 (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #486 of 919 in IL (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Limestone Community High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 924 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $53k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
12.05%
Cash-on-cash
20.57%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$9,306
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$32,659
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61604

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
180
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,143 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $354/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$142
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$335

Break-even live

Break-even rent $718
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $375 -5% $355 +0% $335 +5% $316 +10% $296
Rent -10% $245 -5% $290 +0% $335 +5% $381 +10% $426
Rate -1.0pp $371 -0.5pp $353 base $335 +0.5pp $317 +1.0pp $299

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3444 W Dorchester Rdg Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1089 $1,275 $1.17 14d 1 0.08mi
3438 W Villa Rdg Unit A Peoria, IL 2.0 1.5 874 $1,200 $1.37 21d 1 0.08mi
3601 N Kingston Dr Peoria, IL 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,420 $1.38 14d 3 0.46mi
2600 N Lavalle Ct Peoria, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 803 $1,000 $1.25 14d 26 0.51mi
2700 W Forrest Hill Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $850 $1.00 44d 1 0.68mi
2511 W Wardcliffe Dr Unit H Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 44d 1 0.83mi
2920 N Rockwood Dr Apt B Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $895 $1.12 14d 1 0.85mi
2109 N Abbey Cir Peoria, IL 3.0 2.0 1088 $1,009 $0.93 14d 1 0.96mi
2805 W Larchmont Ln Peoria, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 695 $1,060 $1.53 14d 3 0.99mi
2610 N Renwood Ave Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 904 $1,300 $1.44 14d 1 1.04mi
3629 N Leroy Ave Unit A Peoria, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 1.14mi
1801 N Gentry Ln West Peoria, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 14d 1 1.33mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$142 · $1,704/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$354 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$970 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$616/yr (+$51/mo · 174.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,711
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$354
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,097
− Management
−$1,097
− HOA
−$1,704
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$3,160
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$758
After-tax cash flow
$3,267/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Limestone Chsd 310
NCES district ID
1722950
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$49,759
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#11932
State rank
#486 of 919 in IL

Livability — Peoria

Score
73/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#5096

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, IL
County
Peoria County · 120,495 people
City population
114,670
Metro
Peoria, IL
Population (ZIP)
28,313
Household income
$52,414
Rent vs Own
32.0% rent · 68.0% own
Severe rent burden
815.0

Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
183,007 people
By 2030
179,643 · -1.8%
By 2040
171,782 · -6.1%
By 2050
163,508 · -10.7%
By 2075
140,178 · -23.4%
By 2100
114,493 · -37.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Peoria

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.15%
Current HPI
165.8838
Rent YoY
▲ 2.30%
Metro
Peoria, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $354 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…