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1209 Evergreen Rd Duplex
B- Composite 69.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

1209 Evergreen Rd · Rocky Mount, NC 27803
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,606 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1968 0.27 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Income-producing duplex in Rocky Mount, NC -- fully occupied and cash flowing from day one. This 1,606 sq. ft. duplex sits on a 0.27-acre lot and features two units: a 2-bedroom layout at 1209 Evergreen (leased at 750/mo) and a 2-bedroom unit at 1211 Evergreen (leased at 650/mo), generating 1,400/month in gross rental income. Built in 1968 and rated in good condition, the property has solid bones with room for value-add upside. Back on the market at no fault of the seller!

Key facts

  • Cash flowing
  • Value add upside
  • Two units

Tags

INCOME PRODUCING DUPLEXFULLY OCCUPIEDCASH FLOWINGTWO UNITSVALUE ADD UPSIDE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two-unit property; Owner pays: None
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex; One level
  • Construction: Concrete construction; Concrete/slab foundation; Architectural shingle roof; 1 building
  • Exterior features: Public-maintained road access; Lot of approximately 0.27 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Space heater; Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Linoleum flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $537/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $115k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
17.50%
Cash-on-cash
40.04%
DSCR
2.78
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,634
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1421 Blanton St 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,680 (+5%) 14mo $65,000 $39 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$55,558
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
46.6%
Equity multiple
6.01×
Total profit
$161,405
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27803

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,238 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $512/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$1,074

Break-even live

Break-even rent $878
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,139 -5% $1,107 +0% $1,074 +5% $1,042 +10% $1,009
Rent -10% $898 -5% $986 +0% $1,074 +5% $1,163 +10% $1,251
Rate -1.0pp $1,132 -0.5pp $1,104 base $1,074 +0.5pp $1,045 +1.0pp $1,014

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,238

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $115,000 Pending 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 59 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-05-08
    price $115,000
  8. 2026-04-30
    price $120,000
  9. 2026-04-20
    status Active
  10. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  11. 2026-03-28
    listed $125,000 Active
  12. 2024-08-23
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$512 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$943 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$431/yr (+$36/mo · 84.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,856
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$512
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,148
− Management
−$2,148
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$11,685
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,804
After-tax cash flow
$10,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nash-Rocky Mount Schools
NCES district ID
3703270
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$41,553
Composite
22.04/100
National rank
#8198
State rank
#155 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rocky Mount

Score
70/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#7692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rocky Mount, NC
County
Nash County · 50,768 people
City population
70,300
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
20,055
Household income
$60,124
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
641.0

Population outlook (Nash County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,107 people
By 2030
89,193 · -2.1%
By 2040
84,959 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,517 · -11.6%
By 2075
72,941 · -19.9%
By 2100
63,602 · -30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 44% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nash

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+0.9 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.95%
Current HPI
190.0204
Rent YoY
▲ 5.51%
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $115,000 TMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $120,000 TMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted TMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $125,000 TMLS
  • 2024-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $512 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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