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4912 N Saint Louis Ave
B- Composite 65.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.3/10.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0

$100,000

4912 N Saint Louis Ave · Tulsa, OK 74126
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 171 Days on market
Built 1942 8,757 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute, cozy, and move-in ready. This charming ranch style home is well maintained. It features a functional layout, inviting natural light, and a welcoming atmosphere throughout.

Key facts

  • 8,757 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1942

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Brick and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Chain link fencing; No additional exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Cooktop; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vinyl windows; Laminate countertops; No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
  • Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $100k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
11.22%
Cash-on-cash
17.60%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$53,064
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1551 E 51st St 0.18mi 3/1.0 816 (+3%) 4mo $55,000 $67 83
1542 E 51st St 0.15mi 3/1.0 792 (0%) 16mo $50,000 $63 79
1334 E 51 Pl 0.34mi 3/1.0 836 (+6%) 6mo $42,000 $50 70
4940 N Trenton Ave 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (+9%) 11mo $83,000 $96 68
1582 E 51st Pl N 0.23mi 3/1.0 816 (+3%) 22mo $50,000 $61 66
4855 N Johnstown Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 726 (-8%) 9mo $112,000 $154 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$9,901
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$42,105
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74126

Home prices YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,258 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $207/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$411

Break-even live

Break-even rent $738
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $467 -5% $439 +0% $411 +5% $268 +10% $234
Rent -10% $311 -5% $361 +0% $411 +5% $460 +10% $510
Rate -1.0pp $461 -0.5pp $436 base $411 +0.5pp $385 +1.0pp $358

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5135 N Utica Ave Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 24d 1 0.24mi
1530 E 52nd St N Tulsa, OK 3.0 2.0 1042 $1,500 $1.44 2d 1 0.26mi
2014 E 49th St N Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 970 $1,100 $1.13 24d 1 0.32mi
1553 E 53rd St N Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 2d 1 0.33mi
4908 N Hartford Ave Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 2d 1 0.89mi
5510 N Johnstown Ave Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 972 $995 $1.02 2d 1 0.89mi
5519 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,200 $1.12 22d 1 1.05mi
5618 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 904 $1,100 $1.22 22d 1 1.13mi
5731 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 912 $925 $1.01 2d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 171 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 170 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 169 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $100,000 Active 168 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 168 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 166 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 163 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 162 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 161 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 160 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,000 Active 157 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 156 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 155 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 154 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 153 DOM
  16. 2025-12-29
    listed $139,000 Active
  17. 1987-08-20
    soldstatus $27,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$207 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$900 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$693/yr (+$58/mo · 334.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,098
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$207
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,208
− Management
−$1,208
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$3,465
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$832
After-tax cash flow
$4,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tulsa
NCES district ID
4030240
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$37,895
Composite
8.04/100
National rank
#9919
State rank
#250 of 270 in OK

Livability — Tulsa

Score
75/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#4058

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tulsa, OK
County
Osage County · 26,244 people
City population
389,418
Metro
Tulsa, OK
Population (ZIP)
9,920
Household income
$42,172
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
417.0

Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
723,846 people
By 2030
766,033 · +5.8%
By 2040
851,386 · +17.6%
By 2050
938,389 · +29.6%
By 2075
1,166,011 · +61.1%
By 2100
1,350,277 · +86.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Native American 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa

2024 margin
R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.45%
Current HPI
253.7105
Rent YoY
Metro
Tulsa, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+405.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $139,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 1987-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $207 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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