4912 N Saint Louis Ave · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.3/10.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cute, cozy, and move-in ready. This charming ranch style home is well maintained. It features a functional layout, inviting natural light, and a welcoming atmosphere throughout.
Key facts
- 8,757 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1942
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Brick and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Chain link fencing; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Cooktop; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl windows; Laminate countertops; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $100k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.60%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $53,064
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1551 E 51st St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (+3%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $67 | 83 |
| 1542 E 51st St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 792 (0%) | 16mo | $50,000 | $63 | 79 |
| 1334 E 51 Pl | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 836 (+6%) | 6mo | $42,000 | $50 | 70 |
| 4940 N Trenton Ave | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+9%) | 11mo | $83,000 | $96 | 68 |
| 1582 E 51st Pl N | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (+3%) | 22mo | $50,000 | $61 | 66 |
| 4855 N Johnstown Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 726 (-8%) | 9mo | $112,000 | $154 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $9,901
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $42,105
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74126
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,258 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $207/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $411
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $467 | -5% $439 | +0% $411 | +5% $268 | +10% $234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $311 | -5% $361 | +0% $411 | +5% $460 | +10% $510 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $461 | -0.5pp $436 | base $411 | +0.5pp $385 | +1.0pp $358 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5135 N Utica Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1530 E 52nd St N Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,500 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2014 E 49th St N Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,100 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1553 E 53rd St N Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4908 N Hartford Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5510 N Johnstown Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $995 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5519 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5618 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5731 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $925 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $100,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2025-12-29$139,000 Active
-
1987-08-20soldstatus $27,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $207 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $900 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$693/yr (+$58/mo · 334.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,098
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$207
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,208
- − Management
- −$1,208
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $3,465
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$832
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,096/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- County
- Osage County · 26,244 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,920
- Household income
- $42,172
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 417.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.45%
- Current HPI
- 253.7105
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+405.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-29 Listed $139,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1987-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $207 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…