114 Hawthorne Rd · Sunbury, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ONLINE REAL ESTATE AUCTION. LIST PRICE IS MINIMIUM RESERVE. PLEASE SEE AGENT TO AGENT REMARKS FOR INSTRUCTIONS. Opportunity knocks. .. This ranch-style home offers nearly 1,800 square feet with 4 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a layout that gives you room to spread out. The main living area opens up nicely, and the additional rec space creates flexibility for a home office, playroom, or second living area. The owner's bedroom features a walk-in closet and overlooks the backyard, while the rec room shares the same natural backdrop. Step outside to a fenced yard with a large patio and peaceful views of the treetops along Big Walnut Creek. Located in the Big Walnut school district, this home offers space, setting, and a chance to make it your own.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Large patio
- Ranch style home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $856 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.7% in Sunbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#274 in OH, #4,498 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Big Walnut Local (rural): math 68% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #103 of 656 in OH (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Big Walnut Elementary School (math 77% / reading 77%, grade A, #221 of 1,584 statewide, top 16%, 387 students, 10% FRL); Big Walnut Middle School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A, #115 of 654 statewide, top 18%, 635 students, 13% FRL); Big Walnut High School (math 57% / reading 79%, grade B, #133 of 781 statewide, top 17%, 1,226 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 249 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,233 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (304 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.35%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $307,082
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -59.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Hawthorne Rd | 0.00mi | 4/1.5 | 1,476 (0%) | 0mo | $239,800 | $162 | 100 |
| 291 Hawthorne Rd | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,499 (+2%) | 8mo | $349,990 | $233 | 75 |
| 366 Orchard Ln | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-5%) | 9mo | $310,000 | $221 | 74 |
| 164 Hawthorne Rd | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,536 (+4%) | 12mo | $315,000 | $205 | 73 |
| 165 Letts Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,474 (-0%) | 10mo | $290,000 | $197 | 71 |
| 125 Harrison St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,418 (-4%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $205 | 64 |
| 111 S Vernon St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,464 (-1%) | 20mo | $285,000 | $195 | 53 |
| 40 N Vernon St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,400 (-5%) | 14mo | $269,625 | $193 | 52 |
| 98 S Vernon St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,411 (-4%) | 19mo | $335,000 | $237 | 51 |
| 202 N Columbus St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,581 (+7%) | 8mo | $370,000 | $234 | 45 |
| 233 Greenbrier Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,580 (+7%) | 12mo | $425,000 | $269 | 39 |
| 133 S Vernon St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-13%) | 14mo | $240,000 | $188 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $28,318
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $71,757
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43074
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,290 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$245 /mo · $2,945/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $856
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $927 | -5% $891 | +0% $856 | +5% $821 | +10% $785 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $675 | -5% $766 | +0% $856 | +5% $946 | +10% $1,037 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $919 | -0.5pp $888 | base $856 | +0.5pp $824 | +1.0pp $791 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291 Hawthorne Rd Sunbury, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1499 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 19d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 166 Carlton Manor DR Sunbury, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,985 | $2.04 | 0d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 150 Reed Way Sunbury, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 885 | $1,729 | $1.95 | 0d | 8 | 1.14mi |
| 2199 Rushmore Ln Sunbury, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1292 | $2,503 | $1.94 | 0d | 5 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 748-char remark
Show marketing remark (748 chars)
ONLINE REAL ESTATE AUCTION. LIST PRICE IS MINIMIUM RESERVE. PLEASE SEE AGENT TO AGENT REMARKS FOR INSTRUCTIONS. Opportunity knocks. .. This ranch-style home offers nearly 1,800 square feet with 4 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a layout that gives you room to spread out. The main living area opens up nicely, and the additional rec space creates flexibility for a home office, playroom, or second living area. The owner's bedroom features a walk-in closet and overlooks the backyard, while the rec room shares the same natural backdrop. Step outside to a fenced yard with a large patio and peaceful views of the treetops along Big Walnut Creek. Located in the Big Walnut school district, this home offers space, setting, and a chance to make it your own.
-
2026-04-13$125,000 Active 748-char remark
Show marketing remark (748 chars)
ONLINE REAL ESTATE AUCTION. LIST PRICE IS MINIMIUM RESERVE. PLEASE SEE AGENT TO AGENT REMARKS FOR INSTRUCTIONS. Opportunity knocks. .. This ranch-style home offers nearly 1,800 square feet with 4 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a layout that gives you room to spread out. The main living area opens up nicely, and the additional rec space creates flexibility for a home office, playroom, or second living area. The owner's bedroom features a walk-in closet and overlooks the backyard, while the rec room shares the same natural backdrop. Step outside to a fenced yard with a large patio and peaceful views of the treetops along Big Walnut Creek. Located in the Big Walnut school district, this home offers space, setting, and a chance to make it your own.
-
2017-05-18soldstatus $147,000
-
2017-05-15soldstatus $147,000 Closed 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Price reduced and possibility for NO DOWN PAYMENT! Back on the Market due to Buyer Financing. Fantastic Opportunity and Priced to Sell! A rare find, this charming ranch home has nearly 1800 square feet of living space with 4 bedrooms, 1 and a half bathrooms, a large open living space, and a rec room. The large owners bedroom offers a walk in closet and views of the back yard. The rec room also offers views of the back yard while giving ample space for a potential playroom, office area, or TV room. The fenced back yard has a large deck and offers privacy while allowing for views of abundant treetops that line the road behind the property and Big Walnut Creek. Big Walnut schools, a great layout, and tons of potential in this home.
-
2017-03-25historical Contingent Finance and Inspection 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Price reduced and possibility for NO DOWN PAYMENT! Back on the Market due to Buyer Financing. Fantastic Opportunity and Priced to Sell! A rare find, this charming ranch home has nearly 1800 square feet of living space with 4 bedrooms, 1 and a half bathrooms, a large open living space, and a rec room. The large owners bedroom offers a walk in closet and views of the back yard. The rec room also offers views of the back yard while giving ample space for a potential playroom, office area, or TV room. The fenced back yard has a large deck and offers privacy while allowing for views of abundant treetops that line the road behind the property and Big Walnut Creek. Big Walnut schools, a great layout, and tons of potential in this home.
-
2017-03-19price $149,900 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Price reduced and possibility for NO DOWN PAYMENT! Back on the Market due to Buyer Financing. Fantastic Opportunity and Priced to Sell! A rare find, this charming ranch home has nearly 1800 square feet of living space with 4 bedrooms, 1 and a half bathrooms, a large open living space, and a rec room. The large owners bedroom offers a walk in closet and views of the back yard. The rec room also offers views of the back yard while giving ample space for a potential playroom, office area, or TV room. The fenced back yard has a large deck and offers privacy while allowing for views of abundant treetops that line the road behind the property and Big Walnut Creek. Big Walnut schools, a great layout, and tons of potential in this home.
-
2017-03-16price $154,900 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Price reduced and possibility for NO DOWN PAYMENT! Back on the Market due to Buyer Financing. Fantastic Opportunity and Priced to Sell! A rare find, this charming ranch home has nearly 1800 square feet of living space with 4 bedrooms, 1 and a half bathrooms, a large open living space, and a rec room. The large owners bedroom offers a walk in closet and views of the back yard. The rec room also offers views of the back yard while giving ample space for a potential playroom, office area, or TV room. The fenced back yard has a large deck and offers privacy while allowing for views of abundant treetops that line the road behind the property and Big Walnut Creek. Big Walnut schools, a great layout, and tons of potential in this home.
-
2017-03-16status Active 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Price reduced and possibility for NO DOWN PAYMENT! Back on the Market due to Buyer Financing. Fantastic Opportunity and Priced to Sell! A rare find, this charming ranch home has nearly 1800 square feet of living space with 4 bedrooms, 1 and a half bathrooms, a large open living space, and a rec room. The large owners bedroom offers a walk in closet and views of the back yard. The rec room also offers views of the back yard while giving ample space for a potential playroom, office area, or TV room. The fenced back yard has a large deck and offers privacy while allowing for views of abundant treetops that line the road behind the property and Big Walnut Creek. Big Walnut schools, a great layout, and tons of potential in this home.
-
2017-03-08historical Contingent Finance and Inspection 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Price reduced and possibility for NO DOWN PAYMENT! Back on the Market due to Buyer Financing. Fantastic Opportunity and Priced to Sell! A rare find, this charming ranch home has nearly 1800 square feet of living space with 4 bedrooms, 1 and a half bathrooms, a large open living space, and a rec room. The large owners bedroom offers a walk in closet and views of the back yard. The rec room also offers views of the back yard while giving ample space for a potential playroom, office area, or TV room. The fenced back yard has a large deck and offers privacy while allowing for views of abundant treetops that line the road behind the property and Big Walnut Creek. Big Walnut schools, a great layout, and tons of potential in this home.
-
2017-03-04$164,900 Active 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Price reduced and possibility for NO DOWN PAYMENT! Back on the Market due to Buyer Financing. Fantastic Opportunity and Priced to Sell! A rare find, this charming ranch home has nearly 1800 square feet of living space with 4 bedrooms, 1 and a half bathrooms, a large open living space, and a rec room. The large owners bedroom offers a walk in closet and views of the back yard. The rec room also offers views of the back yard while giving ample space for a potential playroom, office area, or TV room. The fenced back yard has a large deck and offers privacy while allowing for views of abundant treetops that line the road behind the property and Big Walnut Creek. Big Walnut schools, a great layout, and tons of potential in this home.
-
2005-03-04soldstatus $116,000
-
2005-02-25soldstatus $116,000
-
2005-01-12historical
-
2004-07-12$118,000
-
1997-12-16soldstatus $85,000
-
1997-12-05soldstatus $85,000
-
1997-11-09historical
-
1997-10-10$89,900
-
1997-09-10historical
-
1997-04-12$185,900
-
1986-08-29soldstatus $42,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,945 · $245/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,945 · $245/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,479
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,945
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,198
- − Management
- −$2,198
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $8,874
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,130
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,142/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Big Walnut Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904674
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,890
- Composite
- 63.45/100
- National rank
- #617
- State rank
- #103 of 656 in OH
Livability — Sunbury
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #4498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunbury, OH
- County
- Delaware County · 203,207 people
- City population
- 16,873
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,873
- Household income
- $119,296
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 319.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,854 people
- By 2030
- 249,294 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 284,223 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 315,314 · +36.6%
- By 2075
- 379,462 · +64.4%
- By 2100
- 403,158 · +74.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 4% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.6) · D 46.2% · R 52.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.0pp toward D · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -6.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.6 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -313.60%
- Current HPI
- 260.7213
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.31%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+194.1% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $125,000 CBRMLS
- 2017-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
- 2017-05-15 Sold (MLS) $147,000 CBRMLS
- 2017-03-25 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2017-03-19 Price Changed $149,900 CBRMLS
- 2017-03-16 Price Changed $154,900 CBRMLS
- 2017-03-16 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2017-03-08 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2017-03-04 Listed $164,900 CBRMLS
- 2005-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
- 2005-02-25 Sold (MLS) $116,000 CBRMLS
- 2005-01-12 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2004-07-12 Listed $118,000 CBRMLS
- 1997-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 1997-12-05 Sold (MLS) $85,000 CBRMLS
- 1997-11-09 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1997-10-10 Listed $89,900 CBRMLS
- 1997-09-10 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1997-04-12 Listed $185,900 CBRMLS
- 1986-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,945 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…