7456 E Highway 80 · Hawkins, TX 75765

$179,999

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 670 sqft · Manufactured · 46 Days on market

Built 2017 2.00 ac lot ↓ 10% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.2/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.5/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• 1% rule +2.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.2/10.0

Listing remarks

2017 Park Model Home on 2 acres in Hawkins ISD! This well-maintained home is in pristine condition. Conveniently located on Highway 80, this property offers a rare combination of easy access and privacy—creating a secluded yet prime location just a few miles from Lake Hawkins. Enjoy peaceful surroundings and scenic views from every angle, with a spacious covered side patio—perfect for morning coffee or unwinding after a long day. A newly added ramp provides easy access to the porch, adding both convenience and functionality. Inside, the kitchen offers electric appliances along with ample counter and storage space. The bathroom includes a large walk-in shower and double sinks. Ad

Key facts

• Newly added ramp
• Secluded location
• Electric appliances

Tags

• 2 ACRES
• SECLUDED LOCATION
• SCENIC VIEWS
• COVERED SIDE PATIO
• NEWLY ADDED RAMP
• ELECTRIC APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Manufactured (mobile) home; Single-story
• Construction: Composition roof
• Exterior features: Porch; Storage structure

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Walk-in closet

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-172 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (13.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (24.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $136k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#196 in TX, #4,982 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
• Hawkins ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #339 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Hawkins El (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 383 students, 64% FRL); Hawkins H S / Middle (math 39% / reading 42%, grade F, #798 of 1,632 statewide, top 49%, 386 students, 59% FRL).
• Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
• Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $135,745 (24.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.75% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.15%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.08%
• DSCR: 0.82
• GRM: 11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.23×
• Total profit: $11,699
• Equity at exit: $81,915

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.11×
• Total profit: $55,877
• Equity at exit: $127,007

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75765

• Home prices YoY: 1.3%
• Active inventory: 216
• Price-to-rent: 11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,357 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$944
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$285
• Net cashflow: $-172

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,575

Max offer price $155,176

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $45,000
• Closing costs: $5,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $179,999 Active 46 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $179,999 Active 45 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $179,999 Active 44 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $179,999 Active 43 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $179,999 Active 42 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $179,999 Active 40 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $179,999 Active 39 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $179,999 Active 37 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $179,999 Active 36 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,999 Active 35 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,999 Active 34 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,999 Active 31 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,999 Active 30 DOM
14. 2026-06-03
    price $179,999 Active 29 DOM
15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,999 Active 29 DOM
16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,999 Active 28 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,999 Active 27 DOM
18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,999 Active 26 DOM
19. 2026-05-04
    listed $199,999 Active 921-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,289
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,083
• − Property taxes: −$2,700
• − Insurance: −$900
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,303
• − Management: −$1,303
• − Depreciation: −$5,236
• Taxable loss: −$5,236
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,257
• After-tax cash flow: $-802/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hawkins ISD
• NCES district ID: 4822770
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $43,119
• Composite: 35.91/100
• National rank: #4809
• State rank: #339 of 826 in TX

Livability — Hawkins

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #196
• US rank: #4982

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 8,195

Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 46,480 people
• By 2030: 47,796 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 50,142 · +7.9%
• By 2050: 52,122 · +12.1%
• By 2075: 57,033 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 56,418 · +21.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wood

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.8% · R 84.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -69.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+69.7 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+54.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.10%
• Current HPI: 236.7688
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-10.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-02 Price Changed $179,999 GTAR
• 2026-05-21 Price Changed $189,999 GTAR
• 2026-05-04 Listed $199,999 GTAR