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0 Kentucky 15
C Composite 56.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

0 Kentucky 15 · Stanton, KY 40380
2 bd · None ba · 640 sqft · SingleFamily · 49 Days on market
Poor condition 0.68 ac lot $117/sqft · 71% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled in the heart of Bowen, Kentucky, often called one of the area's best-kept secret. This . 68-acre property with public water access offers endless potential and breathtaking mountain views. Whether you choose to restore the existing fixer-upper cabin or start fresh and build your dream home, the opportunity here is yours to shape. Located just minutes from the Slade exit and the world-renowned Red River Gorge, you'll enjoy both convenience and the natural beauty that draws visitors from everywhere, yet still feel tucked away in a peaceful, close-knit community. With plenty of room for a garden, outdoor living, and space to grow, this property is perfect for creating your own slice of

Key facts

  • Public water access
  • Fixer-upper cabin
  • Outdoor living

Tags

PUBLIC WATER ACCESSMOUNTAIN VIEWSFIXER-UPPER CABINGARDEN SPACEOUTDOOR LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Powell County; Directions provided from downtown Stanton to KY-15 North
  • HOA & community: Located in the Red River Gorge subdivision

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank for sewer
  • Home design: Cabin; Single-story structure (640 building area)
  • Construction: Log siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot with a few trees; Public water supply

Interior

  • Interior features: Two total rooms; No fireplace reported

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($869 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 1.7% in Stanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#143 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Powell County (rural): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #156 of 165 in KY (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bowen Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #525 of 676 statewide, top 82%, 225 students, 61% FRL); Powell County Middle School (math 14% / reading 35%, grade F, #189 of 217 statewide, top 89%, 462 students, 68% FRL); Powell County Academy (11 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Powell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Powell County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.99%
Cash-on-cash
9.62%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$260,000
List price
$75,000
Delta
-71.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-1,413
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$12,636
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40380

Home prices YoY
-23.2%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$869 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    listed $75,000 Active 840-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,431
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$835
− Management
−$835
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$879
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$211
After-tax cash flow
$1,810/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including roof replacement, exterior siding repair, flooring replacement, interior wall repair, HVAC system replacement, and landscaping. The home's poor condition and lack of maintenance significantly impact its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks.
  • Major exterior siding — The exterior siding is in poor condition, with visible damage and peeling paint.
  • Major flooring — The flooring appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and wear.
  • Major interior walls — The interior walls appear to be in poor condition, with visible damage and peeling paint.
  • Major HVAC system — The HVAC system appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale exterior siding repair and painting — A new exterior siding and paint job will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale interior wall repair and painting — New interior walls and paint job will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its resale value.
  • Both landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard and landscaping will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · The exterior siding is in poor condition, with visible damage and peeling paint. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · The flooring appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and wear. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · The interior walls appear to be in poor condition, with visible damage and peeling paint. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · The HVAC system appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale exterior siding repair and painting — A new exterior siding and paint job will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale interior wall repair and painting — New interior walls and paint job will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Resale HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its resale value.
  • Both landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard and landscaping will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Powell County
NCES district ID
2104890
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$31,309
Composite
18.13/100
National rank
#8967
State rank
#156 of 165 in KY

Livability — Stanton

Score
71/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#6791

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,943

Population outlook (Powell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,535 people
By 2030
11,076 · -4.0%
By 2040
10,174 · -11.8%
By 2050
9,307 · -19.3%
By 2075
7,369 · -36.1%
By 2100
5,806 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Lithuanian 3% Ukrainian 2%
Foreign-born
2%

Political lean MEDSL · Powell

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.4) · D 21.9% · R 76.3% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-38.9pp toward R · 2008: -15.5pp · 2024: -54.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.4 2020: R+48.6 2016: R+45.2 2012: R+24.9 2008: R+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.93%
Current HPI
227.5937
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $75,000 ImagineMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…