2522 Old Highway 99 Rd S #19 · Mount Vernon, WA 98273

$65,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 180 Days on market

Built 1984 Est $44k · 47% over ↓ 16% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

* * 55+ Park community * * This 2 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home, is great with an open floor plan. Lots of storage. All appliances stay. Very clean and well cared for. Updated living spaces. Freshly painted exterior (2024). Front and back porch, enclosed carport with access to storage and the side yard. Ceramic tile, vinyl and laminate for easy clean ups. It doesn't get better than this, built in green house and private patio area. Close to all amenities and freeway. Hospital is only 2 miles away and 6 min drive away. Come take a look today!

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Enclosed carport
• Built in green house

Tags

• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• UPDATED LIVING SPACES
• FRESHLY PAINTED EXTERIOR
• FRONT AND BACK PORCH
• ENCLOSED CARPORT
• BUILT IN GREEN HOUSE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
• Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 28.0% vs local median 2.4% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#106 in WA, #2,120 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
• Mount Vernon School District (urban): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #189 of 291 in WA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 561 units permitted in Skagit County in 2024 (270 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Skagit County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.16% ✓
• Cap rate: 27.95%
• Cash-on-cash: 77.36%
• DSCR: 4.44
• GRM: 2.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $44,352
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2210 Old Highway 99 South Rd #31	0.18mi	2/1.0	938 (+2%)	0mo	$45,000	$48	84
2522 Old Highway 99 Rd S #6	0.03mi	2/1.0	980 (+6%)	1mo	$60,000	$61	84
2210 Old Highway 99 S #12	0.20mi	2/1.0	924 (0%)	6mo	$20,000	$22	82
2210 Old Hwy 99 St	0.20mi	2/2.0	924 (0%)	15mo	$30,000	$32	79
1009 Parkside Ter	0.37mi	2/1.0	800 (-13%)	24mo	$61,000	$76	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 76.6%
• Equity multiple: 4.45×
• Total profit: $62,850
• Equity at exit: $9,692

10-year hold

• IRR: 80.1%
• Equity multiple: 9.00×
• Total profit: $145,511
• Equity at exit: $5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Washington: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 98273

• Rents YoY: 2.3%
• Active inventory: 199
• Price-to-rent: 2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,054 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$341
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$81 /mo · $975/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$431
• Net cashflow: $1,173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569

Max offer price $65,000

Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,250
• Closing costs: $1,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1221 S 12th St Mount Vernon, WA	2.0	1.0	833	$2,195	$2.64	43d	1	0.84mi
1511 Shirley Pl Mount Vernon, WA	2.0	1.0	936	$2,250	$2.40	43d	1	0.94mi
1002 S 12th St Mount Vernon, WA	2.0	1.0	1052	$2,575	$2.45	21d	1	1.00mi
1011 E Division St Unit 103 Mount Vernon, WA	1.0	1.0	800	$1,250	$1.56	43d	1	1.36mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-23
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-09
   status Active
3. 2026-01-01
   price $54,000
4. 2025-12-01
   price $58,000
5. 2025-09-12
   listed $64,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥81°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,645
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,641
• − Property taxes: −$975
• − Insurance: −$325
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,972
• − Management: −$1,972
• − Depreciation: −$1,891
• Taxable income: $13,870
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,329
• After-tax cash flow: $10,751/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mount Vernon School District
• NCES district ID: 5305400
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $50,829
• Composite: 40.14/100
• National rank: #7848
• State rank: #189 of 291 in WA

Livability — Mount Vernon

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #106
• US rank: #2120

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Mount Vernon, WA
• County: Skagit County · 118,108 people
• City population: 48,861
• Metro: Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
• Population (ZIP): 30,001
• Household income: $76,717
• Rent vs Own: 38.6% rent · 61.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1045.0

Population outlook (Skagit County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 131,498 people
• By 2030: 135,556 · +3.1%
• By 2040: 141,717 · +7.8%
• By 2050: 145,714 · +10.8%
• By 2075: 152,201 · +15.7%
• By 2100: 147,980 · +12.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (60%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 60% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 30%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 6% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada
• Languages at home: 71% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Skagit

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+8.9) · D 52.9% · R 44.0% · Other 3.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -0.7pp no change · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 8.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+8.9 2020: D+7.5 2016: D+3.2 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -525.00%
• Current HPI: 395.3742
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.33%
• Metro: Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	2	$269B
▸Technology / Retail	1	$638B
▸Technology	1	$245B
▸Telecommunications	1	$38B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$36B
▸Automotive / Trucks	1	$34B

Price history

-15.6% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-23 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-09 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-01 Price Changed $54,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-01 Price Changed $58,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-12 Listed $64,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid