102 Wykeham Rd · New Preston, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Cash flow +4.6/30.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$1,195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Private 4 bedroom/2.5 bath home on 1.8 +/- tranquil, lightly wooded acres featuring many old growth trees, mature vegetation and gorgeous rock outcroppings. Super location near Washington Green and minutes to Washington Depot. One-floor living with hardwood floors throughout. A large eat-in country kitchen/family room with a fireplace/woodburning stove leads out to a lovely stone patio and open surrounding lawn. A cozy dining room adjoins a large living room with a handsome stone fireplace. A separate bedroom wing includes a primary ensuite and three other well-proportioned bedrooms that share a hall bath. Amazing seasonal sunset views. Room for a pool. Wonderful opportunity.
Key facts
- 1.8 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1964
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-36k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $662k (44.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $514k (57.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $514k (57.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#105 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Regional School District 12 (rural): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 153 in CT (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Washington Primary School (math 64% / reading 84%, grade A, #44 of 553 statewide, top 10%, 162 students, 25% FRL); Shepaug Valley School (math 61% / reading 76%, grade B, #23 of 194 statewide, top 12%, 494 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 8% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Northwest Hills Planning Region in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.09M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $582k; list at $1.20M implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 57% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.43% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.83%
- DSCR
- 0.52
- GRM
- 19.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $528,250
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Old Litchfield Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,900 (-10%) | 13mo | $475,000 | $250 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-178,705
- Equity at exit
- $399,373
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-191,373
- Equity at exit
- $524,159
Cash invested: $334,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06793
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 19.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,142 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,267
- Tax from tax record
- −$317 /mo · $3,805/yr
- Insurance
- −$498
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,080
- Net cashflow
- $-3,020
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $298,750
- Closing costs
- $35,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-08status Under Contract
-
2026-03-13historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2026-03-09price $1,195,000
-
2026-01-05$1,275,000 Active
-
2025-12-30historical $1,275,000
-
2025-05-23soldstatus $582,500 Closed 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Private 4 bedroom/2.5 bath home on 1.8 +/- tranquil, lightly wooded acres featuring many old growth trees, mature vegetation and gorgeous rock outcroppings. Super location near Washington Green and minutes to Washington Depot. One-floor living with hardwood floors throughout. A large eat-in country kitchen/family room with a fireplace/woodburning stove leads out to a lovely stone patio and open surrounding lawn. A cozy dining room adjoins a large living room with a handsome stone fireplace. A separate bedroom wing includes a primary ensuite and three other well-proportioned bedrooms that share a hall bath. Amazing seasonal sunset views. Room for a pool. Wonderful opportunity.
-
2025-05-19status Under Contract 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Private 4 bedroom/2.5 bath home on 1.8 +/- tranquil, lightly wooded acres featuring many old growth trees, mature vegetation and gorgeous rock outcroppings. Super location near Washington Green and minutes to Washington Depot. One-floor living with hardwood floors throughout. A large eat-in country kitchen/family room with a fireplace/woodburning stove leads out to a lovely stone patio and open surrounding lawn. A cozy dining room adjoins a large living room with a handsome stone fireplace. A separate bedroom wing includes a primary ensuite and three other well-proportioned bedrooms that share a hall bath. Amazing seasonal sunset views. Room for a pool. Wonderful opportunity.
-
2025-03-14historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Private 4 bedroom/2.5 bath home on 1.8 +/- tranquil, lightly wooded acres featuring many old growth trees, mature vegetation and gorgeous rock outcroppings. Super location near Washington Green and minutes to Washington Depot. One-floor living with hardwood floors throughout. A large eat-in country kitchen/family room with a fireplace/woodburning stove leads out to a lovely stone patio and open surrounding lawn. A cozy dining room adjoins a large living room with a handsome stone fireplace. A separate bedroom wing includes a primary ensuite and three other well-proportioned bedrooms that share a hall bath. Amazing seasonal sunset views. Room for a pool. Wonderful opportunity.
-
2025-03-08status Active 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Private 4 bedroom/2.5 bath home on 1.8 +/- tranquil, lightly wooded acres featuring many old growth trees, mature vegetation and gorgeous rock outcroppings. Super location near Washington Green and minutes to Washington Depot. One-floor living with hardwood floors throughout. A large eat-in country kitchen/family room with a fireplace/woodburning stove leads out to a lovely stone patio and open surrounding lawn. A cozy dining room adjoins a large living room with a handsome stone fireplace. A separate bedroom wing includes a primary ensuite and three other well-proportioned bedrooms that share a hall bath. Amazing seasonal sunset views. Room for a pool. Wonderful opportunity.
-
2024-12-21historical 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Private 4 bedroom/2.5 bath home on 1.8 +/- tranquil, lightly wooded acres featuring many old growth trees, mature vegetation and gorgeous rock outcroppings. Super location near Washington Green and minutes to Washington Depot. One-floor living with hardwood floors throughout. A large eat-in country kitchen/family room with a fireplace/woodburning stove leads out to a lovely stone patio and open surrounding lawn. A cozy dining room adjoins a large living room with a handsome stone fireplace. A separate bedroom wing includes a primary ensuite and three other well-proportioned bedrooms that share a hall bath. Amazing seasonal sunset views. Room for a pool. Wonderful opportunity.
-
2024-11-20$695,000 Active 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Private 4 bedroom/2.5 bath home on 1.8 +/- tranquil, lightly wooded acres featuring many old growth trees, mature vegetation and gorgeous rock outcroppings. Super location near Washington Green and minutes to Washington Depot. One-floor living with hardwood floors throughout. A large eat-in country kitchen/family room with a fireplace/woodburning stove leads out to a lovely stone patio and open surrounding lawn. A cozy dining room adjoins a large living room with a handsome stone fireplace. A separate bedroom wing includes a primary ensuite and three other well-proportioned bedrooms that share a hall bath. Amazing seasonal sunset views. Room for a pool. Wonderful opportunity.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,805 · $317/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,689 · $1,224/mo
- Expected delta
- +$10,884/yr (+$907/mo · 286.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $61,698
- − Mortgage interest
- −$66,939
- − Property taxes
- −$3,805
- − Insurance
- −$5,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,936
- − Management
- −$4,936
- − Depreciation
- −$34,764
- Taxable loss
- −$59,656
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$14,317
- After-tax cash flow
- $-21,922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Regional School District 12
- NCES district ID
- 0903530
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,065
- Composite
- 63.18/100
- National rank
- #638
- State rank
- #20 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Preston
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #9031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,802
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,270
Population outlook (Northwest Hills County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 118,998
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Northwest Hills
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 49.9% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.86%
- Current HPI
- 260.8543
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
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Price history
+71.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-03-13 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $1,195,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $1,275,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-12-30 Coming Soon $1,275,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-05-23 Sold (MLS) $582,500 Smart MLS
- 2025-05-19 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2025-03-14 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2025-03-08 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2024-12-21 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2024-11-20 Listed $695,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2023): $3,805 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…