805 Walnut St · Chetopa, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Detached carport
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking; Carport; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Ranch-style floor plan
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 13,916 sq ft
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has cooling)
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $72 ($865/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (4.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#372 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Chetopa-St. Paul (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #176 of 280 in KS (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Labette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Labette County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.83%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,058
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 628 Maple St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,242 (-5%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $101 | 81 |
| 403 S 5th St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,408 (+8%) | 13mo | $69,000 | $49 | 46 |
| 516 N 3rd St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+12%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $86 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $15,941
- Equity at exit
- $47,102
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $52,615
- Equity at exit
- $71,138
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67336
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,045 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $72
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-03-13status Active
-
2025-11-21historical
-
2025-09-02$109,000 Active
-
2025-06-14historical
-
2025-02-14$107,000 Active
-
2025-02-11historical
-
2024-08-20$110,000 Active
-
2024-05-10historical
-
2024-02-14$114,000 Active
-
2024-01-13historical
-
2024-01-12historical
-
2024-01-02price $106,500
-
2024-01-02price $106,500
-
2023-10-11$109,000 Active
-
2023-10-11$106,500
-
2022-03-02$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,537
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,003
- − Management
- −$1,003
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$926
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$222
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,087/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chetopa-St. Paul
- NCES district ID
- 2004770
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,256
- Composite
- 27.99/100
- National rank
- #12240
- State rank
- #176 of 280 in KS
Livability — Chetopa
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #372
- US rank
- #16774
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chetopa, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,186
Population outlook (Labette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,413 people
- By 2030
- 18,552 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 16,701 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 14,832 · -23.6%
- By 2075
- 11,046 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 8,020 · -58.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Labette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.2) · D 30.1% · R 68.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -38.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.2 2020: R+36.0 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+20.2 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.69%
- Current HPI
- 127.0262
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+55.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-02 Listed $109,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-14 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-14 Listed $107,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-11 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-20 Listed $110,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-10 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-14 Listed $114,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-13 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-12 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-02 Price Changed $106,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-02 Price Changed $106,500 OGAR
- 2023-10-11 Listed $106,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-11 Listed $109,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-02 Listed $70,000 Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…