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323 Ave J
C- Composite 53.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$125,000

323 Ave J · Beaver, OK 73932
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,552 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 199 Days on market
Built 1975 0.32 ac lot Est $106k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

Key facts

  • Carport
  • Finished basement
  • Granite countertops

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSFINISHED BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGECARPORTCORNER LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#126 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Beaver (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #214 of 513 in OK (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Beaver Es (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 191 students, 0% FRL); Beaver Hs (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 69 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
  • Beaver County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.03%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$105,536
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
323 Ave J 0.00mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,652 (+6%) 1mo $127,500 $77 83
423 Avenue L 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-10%) 3mo $95,000 $68 69
521 W First St 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,731 (+12%) 3mo $65,000 $38 64
502 Avenue K 0.11mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,410 (-9%) 9mo $80,000 $57 63
815 Avenue F 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,480 (-5%) 14mo $70,070 $47 55
622 Avenue F 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,752 (+13%) 5mo $125,000 $71 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$42,976
Equity at exit
$72,029
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
4.37×
Total profit
$118,099
Equity at exit
$125,311

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73932

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,277 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,156/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,018
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $276 -5% $240 +0% $205 +5% $170 +10% $134
Rent -10% $104 -5% $155 +0% $205 +5% $256 +10% $306
Rate -1.0pp $268 -0.5pp $237 base $205 +0.5pp $173 +1.0pp $140

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-03-30
    historical Active Under Contract 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  2. 2026-03-30
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  3. 2026-02-22
    price $125,000 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  4. 2026-02-22
    price $125,000
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  5. 2026-01-18
    price $147,500 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  6. 2026-01-18
    price $147,000
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  7. 2025-12-08
    price $157,500 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  8. 2025-12-08
    price $157,000
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  9. 2025-12-01
    price $169,500 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  10. 2025-10-16
    price $169,500
  11. 2025-09-12
    listed $175,500 Active 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  12. 2025-09-12
    listed $175,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    This beautifully updated 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a spacious corner lot and offers the perfect blend of comfort and style. Inside, you'll love the modern touches including gorgeous granite countertops and a finished basement perfect for extra living space or storage. Outside features a detached garage, carport, and plenty of room to spread out. Don't miss your chance to own this move-in ready gem!

  13. 2017-08-30
    soldstatus $117,000
  14. 2013-10-24
    soldstatus $117,100
  15. 2007-04-23
    soldstatus $73,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,156 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,156 · $96/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,327
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,156
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,226
− Management
−$1,226
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$455
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$109
After-tax cash flow
$2,352/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaver
NCES district ID
4003750
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,714
Composite
30.68/100
National rank
#11435
State rank
#214 of 513 in OK

Livability — Beaver

Score
66/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#12291

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaver, OK
Population (ZIP)
1,930

Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,381 people
By 2030
5,465 · +1.6%
By 2040
5,336 · -0.8%
By 2050
5,561 · +3.3%
By 2075
7,051 · +31.0%
By 2100
9,341 · +73.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 24%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaver

2024 margin
Solid R (+83.8) · D 7.4% · R 91.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.3pp toward R · 2008: -78.5pp · 2024: -83.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+83.8 2020: R+81.6 2016: R+81.0 2012: R+78.9 2008: R+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.16%
Current HPI
135.2376
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Contingent NWOAR
  • 2026-03-30 Pending MLSOK
  • 2026-02-22 Price Changed $125,000 NWOAR
  • 2026-02-22 Price Changed $125,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-01-18 Price Changed $147,500 NWOAR
  • 2026-01-18 Price Changed $147,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $157,500 NWOAR
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $157,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $169,500 NWOAR
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $169,500 MLSOK
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $175,500 MLSOK
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $175,500 NWOAR
  • 2017-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
  • 2013-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $117,100 Public Records
  • 2007-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,156 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…