4146 Terrace R · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence located in the heart of Birmingham! This well-maintained older home offers the perfect blend of character, comfort, and affordability. Fresh paint throughout gives the home a clean, updated feel, making it move-in ready for its next owner.
Key facts
- Built 1924
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: CENTRAL PARK
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Gas water heater; Energy Star windows; Programmable thermostat; Ridge vent and turbines (ventilation)
- Home design: Existing home; Basement foundation
- Construction: Brick over foundation exterior; Other siding
- Exterior features: No pool, patio, decks, or garden/patio indicated; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Eating area; Built-in dishwasher; Electric oven and stove; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on main level (all bedrooms located on level 1); Walk-in closets; Linen closet
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Separate shower and tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Piggyback heating system; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Textured walls; One wood-burning fireplace with brick surround (located in a bedroom); Partial basement with both finished and unfinished areas (daylight basement)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (3.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Central Park Elementary School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #616 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 447 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools at 83% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $125k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.87%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,010
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1644 42nd St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (+3%) | 8mo | $162,000 | $99 | 84 |
| 1527 46th Street Ensley | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,571 (-1%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $22 | 72 |
| 1607 43rd St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (-9%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $59 | 72 |
| 1340 43rd St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-3%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $55 | 68 |
| 1825 49th St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,532 (-3%) | 4mo | $51,000 | $33 | 64 |
| 2908 Ensley Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,558 (-2%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $39 | 58 |
| 1611 50th St Ensley | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,482 (-6%) | 7mo | $98,000 | $66 | 56 |
| 4637 Avenue R | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,378 (-13%) | 3mo | $28,500 | $21 | 56 |
| 1633 29th St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,658 (+5%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $63 | 54 |
| 1512 W 47th St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,378 (-13%) | 8mo | $69,200 | $50 | 48 |
| 2116 Warrior Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,720 (+9%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $29 | 47 |
| 1310 43rd St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,401 (-11%) | 9mo | $78,000 | $56 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,164
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $38,390
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $556/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $200
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $271 | -5% $236 | +0% $200 | +5% $165 | +10% $130 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $105 | -5% $153 | +0% $200 | +5% $248 | +10% $296 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $263 | -0.5pp $232 | base $200 | +0.5pp $168 | +1.0pp $135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4105 Avenue Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1760 | $1,250 | $0.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1617 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1413 | $1,030 | $0.73 | 17d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1607 43rd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,150 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4612 Terrace S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $1,050 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4637 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $975 | $0.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4619 Terrace Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $900 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1526 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,050 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4636 Avenue T Unit T Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1842 | $1,500 | $0.81 | 2d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1520 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,195 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4732 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1372 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4736 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1509 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,123 | $0.89 | 12d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4801 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1310 | $1,000 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1515 45th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $875 | $0.61 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1436 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,495 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4817 Court R Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $1,300 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1757 48th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,295 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4813 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,125 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2520 Avenue U Unit A Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1820 33rd St W Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1212 | $1,495 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4825 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1310 | $1,050 | $0.80 | 17d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3221 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1563 Martin Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $1,495 | $0.81 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1606 49th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,100 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1420 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 20d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2017 48th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1524 33rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,095 | $0.90 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2133 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1308 | $1,300 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1520 33rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,275 | $1.05 | 12d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1410 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1417 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,025 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3009 Prince Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,095 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1345 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $1,175 | $0.73 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1632 51st St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,000 | $0.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1632 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,100 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1306 35th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,173 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1724 30th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,395 | $0.98 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $124,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 297-char remark
-
2026-06-02$130,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $556 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $556 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,486
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$556
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,159
- − Management
- −$1,159
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $358
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$86
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+69.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $130,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2007-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $76,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2017): $556 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…