808 11th Ave N · St. Cloud, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tons of potential with hardwood floors, formal dining, cute front porch, 3 beds on the same level, fenced in rear yard close to schools, parks, hospital & in great neighborhood.
Key facts
- 8,315 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1926
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; 1-car garage
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Electric service with circuit breakers (100 Amp and 200+ Amp listed)
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Entry from front porch
- Construction: Stone foundation; Asphalt roof (age 8 years or less); Built with stucco exterior
- Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Front porch; Lot approximately 63 x 132 (8,315 sq ft); City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all bedrooms on the upper level; one-bedroom layout shows 3 BR on one level noted)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Basement rough-in for additional plumbing
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Front porch
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $95 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.9% in St. Cloud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Cloud Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #264 of 301 in MN (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Madison Elementary (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #687 of 857 statewide, top 82%, 649 students, 74% FRL); North Junior High (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #219 of 258 statewide, top 86%, 708 students, 77% FRL); Apollo Senior High (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #282 of 471 statewide, top 63%, 1,225 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 48% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 661 units permitted in Stearns County in 2024 (291 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stearns County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $130k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.12%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-15,053
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-5,397
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56303
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,196 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,376/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $95
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $168 | -5% $131 | +0% $95 | +5% $58 | +10% $21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $0 | -5% $47 | +0% $95 | +5% $142 | +10% $189 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $160 | -0.5pp $128 | base $95 | +0.5pp $61 | +1.0pp $27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1015 7th St N Apt 2 St Cloud, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 444 23rd Ave N Saint Cloud, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $1,745 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1310 15th St N St Cloud, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,090 | $1.32 | 45d | 18 | 0.85mi |
| 305 5th Ave S St Cloud, MN | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 692 | $1,080 | $1.56 | 45d | 23 | 0.96mi |
| 801 15th Ave S Unit 2 St Cloud, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 825 9th Ave S Saint Cloud, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,000 | $1.19 | 45d | 2 | 1.19mi |
| 2121 W Street Germain St Unit Main Floor St Cloud, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1212 Washington Memorial Dr Saint Cloud, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $1,295 | $1.49 | 45d | 9 | 1.37mi |
| 3201 14th St N Saint Cloud, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,045 | $1.23 | 45d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 800 11th St S Saint Cloud, MN | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,389 | $1.39 | 45d | 3 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-26historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-04-22$130,000 Active
-
2012-11-12soldstatus $48,100 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Tons of potential with hardwood floors, formal dining, cute front porch, 3 beds on the same level, fenced in rear yard close to schools, parks, hospital & in great neighborhood.
-
2012-10-24historical 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Tons of potential with hardwood floors, formal dining, cute front porch, 3 beds on the same level, fenced in rear yard close to schools, parks, hospital & in great neighborhood.
-
2012-08-10$48,000 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Tons of potential with hardwood floors, formal dining, cute front porch, 3 beds on the same level, fenced in rear yard close to schools, parks, hospital & in great neighborhood.
-
2007-10-22soldstatus $104,700 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Great 3 bed, 1 bath home on large city lot. Fenced in backyard and many updates inside.
-
2007-09-11historical 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Great 3 bed, 1 bath home on large city lot. Fenced in backyard and many updates inside.
-
2006-09-27$105,000 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Great 3 bed, 1 bath home on large city lot. Fenced in backyard and many updates inside.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,376 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,416 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$40/yr (+$3/mo · 2.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,357
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,376
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,149
- − Management
- −$1,149
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,030
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$247
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,382/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Cloud Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733510
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,638
- Composite
- 27.91/100
- National rank
- #6866
- State rank
- #264 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Cloud
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Cloud, MN
- County
- Stearns County · 90,226 people
- City population
- 60,914
- Metro
- St. Cloud, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,827
- Household income
- $65,198
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 887.0
Population outlook (Stearns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,629 people
- By 2030
- 166,495 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 172,661 · +6.2%
- By 2050
- 177,480 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 192,907 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 206,274 · +26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stearns
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.8) · D 35.7% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -26.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.8 2020: R+22.5 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+12.1 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.45%
- Current HPI
- 135.2097
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Cloud, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+23.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-26 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $130,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-12 Sold (MLS) $48,100 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-24 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-10 Listed $48,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-22 Sold (MLS) $104,700 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-11 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-27 Listed $105,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,376 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…