814 Cassopolis St · Elkhart, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1896
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $111k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($106/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (7.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $103k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.0% in Elkhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $767 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.34%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $111,137
- List price
- $110,900
- Delta
- -0.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 E Simonton St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 794 (+4%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $82 | 73 |
| 1232 N Main St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+0%) | 10mo | $128,750 | $168 | 71 |
| 732 Marine Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-6%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $139 | 69 |
| 1057 Cone St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+5%) | 13mo | $96,001 | $120 | 66 |
| 1221 Columbian Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 824 (+8%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $212 | 64 |
| 1266 N Main St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-8%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $164 | 58 |
| 412 Sunset Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+0%) | 12mo | $149,900 | $195 | 54 |
| 311 W Washington St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 874 (+14%) | 0mo | $131,000 | $150 | 53 |
| 216 E Emerald St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 708 (-8%) | 16mo | $132,900 | $188 | 52 |
| 201 N Corona St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 675 (-12%) | 11mo | $131,000 | $194 | 49 |
| 217 Jefferson St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 876 (+14%) | 8mo | $58,960 | $67 | 46 |
| 1423 Cone St | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 664 (-13%) | 4mo | $109,000 | $164 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-13,025
- Equity at exit
- $16,536
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $8,917
- Equity at exit
- $9,589
Cash invested: $31,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46514
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,030 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$582
- Tax from tax record
- −$177 /mo · $2,124/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $72 | -5% $40 | +0% $9 | +5% $-23 | +10% $-54 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-73 | -5% $-32 | +0% $9 | +5% $50 | +10% $90 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $65 | -0.5pp $37 | base $9 | +0.5pp $-20 | +1.0pp $-49 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,725
- Closing costs
- $3,327
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1023 Cone St Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 200 Jr. Achievement Dr Elkhart, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $1,770 | $1.87 | 22d | 10 | 0.50mi |
| 1301 Cone St Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 323 Sherman St Unit A Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 229 W Jackson Blvd Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $725 | $1.16 | 44d | 2 | 0.56mi |
| 115 S 3rd St Unit ST3 Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $859 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 310 W Lexington Ave Apt C Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 160 N 6th St Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $795 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 524 W High St Unit 1/2 Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 509 W Franklin St Apt C Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $750 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 419 W Marion St Apt D Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $600 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 419 W Marion St Unit C Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $650 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 204 Middlebury St Unit 204 Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 647 W Lexington Ave Unit C Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $995 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 514 S 5th St Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $775 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 660 Stamp Dr Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 604 Middlebury St Unit 2 Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $775 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1308 Princeton St Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,350 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1401 S Main St Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,750 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1464 Hudson St Apt B Elkhart, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $110,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $110,900
-
2026-03-19$124,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,124 · $177/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,124 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,358
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,212
- − Property taxes
- −$2,124
- − Insurance
- −$554
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$989
- − Management
- −$989
- − Depreciation
- −$3,226
- Taxable loss
- −$1,736
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$417
- After-tax cash flow
- $522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elkhart Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1803270
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 18.45/100
- National rank
- #8928
- State rank
- #271 of 301 in IN
Livability — Elkhart
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #9852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elkhart, IN
- County
- Elkhart County · 107,928 people
- City population
- 74,260
- Metro
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,389
- Household income
- $65,833
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1061.0
Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 213,761 people
- By 2030
- 218,103 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 225,381 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 229,447 · +7.3%
- By 2075
- 232,856 · +8.9%
- By 2100
- 214,088 · +0.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -246.78%
- Current HPI
- 225.6
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.03%
- Metro
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-11.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $110,900 IRMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $124,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,124 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…