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106-A 120th St #20803
D Composite 44.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$53,000

106-A 120th St #20803 · Ocean City, MD 21842
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Condo public records · 227 Days on market
Built 1987 $48/sqft · 83% below area $400/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *

Key facts

  • Outdoor pool
  • Convenient location
  • Canal-front views

Tags

CANAL-FRONT VIEWSOUTDOOR POOLCONVENIENT LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $53k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $53k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 1.4% in Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#125 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, schools B+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Worcester County Public Schools (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 24 in MD (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 673 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 354 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Worcester County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $53k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $46,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.66%
Cap rate
30.55%
Cash-on-cash
86.63%
DSCR
4.85
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$318,324
List price
$53,000
Delta
-83.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.6%
Equity multiple
3.23×
Total profit
$33,088
Equity at exit
$7,902
10-year hold
IRR
56.2%
Equity multiple
6.67×
Total profit
$84,181
Equity at exit
$4,582

Cash invested: $14,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21842

Home prices YoY
-5.0%
Active inventory
673
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,467 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$278
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,135/yr
Insurance
$22
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$400
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$518
Net cashflow
$645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,651
Max offer price $53,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $675 -5% $660 +0% $645 +5% $630 +10% $615
Rent -10% $450 -5% $547 +0% $645 +5% $742 +10% $840
Rate -1.0pp $671 -0.5pp $658 base $645 +0.5pp $631 +1.0pp $617

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,250
Closing costs
$1,590
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
117 Newport Bay Dr Unit 117C Ocean City, MD 3.0 2.0 936 $2,700 $2.88 44d 1 0.24mi
9207 Rusty Anchor Rd Ocean City, MD 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,500 $2.08 44d 1 1.18mi
745 Mooring Rd #103 Ocean City, MD 2.0 2.0 792 $2,500 $3.16 44d 1 1.29mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$400 · $4,800/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $53,000 Active 227 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $53,000 Active 226 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $53,000 Active 225 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $53,000 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $53,000 Active 222 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $53,000 Active 221 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $53,000 Active 219 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $53,000 Active 218 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $53,000 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $53,000 Active 216 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $53,000 Active 211 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $53,000 Active 210 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $53,000 Active 209 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $53,000 Active 208 DOM
  15. 2026-02-21
    price $53,000 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *

  16. 2026-02-21
    price $5,300 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *

  17. 2026-01-29
    price $55,000 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *

  18. 2025-12-10
    price $59,500 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *

  19. 2025-11-03
    listed $70,000 Active 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *

  20. 2001-06-19
    soldstatus $30,500
  21. 2001-06-19
    soldstatus $29,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,135 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,135 · $178/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,608
− Mortgage interest
−$2,969
− Property taxes
−$2,135
− Insurance
−$5,384
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,369
− Management
−$2,369
− HOA
−$4,800
− Depreciation
−$1,542
Taxable income
$8,042
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,930
After-tax cash flow
$5,807/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Worcester County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400720
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$56,748
Composite
32.6/100
National rank
#5672
State rank
#6 of 24 in MD

Livability — Ocean City

Score
73/100
State rank
#125
US rank
#5407

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment B Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean City, MD
County
Worcester County · 35,603 people
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
11,226
Household income
$79,876
Rent vs Own
24.0% rent · 76.0% own
Severe rent burden
322.0

Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,363 people
By 2030
51,191 · -0.3%
By 2040
50,459 · -1.8%
By 2050
49,451 · -3.7%
By 2075
48,533 · -5.5%
By 2100
44,223 · -13.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Worcester

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 38.0% · R 60.0% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: -15.5pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.65%
Current HPI
482.18
Rent YoY
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $53,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $5,300 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $59,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
  • 2001-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $30,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,135 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…