106-A 120th St #20803 · Ocean City, MD
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$53,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *
Key facts
- Outdoor pool
- Convenient location
- Canal-front views
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $53k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $53k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.5% vs local median 1.4% in Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#125 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, schools B+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Worcester County Public Schools (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 24 in MD (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 673 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 354 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Worcester County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $53k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 86.63%
- DSCR
- 4.85
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $318,324
- List price
- $53,000
- Delta
- -83.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $33,088
- Equity at exit
- $7,902
- IRR
- 56.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.67×
- Total profit
- $84,181
- Equity at exit
- $4,582
Cash invested: $14,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21842
- Home prices YoY
- -5.0%
- Active inventory
- 673
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,467 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$278
- Tax from tax record
- −$178 /mo · $2,135/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$400
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$518
- Net cashflow
- $645
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $675 | -5% $660 | +0% $645 | +5% $630 | +10% $615 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $450 | -5% $547 | +0% $645 | +5% $742 | +10% $840 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $671 | -0.5pp $658 | base $645 | +0.5pp $631 | +1.0pp $617 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,250
- Closing costs
- $1,590
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 Newport Bay Dr Unit 117C Ocean City, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,700 | $2.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 9207 Rusty Anchor Rd Ocean City, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 745 Mooring Rd #103 Ocean City, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 792 | $2,500 | $3.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $400 · $4,800/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $53,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $53,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $53,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $53,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $53,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $53,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $53,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $53,000 Active 218 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $53,000 Active 217 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $53,000 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $53,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $53,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $53,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $53,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-02-21price $53,000 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *
-
2026-02-21price $5,300 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *
-
2026-01-29price $55,000 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *
-
2025-12-10price $59,500 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *
-
2025-11-03$70,000 Active 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo/timeshare on the desirable north end of Ocean City! Enjoy canal-front views, an outdoor pool, and 13 weeks of ownership each year. Vacation during your weeks or rent them out for extra income. Fees include taxes and utilities making this a worry-free way to own your piece of paradise. Convenient location close to beach, shops, restaurants and nightly entertainment *
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2001-06-19soldstatus $30,500
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2001-06-19soldstatus $29,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,135 · $178/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,135 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,608
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,969
- − Property taxes
- −$2,135
- − Insurance
- −$5,384
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,369
- − Management
- −$2,369
- − HOA
- −$4,800
- − Depreciation
- −$1,542
- Taxable income
- $8,042
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,930
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,807/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Worcester County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400720
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,748
- Composite
- 32.6/100
- National rank
- #5672
- State rank
- #6 of 24 in MD
Livability — Ocean City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #125
- US rank
- #5407
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocean City, MD
- County
- Worcester County · 35,603 people
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,226
- Household income
- $79,876
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 322.0
Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,363 people
- By 2030
- 51,191 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 50,459 · -1.8%
- By 2050
- 49,451 · -3.7%
- By 2075
- 48,533 · -5.5%
- By 2100
- 44,223 · -13.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Worcester
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 38.0% · R 60.0% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -15.5pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.65%
- Current HPI
- 482.18
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+73.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $53,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $5,300 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $59,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
- 2001-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $30,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,135 · +22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…