891 Pearl Lake Rd · Waterbury, CT 06706

$239,900

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,776 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 20 Days on market

Built 1950 7,405 sqft lot Est $401k · 40% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +7.3/10.0
• DSCR +6.7/10.0
• Appreciation +5.7/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

* * INVESTORS TAKE NOTICE * * Opportunity awaits here on Pearl Lake. This two-family home is the perfect investment for those seeking a property with strong potential and updated essentials. The home is slightly distressed and in need of some TLC, but features a newer roof, furnace, central air system, and oil tank-offering a solid foundation for your next project. Property includes leased solar panels and propane equipment, providing added efficiency. Currently owner-occupied and will be conveyed with vacancy, making it ideal for both investors and owner-occupants. With its solid structure, updated mechanicals, and income-producing potential, this home presents a great opportunity to ad

Key facts

• 7,405 sq ft lot
• Pool
• Built 1950

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $240k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $168/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
• Recommended offer: $236k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.6% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
• Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,954/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 801% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
• At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $236,301 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.23% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.98%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.01%
• DSCR: 1.27
• GRM: 6.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $401,376
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
425 Piedmont St	0.37mi	4/2.0 (-1)	1,860 (+5%)	3mo	$419,900	$226	68
1402 Baldwin St	0.69mi	6/2.0 (+1)	1,640 (-8%)	14mo	$303,000	$185	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.39% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.46×
• Total profit: $30,826
• Equity at exit: $86,852

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.58×
• Total profit: $106,346
• Equity at exit: $119,351

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Connecticut: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 06706

• Home prices YoY: 0.5%
• Active inventory: 42
• Price-to-rent: 13.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,954 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,258
• Tax from tax record: −$639 /mo · $7,670/yr
• Insurance: −$100
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$620
• Net cashflow: $336

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,528

Max offer price $239,900

Occupancy floor 84%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	1	$2,954
Total (2 units)			$2,954

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $59,975
• Closing costs: $7,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
218 Charles St Waterbury, CT	4.0	1.5	2600	$2,800	$1.08	43d	1	1.25mi
29 Bouley Ave Waterbury, CT	4.0	1.0	1267	$3,000	$2.37	43d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-04-07
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-03-29
   historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
3. 2026-03-19
   listed $239,900 Active
4. 2026-03-05
   historical $239,900
5. 2022-01-22
   historical
6. 2022-01-05
   listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $7,670 · $639/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $7,670 · $639/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $35,448
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,438
• − Property taxes: −$7,670
• − Insurance: −$1,200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,836
• − Management: −$2,836
• − Depreciation: −$6,979
• Taxable income: $490
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$118
• After-tax cash flow: $3,920/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Waterbury School District
• NCES district ID: 0904830
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 23% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $40,040
• Composite: 14.85/100
• National rank: #9380
• State rank: #148 of 153 in CT

Livability — Waterbury

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #32
• US rank: #2205

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Waterbury, CT
• County: New Haven County · 688,236 people
• City population: 115,012
• Metro: New Haven-Milford, CT
• Population (ZIP): 15,551
• Household income: $52,242
• Rent vs Own: 59.2% rent · 40.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 801.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

• By 2040: 496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 35% White 31% Black 25% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Estonian 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 20% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 60% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
• All cycles: 2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.39%
• Current HPI: 309.8467
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New Haven-Milford, CT
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.06%
• F500 in state: 38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	4	$38B
▸Insurance	3	$71B
▸Financial Services	2	$25B
▸Transportation / Logistics	2	$18B
▸Healthcare	1	$247B
▸Telecommunications	1	$55B

Price history

+59.9% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-07 Pending — Smart MLS
• 2026-03-29 Contingent — Smart MLS
• 2026-03-19 Listed $239,900 Smart MLS
• 2026-03-05 Coming Soon $239,900 Smart MLS
• 2022-01-22 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
• 2022-01-05 Listed $150,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,670 · +94.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.