4516 White Rock St Unit C · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +3.3/15.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home completed 8/31/15. This starter home qualifies for city of houston DAP. Home features standard amenities including 9ft ceilings, granite counter tops w/ back splash, Stainless steel appliances, Jacuzzi jet tub + separate shower in master bath, walk-in closets, crown molding, and 7 camera security system. Minutes from downtown, Medical center, airport, schools, shopping in mylerland, and the galleria. First Time Home buyers are welcome.
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Fresh interior paint
- Outdoor patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller disclosure available
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Owned security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2015; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 2015
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 5,250 sq ft; Lot includes other/unspecified features; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Owned security system; Tile flooring; Total of 3 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Young El (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 385 students, 99% FRL); Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,462/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1446% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.07%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4526 Edfield St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (+4%) | 6mo | $149,900 | $96 | 75 |
| 4741 Bricker St | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,670 (+11%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $138 | 61 |
| 4602 Teton St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,668 (+11%) | 8mo | $84,000 | $50 | 57 |
| 4626 Maggie St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+4%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $160 | 56 |
| 8815 Edgar St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,620 (+8%) | 5mo | $299,990 | $185 | 54 |
| 8817 Edgar St | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,620 (+8%) | 6mo | $299,990 | $185 | 53 |
| 8819 Edgar St | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,620 (+8%) | 7mo | $299,990 | $185 | 52 |
| 8746 Delilah St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,674 (+11%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $140 | 51 |
| 8838 Delilah St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,382 (-8%) | 6mo | $119,999 | $87 | 48 |
| 4821 Alvin St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,307 (-13%) | 4mo | $174,000 | $133 | 42 |
| 5007 Edfield St | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,703 (+13%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $85 | 40 |
| 4211 Knoxville St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (-14%) | 7mo | $179,900 | $140 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $143,751
- Equity at exit
- $207,202
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.56×
- Total profit
- $422,360
- Equity at exit
- $446,839
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77051
- Home prices YoY
- 9.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 321
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,462 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$425 /mo · $5,095/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$517
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $349 | -5% $283 | +0% $218 | +5% $153 | +10% $88 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $24 | -5% $121 | +0% $218 | +5% $316 | +10% $413 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $334 | -0.5pp $277 | base $218 | +0.5pp $159 | +1.0pp $98 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4601 White Rock St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $3,500 | $2.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1375 | $3,500 | $2.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4613 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4406 Sterling St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $1,999 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8606 Lee Otis St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $1,975 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 26d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4835 Sunflower St Unit 1546466P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1883 | $4,516 | $2.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4117 Shelby Cir Unit 1230900P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $5,253 | $3.84 | 1d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4514 Galesburg St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $3,500 | $2.08 | 26d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,775 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3620 Du Bois St Unit 1302349P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $2,945 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7710 Darnay Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1635 | $2,095 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7806 Comal St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7321 Conley St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,025 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7321 Conley St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $2,025 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8010 Livingston St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4538 Clover St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $1,595 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7358 Guadalcanal Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1768 | $2,195 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4723 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 26d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3846 Seabrook St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1833 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3732 Seabrook St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1727 | $2,350 | $1.36 | 26d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7032 Conley St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $2,850 | $2.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3655 Seabrook St Unit 6 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,000 | $0.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5314 Longmeadow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1646 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 6928 Paris St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4942 Bataan Rd Unit 77033 Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6926 Paris St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5036 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1472 | $2,050 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4705 Idaho St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1664 | $2,500 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,650 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6809 Conley St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1921 | $2,600 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3615 Dreyfus St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2011 | $2,800 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,700 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 7507 Springhill St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2000 | $4,500 | $2.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-04status $230,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,095 · $425/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,095 · $425/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,542
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$5,095
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,363
- − Management
- −$2,363
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$1,004
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$241
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,795
- Household income
- $37,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1446.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.02%
- Current HPI
- 180.4283
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.77%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+53.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
- 2015-11-05 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2015-11-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-11-03 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2015-09-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-09-21 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-08-16 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2015-08-16 Listed $149,995 HARMLS
- 2015-08-11 Listed $149,995 HARMLS
- 2015-07-20 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-07-20 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2015-07-19 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2015-07-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-05-14 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2015-05-14 Listed $149,999 HARMLS
- 2015-03-19 Listed $149,995 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+18.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,095 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…