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270 Lee Road 2138
D Composite 44.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$256,000

270 Lee Road 2138 · Phenix City, AL 36870
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,632 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 2006 Est $276k · 7% under $14/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautiful family home in the highly sought-after Yorktown subdivision. Inside, you’ll find charming built-in bookcases, granite countertops, and a stylish tile backsplash that elevate the home’s warm and inviting feel. With four bedrooms at this price point, this home offers exceptional value. The spacious primary suite serves as a true retreat, featuring a private en-suite bathroom and two generous walk-in closets—a rare luxury. The fourth bedroom provides great flexibility for use as a guest room, office, or playroom; please note it does not include a closet. Step outside to a large, fully fenced backyard and a covered back porch, ideal for year-round entertaining, outdoor dining, or relaxing evenings at home. This is the home you’ve been waiting for—come experience it for yourself. Schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • Built-in bookcases
  • Walk-in closets
  • Granite countertops

Tags

BUILT-IN BOOKCASESGRANITE COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHPRIVATE EN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETSFULLY FENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $256k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (18.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.9% in Phenix City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#297 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Lee County (rural): math 23% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #40 of 129 in AL (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $207,490 (18.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.46%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$275,808
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
90 Lee Road 2112 0.04mi 4/2.0 1,642 (+1%) 1mo $270,000 $164 92
366 Lee Road 2138 0.10mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,631 (-0%) 1mo $274,900 $169 85
1340 Lee Rd 219 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,622 (-1%) 1mo $299,900 $185 78
1001 Lee Rd 213 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,693 (+4%) 1mo $325,000 $192 76
127 Lee Road 2141 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,570 (-4%) 2mo $262,900 $167 70
1294 Lee Road 219 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,741 (+7%) 0mo $349,900 $201 66
101 Lee rd 2140 0.30mi 4/2.0 1,463 (-10%) 1mo $265,000 $181 64
1294 Lee Road 0219 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,741 (+7%) 0mo $349,900 $201 63
241 Lee Road 2140 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,508 (-8%) 3mo $230,000 $153 62
95 Lee Road 517 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,537 (-6%) 1mo $255,000 $166 58
66 Lee Road 502 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-14%) 0mo $235,000 $168 57
978 Lee Road 219 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,472 (-10%) 3mo $245,000 $166 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-36,041
Equity at exit
$38,170
10-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-24,660
Equity at exit
$22,134

Cash invested: $71,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36870

Home prices YoY
-10.5%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,075 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,342
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,068/yr
Insurance
$107
HOA
$14
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$436
Net cashflow
$87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,965
Max offer price $256,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $232 -5% $160 +0% $87 +5% $15 +10% $-58
Rent -10% $-77 -5% $5 +0% $87 +5% $169 +10% $251
Rate -1.0pp $216 -0.5pp $152 base $87 +0.5pp $21 +1.0pp $-47

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,000
Closing costs
$7,680
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
393 Lee Rd Unit 554 Phenix City, AL 4.0 2.0 1745 $2,000 $1.15 22d 1 0.35mi
567 Mill Pond Dr Phenix City, AL 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,400 $1.13 14d 1 0.67mi
16 Vineyard Dr Phenix City, AL 3.0 2.0 1324 $1,600 $1.21 44d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$14 · $168/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-01-14
    soldstatus $256,000 Closed 867-char remark
    Show marketing remark (867 chars)

    Welcome to this beautiful family home in the highly sought-after Yorktown subdivision. Inside, you’ll find charming built-in bookcases, granite countertops, and a stylish tile backsplash that elevate the home’s warm and inviting feel. With four bedrooms at this price point, this home offers exceptional value. The spacious primary suite serves as a true retreat, featuring a private en-suite bathroom and two generous walk-in closets—a rare luxury. The fourth bedroom provides great flexibility for use as a guest room, office, or playroom; please note it does not include a closet. Step outside to a large, fully fenced backyard and a covered back porch, ideal for year-round entertaining, outdoor dining, or relaxing evenings at home. This is the home you’ve been waiting for—come experience it for yourself. Schedule your tour today!

  2. 2025-12-09
    status Pending 867-char remark
    Show marketing remark (867 chars)

    Welcome to this beautiful family home in the highly sought-after Yorktown subdivision. Inside, you’ll find charming built-in bookcases, granite countertops, and a stylish tile backsplash that elevate the home’s warm and inviting feel. With four bedrooms at this price point, this home offers exceptional value. The spacious primary suite serves as a true retreat, featuring a private en-suite bathroom and two generous walk-in closets—a rare luxury. The fourth bedroom provides great flexibility for use as a guest room, office, or playroom; please note it does not include a closet. Step outside to a large, fully fenced backyard and a covered back porch, ideal for year-round entertaining, outdoor dining, or relaxing evenings at home. This is the home you’ve been waiting for—come experience it for yourself. Schedule your tour today!

  3. 2025-12-08
    status Pending
  4. 2025-12-05
    listed $256,000 Active 867-char remark
    Show marketing remark (867 chars)

    Welcome to this beautiful family home in the highly sought-after Yorktown subdivision. Inside, you’ll find charming built-in bookcases, granite countertops, and a stylish tile backsplash that elevate the home’s warm and inviting feel. With four bedrooms at this price point, this home offers exceptional value. The spacious primary suite serves as a true retreat, featuring a private en-suite bathroom and two generous walk-in closets—a rare luxury. The fourth bedroom provides great flexibility for use as a guest room, office, or playroom; please note it does not include a closet. Step outside to a large, fully fenced backyard and a covered back porch, ideal for year-round entertaining, outdoor dining, or relaxing evenings at home. This is the home you’ve been waiting for—come experience it for yourself. Schedule your tour today!

  5. 2025-12-05
    listed $256,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (867 chars)

    Welcome to this beautiful family home in the highly sought-after Yorktown subdivision. Inside, you’ll find charming built-in bookcases, granite countertops, and a stylish tile backsplash that elevate the home’s warm and inviting feel. With four bedrooms at this price point, this home offers exceptional value. The spacious primary suite serves as a true retreat, featuring a private en-suite bathroom and two generous walk-in closets—a rare luxury. The fourth bedroom provides great flexibility for use as a guest room, office, or playroom; please note it does not include a closet. Step outside to a large, fully fenced backyard and a covered back porch, ideal for year-round entertaining, outdoor dining, or relaxing evenings at home. This is the home you’ve been waiting for—come experience it for yourself. Schedule your tour today!

  6. 2021-02-12
    soldstatus $174,000
  7. 2020-10-30
    listed $179,900
  8. 2020-10-30
    listed $179,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,068 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,068 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,899
− Mortgage interest
−$14,340
− Property taxes
−$1,068
− Insurance
−$1,280
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,992
− Management
−$1,992
− HOA
−$168
− Depreciation
−$7,447
Taxable loss
−$3,388
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$813
After-tax cash flow
$1,858/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee County
NCES district ID
0102070
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$47,786
Composite
30.04/100
National rank
#6355
State rank
#40 of 129 in AL

Livability — Phenix City

Score
60/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#19037

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lee County · 144,175 people
City population
62,290
Metro
Auburn-Opelika, AL
Population (ZIP)
17,951
Household income
$72,500
Rent vs Own
19.3% rent · 80.7% own
Severe rent burden
500.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
196,440 people
By 2030
217,417 · +10.7%
By 2040
259,467 · +32.1%
By 2050
301,557 · +53.5%
By 2075
402,186 · +104.7%
By 2100
474,503 · +141.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -27.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+19.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -28.19%
Current HPI
241.1403
Rent YoY
Metro
Auburn-Opelika, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Sold (MLS) $256,000 EABOR
  • 2025-12-09 Pending EABOR
  • 2025-12-08 Pending CBOR
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $256,000 EABOR
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $256,000 CBOR
  • 2021-02-12 Sold (MLS) $174,000 CBOR
  • 2020-10-30 Listed $179,900 CBOR
  • 2020-10-30 Listed $179,900 EABOR

Property tax history

-2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,068 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…