4330 F Sam Lewis Rd · Citronelle, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THIS QUIET COUNTRY HOME IS LOCATED ON THE OUTER SKIRTS OF TOWN ON A HILL OVERLOOKING GODS COUNTRY, built ib1973 and remodeled in 1992 SITS ON 1 ACRES CLEARED YARD WITH FENCES FOR POSSIBLE LIVESTOCK, OR GARDEN AREA. 3/1, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE, ALL APPLIANCES COMES WITH THIS HOME: NEW WASHER AND DRYE, REFRIGERATOR, STOVE, MICROWAVE VENTA HOOD, SMALL FREEZER. HAS A LARGE WORKSHOP AND SHED TO PARK YOUR BOAT, TRUCK, TRACTOR UNDER TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE WEATHER, WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER OF JUST TO ESCAPE BUSY CITY FOR A LOT OF PEACE AND RELAXATION.
Key facts
- Country retreat
- Covered shed
- Large workshop
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 5.2% in Citronelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#254 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Citronelle High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #261 of 305 statewide, top 87%, 719 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.43%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.51×
- Total profit
- $77,596
- Equity at exit
- $71,169
- IRR
- 40.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.10×
- Total profit
- $201,379
- Equity at exit
- $153,480
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36522
- Home prices YoY
- 11.8%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,378 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $542
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2026-03-13$79,000 Active
-
2024-03-29soldstatus $74,000 Closed 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
THIS QUIET COUNTRY HOME IS LOCATED ON THE OUTER SKIRTS OF TOWN ON A HILL OVERLOOKING GODS COUNTRY, built ib1973 and remodeled in 1992 SITS ON 1 ACRES CLEARED YARD WITH FENCES FOR POSSIBLE LIVESTOCK, OR GARDEN AREA. 3/1, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE, ALL APPLIANCES COMES WITH THIS HOME: NEW WASHER AND DRYE, REFRIGERATOR, STOVE, MICROWAVE VENTA HOOD, SMALL FREEZER. HAS A LARGE WORKSHOP AND SHED TO PARK YOUR BOAT, TRUCK, TRACTOR UNDER TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE WEATHER, WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER OF JUST TO ESCAPE BUSY CITY FOR A LOT OF PEACE AND RELAXATION.
-
2024-02-06status Pending 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
THIS QUIET COUNTRY HOME IS LOCATED ON THE OUTER SKIRTS OF TOWN ON A HILL OVERLOOKING GODS COUNTRY, built ib1973 and remodeled in 1992 SITS ON 1 ACRES CLEARED YARD WITH FENCES FOR POSSIBLE LIVESTOCK, OR GARDEN AREA. 3/1, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE, ALL APPLIANCES COMES WITH THIS HOME: NEW WASHER AND DRYE, REFRIGERATOR, STOVE, MICROWAVE VENTA HOOD, SMALL FREEZER. HAS A LARGE WORKSHOP AND SHED TO PARK YOUR BOAT, TRUCK, TRACTOR UNDER TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE WEATHER, WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER OF JUST TO ESCAPE BUSY CITY FOR A LOT OF PEACE AND RELAXATION.
-
2023-05-20historical 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
THIS QUIET COUNTRY HOME IS LOCATED ON THE OUTER SKIRTS OF TOWN ON A HILL OVERLOOKING GODS COUNTRY, built ib1973 and remodeled in 1992 SITS ON 1 ACRES CLEARED YARD WITH FENCES FOR POSSIBLE LIVESTOCK, OR GARDEN AREA. 3/1, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE, ALL APPLIANCES COMES WITH THIS HOME: NEW WASHER AND DRYE, REFRIGERATOR, STOVE, MICROWAVE VENTA HOOD, SMALL FREEZER. HAS A LARGE WORKSHOP AND SHED TO PARK YOUR BOAT, TRUCK, TRACTOR UNDER TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE WEATHER, WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER OF JUST TO ESCAPE BUSY CITY FOR A LOT OF PEACE AND RELAXATION.
-
2022-11-06status Pending 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
THIS QUIET COUNTRY HOME IS LOCATED ON THE OUTER SKIRTS OF TOWN ON A HILL OVERLOOKING GODS COUNTRY, built ib1973 and remodeled in 1992 SITS ON 1 ACRES CLEARED YARD WITH FENCES FOR POSSIBLE LIVESTOCK, OR GARDEN AREA. 3/1, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE, ALL APPLIANCES COMES WITH THIS HOME: NEW WASHER AND DRYE, REFRIGERATOR, STOVE, MICROWAVE VENTA HOOD, SMALL FREEZER. HAS A LARGE WORKSHOP AND SHED TO PARK YOUR BOAT, TRUCK, TRACTOR UNDER TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE WEATHER, WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER OF JUST TO ESCAPE BUSY CITY FOR A LOT OF PEACE AND RELAXATION.
-
2022-09-06historical 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
THIS QUIET COUNTRY HOME IS LOCATED ON THE OUTER SKIRTS OF TOWN ON A HILL OVERLOOKING GODS COUNTRY, built ib1973 and remodeled in 1992 SITS ON 1 ACRES CLEARED YARD WITH FENCES FOR POSSIBLE LIVESTOCK, OR GARDEN AREA. 3/1, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE, ALL APPLIANCES COMES WITH THIS HOME: NEW WASHER AND DRYE, REFRIGERATOR, STOVE, MICROWAVE VENTA HOOD, SMALL FREEZER. HAS A LARGE WORKSHOP AND SHED TO PARK YOUR BOAT, TRUCK, TRACTOR UNDER TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE WEATHER, WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER OF JUST TO ESCAPE BUSY CITY FOR A LOT OF PEACE AND RELAXATION.
-
2022-08-31$100,000 Active 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
THIS QUIET COUNTRY HOME IS LOCATED ON THE OUTER SKIRTS OF TOWN ON A HILL OVERLOOKING GODS COUNTRY, built ib1973 and remodeled in 1992 SITS ON 1 ACRES CLEARED YARD WITH FENCES FOR POSSIBLE LIVESTOCK, OR GARDEN AREA. 3/1, WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE, ALL APPLIANCES COMES WITH THIS HOME: NEW WASHER AND DRYE, REFRIGERATOR, STOVE, MICROWAVE VENTA HOOD, SMALL FREEZER. HAS A LARGE WORKSHOP AND SHED TO PARK YOUR BOAT, TRUCK, TRACTOR UNDER TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE WEATHER, WOULD BE A GREAT STARTER OF JUST TO ESCAPE BUSY CITY FOR A LOT OF PEACE AND RELAXATION.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,533
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,323
- − Management
- −$1,323
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $5,584
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,340
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,169/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Citronelle
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #17928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 6,892
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,892
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 18% Two or more races 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.55%
- Current HPI
- 260.4914
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-21.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-13 Listed $79,000 GCMLS AL
- 2024-03-29 Sold (MLS) $74,000 GCMLS AL
- 2024-02-06 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2023-05-20 Delisted — GCMLS AL
- 2022-11-06 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2022-09-06 Delisted — GCMLS AL
- 2022-08-31 Listed $100,000 GCMLS AL
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…