604 Frankfort Avenue Ave NE · Orange City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +7.2/10.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into this affordable starter home with 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms. There are 2 bedrooms in the lower level with the addition of egress windows for 6 possible bedrooms. This 70's home has great bones and a functional layout. Features of the home include tons of shelving and storage throughout, built in desks in several bedrooms, and 2 full bathrooms located on the upper level by bedrooms. The exterior was professionally painted 2021, front deck/porch/steps and railing stained 2021, roof replaced approximately 8 years ago. This home is an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to add value through cosmetic improvements and updates. Check out this rare addition to the market in a price
Key facts
- Built in desks
- Tons of shelving
- Egress windows
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached concrete 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Wood siding; 0.27-acre lot; Residential zoning
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Water softener; Partially finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $224k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-350 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (27.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (36.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $143k (36.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 2.1% in Orange City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#9 in IA, #216 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Moc-Floyd Valley Community School District (town): math 83% / reading 86% proficiency, ranked #12 of 289 in IA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Moc-Floyd Valley Middle School (math 80% / reading 85%, grade A+, #16 of 246 statewide, top 8%, 329 students, 26% FRL); Moc-Floyd Valley High School (math 79% / reading 82%, grade A, #30 of 336 statewide, top 9%, 487 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Sioux County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sioux County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.70%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 13.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $271,299
- List price
- $224,000
- Delta
- -17.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 4th St St NE | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,301 (-2%) | 9mo | $189,000 | $145 | 70 |
| 415 4th St St NE | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,292 (-2%) | 17mo | $193,000 | $149 | 67 |
| 421 Dover Ave Ave NE | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,451 (+10%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $145 | 64 |
| 401 Hartford Ave Ave SE | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,330 (+0%) | 5mo | $320,000 | $241 | 60 |
| 113 Boston Ave Ave SE | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,210 (-9%) | 1mo | $252,500 | $209 | 56 |
| 317 Central Ave Ave NE | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,434 (+8%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $153 | 54 |
| 411 2nd Street St NE | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (+12%) | 8mo | $87,000 | $58 | 51 |
| 516 Arizona Ave Ave NW | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 | 1,256 (-5%) | 20mo | $220,000 | $175 | 50 |
| 415 3rd St St NW | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,466 (+11%) | 8mo | $242,000 | $165 | 45 |
| 130 Concord Ave Ave SE | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,195 (-10%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $197 | 45 |
| 417 4th St NW | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-10%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $152 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-58,621
- Equity at exit
- $33,399
- IRR
- -26.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.27×
- Total profit
- $-79,851
- Equity at exit
- $19,367
Cash invested: $62,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51041
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 13.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,427 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,175
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,514/yr
- Insurance
- −$93
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $-350
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,000
- Closing costs
- $6,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-09status $224,000 Pending 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $224,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-03$249,000 Active 723-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,514 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,015 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- +$501/yr (+$42/mo · 19.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,547
- − Property taxes
- −$2,514
- − Insurance
- −$1,120
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,370
- − Management
- −$1,370
- − Depreciation
- −$6,516
- Taxable loss
- −$8,313
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,995
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,207/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moc-Floyd Valley Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1918840
- Math proficiency
- 83% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 86% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,388
- Composite
- 72.28/100
- National rank
- #204
- State rank
- #12 of 289 in IA
Livability — Orange City
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #216
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orange City, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,173
Population outlook (Sioux County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,762 people
- By 2030
- 36,317 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 37,204 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 37,990 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 39,504 · +10.5%
- By 2100
- 39,809 · +11.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 44% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sioux
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.1) · D 13.9% · R 85.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -62.8pp · 2024: -71.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.1 2020: R+66.5 2016: R+69.3 2012: R+68.0 2008: R+62.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.41%
- Current HPI
- 224.4649
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Pending — NWIA
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $224,000 NWIA
- 2026-05-03 Listed $249,000 NWIA
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,514 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…