3309 N Detroit Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$46,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Needs just a little TLC to be a great starter home or add to your rental portfolio. Selling "AS IS" but just needs a little fine tuning to be move in ready and become a real money maker.
Key facts
- 3,100 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1907
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $46k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $46k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($318 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $46k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.97%
- DSCR
- 3.36
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $49,522
- List price
- $46,000
- Delta
- -7.11%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3244 Glenwood Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,223 (-1%) | 2mo | $36,000 | $29 | 92 |
| 3240 N Detroit Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,208 (-2%) | 2mo | $26,667 | $22 | 89 |
| 312 W Oakland St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 2mo | $17,851 | $14 | 76 |
| 3868 Eggeman Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,262 (+2%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $55 | 70 |
| 3103 Cottage Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (-3%) | 4mo | $58,000 | $49 | 65 |
| 3948 Vermaas Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (+5%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $46 | 58 |
| 3940 Vermaas Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,305 (+6%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $54 | 57 |
| 915 Nesslewood Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,109 (-10%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $54 | 57 |
| 3514 Willys Pkwy | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,312 (+6%) | 1mo | $64,900 | $49 | 56 |
| 3713 Drexel Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,356 (+10%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $85 | 54 |
| 150 W Park St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,124 (-9%) | 4mo | $12,000 | $11 | 51 |
| 18 W Oakland St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,396 (+13%) | 1mo | $114,000 | $82 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.56×
- Total profit
- $45,900
- Equity at exit
- $25,087
- IRR
- 58.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.38×
- Total profit
- $107,936
- Equity at exit
- $42,508
Cash invested: $12,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43610
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,111 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$241
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $585/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $568
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,500
- Closing costs
- $1,380
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1494 | $1,100 | $0.74 | 13d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3615 Berkeley Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 425 Boston Pl Unit A Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $895 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1014 Berdan Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 31 W Oakland St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,249 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3950 Woodhaven Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $745 | $0.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3541 Willys Pkwy Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4039 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 59 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4124 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1245 | $997 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4129 Vermaas Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1385 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1016 Mallett St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $900 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4140 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1378 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3915 Willys Pkwy Unit 3915 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $800 | $0.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3725 Hoiles Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,245 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4220 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,095 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3805 Hoiles Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1370 | $1,025 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 960 W Delaware Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,050 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3606 Revere Dr Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3713 Hazelhurst Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1352 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4158 Mayfield Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $850 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4138 N Lockwood Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4406 Asbury Dr Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,550 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 333 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $495 | $0.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1489 Berdan Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 152 Austin St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3901 Leybourn Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,150 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 227 Everett St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $850 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 625 Virginia St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 625 Virginia St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3817 Burton Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $1,015 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 319 Dexter St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,005 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 405 E Manhattan Blvd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 13d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 424 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1228 | $1,075 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4120 Parrakeet Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 225 Palmer St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $895 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 329 Mettler St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $975 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4459 N Haven Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4223 Birchall Rd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1338 | $1,395 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $46,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $46,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $46,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $46,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $46,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $46,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $46,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $46,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $46,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $46,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $46,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $46,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $46,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $46,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $46,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-02-09price $46,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Needs just a little TLC to be a great starter home or add to your rental portfolio. Selling "AS IS" but just needs a little fine tuning to be move in ready and become a real money maker.
-
2025-12-28$50,000 Active 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Needs just a little TLC to be a great starter home or add to your rental portfolio. Selling "AS IS" but just needs a little fine tuning to be move in ready and become a real money maker.
-
2001-05-25soldstatus $15,000
-
2000-11-12historical
-
2000-02-12$19,900
-
1995-04-11soldstatus $90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $585 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $651 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$66/yr (+$6/mo · 11.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,332
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,577
- − Property taxes
- −$585
- − Insurance
- −$230
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,067
- − Management
- −$1,067
- − Depreciation
- −$1,338
- Taxable income
- $6,468
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,552
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,270/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas · 437,818 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,057
- Household income
- $38,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15.7
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Current HPI
- 126.1457
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-48.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $46,000 NORIS
- 2025-12-28 Listed $50,000 NORIS
- 2001-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2000-11-12 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2000-02-12 Listed $19,900 NORIS
- 1995-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $585 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…