1809 Adam Clayton Powell Jr Blvd Unit 2D · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
$725,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A rare three-bedroom opportunity directly across from Central Park North. Apartment 2D is an approximately 1,200-square-foot pre-war home on the fourth floor of a boutique 1904 elevator cooperative on one of Harlem’s most handsome residential blocks. The classic layout has been built for real life: a proper entry foyer, a sun-filled living and dining area nearly 20 feet long, a separate windowed kitchen, and three true bedrooms arranged along a quiet interior hallway. A windowed bathroom, hardwood floors, and tall original windows run throughout, with leafy views across a protected block of historic Harlem brownstones. The apartment is offered as-is — an ideal canvas for a quali
Key facts
- Windowed bathroom
- Hardwood floors
- $956 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building contains a total of 36 units; Pets not allowed in building
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $956
Exterior
- Home design: Apartment in a 6-story building; Entry on 4th floor
- Construction: Building has elevator(s)
- Exterior features: North exposure
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has cooling
- Interior features: Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry details available in remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $725k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-955 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $587k (19.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $634k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $587k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,343/mo this rent would consume 94% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 2685% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $43k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($703k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.65%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.26% appreciation · 2.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $114,238
- Equity at exit
- $422,264
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $387,991
- Equity at exit
- $738,387
Cash invested: $203,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10026
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,343 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,802
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$906 /mo · $10,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$302
- HOA
- −$956
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,332
- Net cashflow
- $-955
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $181,250
- Closing costs
- $21,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Malcolm X Blvd New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $4,795 | $3.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4 W 108th St Unit 28 New York, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $5,550 | $7.40 | 20d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1 Morningside Dr New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1655 | $9,980 | $6.03 | 1d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 30 Morningside Dr #2096 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $9,000 | $11.53 | 3d | 2 | 0.42mi |
| 5 W 103rd St Apt 4W New York, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $7,495 | $6.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 420 Central Park W Unit 6K New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $8,000 | $7.55 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 77 E 110th St Unit 1322508P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $6,360 | $6.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 312 W 121st St Unit 5-A New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,655 | $5.82 | 11d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 506 Manhattan Ave Unit 1A New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,699 | $5.87 | 11d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 312 W 121st St Unit 4C New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $4,854 | $5.39 | 8d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 508 Manhattan Ave Unit 2C New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,699 | $5.87 | 11d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 400 Central Park W Unit 11D New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $6,950 | $6.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2071 Adam Clayton Powell Junior Blvd Unit 2 New York, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $5,995 | $6.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 545 W 110th St Unit 6A New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $7,500 | $5.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 120 E 116th St Unit 3R New York, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $4,995 | $4.54 | 8d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 808 Columbus Ave New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $9,876 | $12.78 | 1d | 31 | 0.72mi |
| 788 Columbus Ave #1323 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $8,980 | $9.98 | 24d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 230 W 126th St Unit 20C New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $4,555 | $5.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 50 W 97th St #1739 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $6,560 | $8.20 | 6d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1635 Lexington Ave Unit 6D New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $6,000 | $5.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 915 W End Ave #1020 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $8,540 | $10.04 | 2d | 2 | 0.76mi |
| 814 Amsterdam Ave #1019 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $5,270 | $6.59 | 24d | 2 | 0.77mi |
| 122 E 102nd St Unit 1021896P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $5,429 | $7.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 543 W 122nd St Unit 27C New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1313 | $10,995 | $8.37 | 10d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 543 W 122nd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $10,995 | $10.40 | 2d | 7 | 0.84mi |
| 160 W 97th St #1101 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $6,050 | $7.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 70 W 95th St New York, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1095 | $16,333 | $14.91 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 53-55 E 95th St Unit 4A New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 803 | $7,495 | $9.33 | 8d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 309 E 108th St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $5,400 | $3.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 319 E 109th St Unit 1021947P New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $7,260 | $8.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 309 W 97th St Unit 5N New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $5,495 | $6.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 255 W 94th St #686 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $8,690 | $11.59 | 2d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 175 E 96th St Unit 1251683P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $6,380 | $10.63 | 3d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 52 Convent Ave Unit 30 New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $7,500 | $5.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 215 E 95th St #1293 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 740 | $6,100 | $8.24 | 2d | 2 | 1.13mi |
| 600 Columbus Ave Unit 1251680P New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $7,970 | $8.86 | 2d | 2 | 1.14mi |
| 132 W 134th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $4,500 | $6.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 212 W 91st St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $9,650 | $11.70 | 3d | 4 | 1.16mi |
| 212 W 91st St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $9,650 | $11.70 | 3d | 3 | 1.16mi |
| 222 Riverside Dr Unit 8C New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $9,000 | $7.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $956 · $11,472/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $725,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $725,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $725,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $725,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $725,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $725,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $725,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $725,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $725,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $750,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $750,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $750,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-23$750,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $76,115
- − Mortgage interest
- −$40,611
- − Property taxes
- −$10,875
- − Insurance
- −$3,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,089
- − Management
- −$6,089
- − HOA
- −$11,472
- − Depreciation
- −$21,091
- Taxable loss
- −$23,737
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,697
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,768/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This pre-war three-bedroom apartment is in good condition with modern amenities and a prime location directly across from Central Park North. It offers a great canvas for a quality renovation.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernize kitchen
- Resale paint interior walls — enhance curb appeal
- Both landscaping around property — enhance curb appeal and increase rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernize kitchen ↑
- Resale paint interior walls — enhance curb appeal ↑
- Both landscaping around property — enhance curb appeal and increase rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,123
- Household income
- $81,244
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2685.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.26%
- Current HPI
- 330.628
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.46%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $750,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…