71762 El Paseo · Twentynine Palms, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.
Key facts
- Natural gas heating
- Bonus room
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $174k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.3% in Twentynine Palms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#622 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, employment D-.
- Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.01%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $296,248
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -37.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6185 Chia Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (-4%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $180 | 86 |
| 6012 Regino | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (-0%) | 0mo | $342,000 | $260 | 85 |
| 71502 Florida Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (-0%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $228 | 79 |
| 6355 Mojave Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (+1%) | 5mo | $310,000 | $234 | 75 |
| 6162 Chia Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,388 (+6%) | 8mo | $258,800 | $186 | 75 |
| 6070 Baileya | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (-14%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $238 | 69 |
| 72244 Sunnyslope Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (0%) | 3mo | $357,500 | $272 | 67 |
| 72183 Sunnyvale | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,254 (-5%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $183 | 63 |
| 5564 Mariposa | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (-4%) | 4mo | $284,000 | $224 | 56 |
| 5616 Cahuilla Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,405 (+7%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $217 | 50 |
| 72337 El Paseo | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (+11%) | 1mo | $155,500 | $106 | 44 |
| 6614 Mojave Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+14%) | 8mo | $259,500 | $173 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-10,611
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $24,076
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92277
- Home prices YoY
- -3.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 734
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,917 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,494/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5995 Encelia Dr Twentynine Palms, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $2,499 | $2.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 71745 Sunnyslope Dr Twentynine Palms, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,600 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 71593 Sunflower Dr Twentynine Palms, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,995 | $1.52 | 12d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 6182 Mojave Ave Twentynine Palms, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 998 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5930 Regino Ave Unit 29 Twentynine Palms, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,700 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 72211 Sunnyvale Dr Twentynine Palms, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 998 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5575 Encelia Dr Unit 29 Twentynine Palms, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $2,095 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 72255 Sunnyvale Dr Twentynine Palms, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1187 | $1,600 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 72256 Sunnyslope Dr Twentynine Palms, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 12d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6627 Cahuilla Ave Twentynine Palms, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $2,100 | $1.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5415 Lupine Ave Twentynine Palms, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,400 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 72548 Sunnyslope Dr Twentynine Palms, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1647 | $2,150 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6547 49 Palms Ave Twentynine Palms, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 951 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricestatus $185,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $192,850 919-char remark
Show marketing remark (919 chars)
Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.
-
2026-05-15status Active 919-char remark
Show marketing remark (919 chars)
Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.
-
2026-04-30status Pending Sale 919-char remark
Show marketing remark (919 chars)
Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.
-
2026-04-07price $203,000 919-char remark
Show marketing remark (919 chars)
Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.
-
2026-03-18$213,000 Active 919-char remark
Show marketing remark (919 chars)
Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.
-
2021-03-29soldstatus $174,500 Closed Sale 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
A Wonderful place to call home!! Come view this 3/2 with a bonus room. Nice floor plan with ceiling fans throughout. Corner lot with block with block wall for extra privacy. Located close to Military base, local shopping, Joshua Tree National park and local casino. A true Gem!!
-
2021-03-26soldstatus $174,500
-
2021-02-16$174,500 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
A Wonderful place to call home!! Come view this 3/2 with a bonus room. Nice floor plan with ceiling fans throughout. Corner lot with block with block wall for extra privacy. Located close to Military base, local shopping, Joshua Tree National park and local casino. A true Gem!!
-
2021-02-16historical 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
A Wonderful place to call home!! Come view this 3/2 with a bonus room. Nice floor plan with ceiling fans throughout. Corner lot with block with block wall for extra privacy. Located close to Military base, local shopping, Joshua Tree National park and local casino. A true Gem!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,494 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,494 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,494
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,840
- − Management
- −$1,840
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $159
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$38
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,073/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morongo Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625860
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,399
- Composite
- 22.19/100
- National rank
- #8156
- State rank
- #395 of 517 in CA
Livability — Twentynine Palms
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #622
- US rank
- #19731
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Twentynine Palms, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 26,277
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,277
- Household income
- $60,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1057.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Two or more races 24% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 9% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.15%
- Current HPI
- 380.5083
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.45%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+10.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $192,850 CRMLS
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $203,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $213,000 CRMLS
- 2021-03-29 Sold (MLS) $174,500 CRMLS
- 2021-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $174,500 Public Records
- 2021-02-16 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2021-02-16 Listed $174,500 CRMLS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,494 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…