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71762 El Paseo
C Composite 59.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

71762 El Paseo · Twentynine Palms, CA 92277
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1983 8,400 sqft lot $141/sqft · 38% below area Est $296k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.

Key facts

  • Natural gas heating
  • Bonus room
  • Covered patio

Tags

CORNER LOTBONUS ROOMCOZY FIREPLACECOVERED PATIODETACHED SHEDNATURAL GAS HEATING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.3% in Twentynine Palms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#622 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $173,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
6.01%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$296,248
List price
$185,000
Delta
-37.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6185 Chia Ave 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,270 (-4%) 2mo $229,000 $180 86
6012 Regino 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,314 (-0%) 0mo $342,000 $260 85
71502 Florida Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,314 (-0%) 5mo $300,000 $228 79
6355 Mojave Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,326 (+1%) 5mo $310,000 $234 75
6162 Chia Ave 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,388 (+6%) 8mo $258,800 $186 75
6070 Baileya 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,134 (-14%) 5mo $270,000 $238 69
72244 Sunnyslope Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,316 (0%) 3mo $357,500 $272 67
72183 Sunnyvale 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,254 (-5%) 4mo $230,000 $183 63
5564 Mariposa 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,269 (-4%) 4mo $284,000 $224 56
5616 Cahuilla Ave 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,405 (+7%) 4mo $305,000 $217 50
72337 El Paseo 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,464 (+11%) 1mo $155,500 $106 44
6614 Mojave Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+14%) 8mo $259,500 $173 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-10,611
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$24,076
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92277

Home prices YoY
-3.1%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
734
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,917 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$208 /mo · $2,494/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,589
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5995 Encelia Dr Twentynine Palms, CA 3.0 2.0 1235 $2,499 $2.02 4d 1 0.11mi
71745 Sunnyslope Dr Twentynine Palms, CA 2.0 2.0 912 $1,600 $1.75 44d 1 0.15mi
71593 Sunflower Dr Twentynine Palms, CA 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,995 $1.52 12d 1 0.15mi
6182 Mojave Ave Twentynine Palms, CA 2.0 1.0 998 $1,300 $1.30 24d 1 0.28mi
5930 Regino Ave Unit 29 Twentynine Palms, CA 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,700 $1.29 5d 1 0.32mi
72211 Sunnyvale Dr Twentynine Palms, CA 2.0 1.0 998 $1,500 $1.50 3d 1 0.58mi
5575 Encelia Dr Unit 29 Twentynine Palms, CA 4.0 2.5 1496 $2,095 $1.40 2d 1 0.62mi
72255 Sunnyvale Dr Twentynine Palms, CA 3.0 1.5 1187 $1,600 $1.35 24d 1 0.64mi
72256 Sunnyslope Dr Twentynine Palms, CA 2.0 1.0 896 $1,350 $1.51 12d 1 0.66mi
6627 Cahuilla Ave Twentynine Palms, CA 3.0 2.0 1134 $2,100 $1.85 15d 1 0.77mi
5415 Lupine Ave Twentynine Palms, CA 3.0 2.0 1414 $2,400 $1.70 44d 1 0.86mi
72548 Sunnyslope Dr Twentynine Palms, CA 3.0 2.0 1647 $2,150 $1.31 4d 1 1.03mi
6547 49 Palms Ave Twentynine Palms, CA 2.0 1.0 951 $1,350 $1.42 5d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    pricestatus $185,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-05-19
    price $192,850 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.

  9. 2026-05-15
    status Active 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.

  10. 2026-04-30
    status Pending Sale 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.

  11. 2026-04-07
    price $203,000 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.

  12. 2026-03-18
    listed $213,000 Active 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    Located in desirable 29 Palms, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to customize their own space. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property features an attached garage plus a bonus room off the garage—perfect for a home office, workshop, or additional living area. The living room is anchored by a cozy fireplace, adding warmth and character to the space. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and plenty of room to expand or landscape. Additional storage is available with a detached shed on the property. This bank-owned fixer-upper is ready for your vision and updates, offering a fantastic opportunity to build equity. The home includes natural gas heating and central A/C for year-round comfort. Don’t miss this chance to transform a property with solid bones into your ideal desert retreat! This property is being sold through an Auction Event.

  13. 2021-03-29
    soldstatus $174,500 Closed Sale 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    A Wonderful place to call home!! Come view this 3/2 with a bonus room. Nice floor plan with ceiling fans throughout. Corner lot with block with block wall for extra privacy. Located close to Military base, local shopping, Joshua Tree National park and local casino. A true Gem!!

  14. 2021-03-26
    soldstatus $174,500
  15. 2021-02-16
    listed $174,500 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    A Wonderful place to call home!! Come view this 3/2 with a bonus room. Nice floor plan with ceiling fans throughout. Corner lot with block with block wall for extra privacy. Located close to Military base, local shopping, Joshua Tree National park and local casino. A true Gem!!

  16. 2021-02-16
    historical 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    A Wonderful place to call home!! Come view this 3/2 with a bonus room. Nice floor plan with ceiling fans throughout. Corner lot with block with block wall for extra privacy. Located close to Military base, local shopping, Joshua Tree National park and local casino. A true Gem!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,494 · $208/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,494 · $208/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,004
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,494
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,840
− Management
−$1,840
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$159
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$38
After-tax cash flow
$3,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morongo Unified
NCES district ID
0625860
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$39,399
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8156
State rank
#395 of 517 in CA

Livability — Twentynine Palms

Score
59/100
State rank
#622
US rank
#19731

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Twentynine Palms, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
26,277
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
26,277
Household income
$60,901
Rent vs Own
56.7% rent · 43.3% own
Severe rent burden
1057.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Two or more races 24% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 9% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.15%
Current HPI
380.5083
Rent YoY
▲ 4.45%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $192,850 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $203,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $213,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-03-29 Sold (MLS) $174,500 CRMLS
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $174,500 Public Records
  • 2021-02-16 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2021-02-16 Listed $174,500 CRMLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,494 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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