9674 Old Hwy 76 · Morganton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable One-Level Living with Bonus Space & Old Hwy 76 Frontage Don't miss this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a bonus room offering comfortable one-level living and a layout full of potential. Conveniently located with Old Hwy 76 frontage, this property provides easy access while still maintaining a usable and level yard. The home features a functional floor plan, ideal for everyday living, along with a bonus room that could serve as an office, playroom, or additional living space. Outside, you'll find a carport for covered parking and a barn for extra storage or hobby use. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors, this property is being sold AS-IS and is priced to sell, making it a great opportunity to add your own updates and value. Affordable, convenient, and full of potential-schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Barn
- One-level living
- Usable yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $769 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.7% in Morganton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#456 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Fannin County (rural): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #51 of 174 in GA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 306 active listings in the ZIP; 375 units permitted in Fannin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $220k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.98%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $325,609
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -7.90%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9340 Old Hwy 76 | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,444 (-9%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $149 | 64 |
| 169 East St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (-12%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $177 | 63 |
| 255 Loving Rd | 0.26mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,702 (+8%) | 8mo | $405,000 | $238 | 60 |
| 277 Allen Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,644 (+4%) | 21mo | $325,000 | $198 | 56 |
| 12021 Old Hwy 76 | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 | 1,800 (+14%) | 10mo | $570,000 | $317 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $209
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $62,627
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30560
- Home prices YoY
- -9.6%
- Active inventory
- 306
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $741/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$672
- Net cashflow
- $769
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $938 | -5% $853 | +0% $769 | +5% $684 | +10% $599 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $516 | -5% $642 | +0% $769 | +5% $895 | +10% $1,021 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $920 | -0.5pp $845 | base $769 | +0.5pp $691 | +1.0pp $612 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-04$299,900 New 843-char remark
Show marketing remark (848 chars)
Affordable One-Level Living with Bonus Space & Old Hwy 76 Frontage Don't miss this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a bonus room offering comfortable one-level living and a layout full of potential. Conveniently located with Old Hwy 76 frontage, this property provides easy access while still maintaining a usable and level yard. The home features a functional floor plan, ideal for everyday living, along with a bonus room that could serve as an office, playroom, or additional living space. Outside, you'll find a carport for covered parking and a barn for extra storage or hobby use. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors, this property is being sold AS-IS and is priced to sell, making it a great opportunity to add your own updates and value. Affordable, convenient, and full of potential—schedule your showing today.
-
2026-04-04$299,900 Active 848-char remark
Show marketing remark (848 chars)
Affordable One-Level Living with Bonus Space & Old Hwy 76 Frontage Don't miss this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a bonus room offering comfortable one-level living and a layout full of potential. Conveniently located with Old Hwy 76 frontage, this property provides easy access while still maintaining a usable and level yard. The home features a functional floor plan, ideal for everyday living, along with a bonus room that could serve as an office, playroom, or additional living space. Outside, you'll find a carport for covered parking and a barn for extra storage or hobby use. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors, this property is being sold AS-IS and is priced to sell, making it a great opportunity to add your own updates and value. Affordable, convenient, and full of potential—schedule your showing today.
-
2023-10-23soldstatus $220,000 Sold
-
2023-10-23soldstatus $220,000 Sold
-
2023-09-25status Under Contract
-
2023-09-25status Pending
-
2023-09-21price $244,900
-
2023-09-21price $244,900
-
2023-09-01price $254,900
-
2023-08-31$254,900 New
-
2023-08-31$245,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $741 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,759 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,018/yr (+$168/mo · 272.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$741
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,072
- − Management
- −$3,072
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable income
- $4,492
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,078
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,145/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fannin County
- NCES district ID
- 1302100
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,693
- Composite
- 32.92/100
- National rank
- #5597
- State rank
- #51 of 174 in GA
Livability — Morganton
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #21670
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Morganton, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,194
Population outlook (Fannin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,218 people
- By 2030
- 25,519 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 25,548 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 25,008 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 23,359 · -7.4%
- By 2100
- 20,129 · -20.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Scottish 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fannin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.4% · R 82.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.7pp toward R · 2008: -49.1pp · 2024: -64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.8 2020: R+64.6 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+49.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.58%
- Current HPI
- 316.822
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+17.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Listed $299,900 NEGBOR
- 2026-04-04 Listed $299,900 GAMLS
- 2023-10-23 Sold (MLS) $220,000 NEGBOR
- 2023-10-23 Sold (MLS) $220,000 GAMLS
- 2023-09-25 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-09-25 Pending — NEGBOR
- 2023-09-21 Price Changed $244,900 NEGBOR
- 2023-09-21 Price Changed $244,900 GAMLS
- 2023-09-01 Price Changed $254,900 NEGBOR
- 2023-08-31 Listed $245,900 NEGBOR
- 2023-08-31 Listed $254,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $741 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…