501 N Palisades Dr #103 · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 81°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.2/10.0
$289,804
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable, attractive condo for SENIORS in Pacific Palisades in a woodsy neighborhood between the Village & the Ocean. SPECIAL FEATURES: single-level, elevator, large walk-in closet, sliding doors to private balcony, tree top views, assigned parking 2 separate spaces, and more. BUYER GUIDELINES are based on age, income, documentation, and Buyer's own financial ability. Conventional loans are not available. BUYER QUESTIONS: Are you 62 years old or older? Is your household gross maximum income $77,350.76 or less? Financing is Buyer's CASH ONLY. Please contact LA 1 if you are within these guidelines.
Key facts
- Single-level
- Private balcony
- Elevator
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $290k).
- Recommended offer: $264k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $290k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.40%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $510,671
- List price
- $289,804
- Delta
- -43.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $39,764
- Equity at exit
- $43,211
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $211,295
- Equity at exit
- $25,057
Cash invested: $81,145 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 90272
- Home prices YoY
- -2.6%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 317
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,350 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,600/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$554
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$914
- Net cashflow
- $1,043
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,451
- Closing costs
- $8,694
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 Palisades Dr #221 Pacific Palisades, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 593 | $2,600 | $4.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 17352 W Sunset Blvd Pacific Palisades, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $3,598 | $5.26 | 8d | 2 | 0.32mi |
| 17352 Sunset Blvd Pacific Palisades, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $4,200 | $6.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 17350 W Sunset Blvd Pacific Palisades, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $3,495 | $3.70 | 24d | 3 | 0.36mi |
| 33408 Sunset Blvd Pacific Palisades, CA | — | 1.0 | 675 | $1,800 | $2.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 850 Haverford Ave Unit 06 Pacific Palisades, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,600 | $4.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $554 · $6,648/yr
- Likely covers
- parking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,804 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,804 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,804 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,804 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,804 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,804 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,804 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,804 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $289,804 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,804 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $289,804 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,804 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,804 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $289,804 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Affordable, attractive condo for SENIORS in Pacific Palisades in a woodsy neighborhood between the Village & the Ocean. SPECIAL FEATURES: single-level, elevator, large walk-in closet, sliding doors to private balcony, tree top views, assigned parking 2 separate spaces, and more. BUYER GUIDELINES are based on age, income, documentation, and Buyer's own financial ability. Conventional loans are not available. BUYER QUESTIONS: Are you 62 years old or older? Is your household gross maximum income $77,350.76 or less? Financing is Buyer's CASH ONLY. Please contact LA 1 if you are within these guidelines.
-
2026-03-09$296,804 Active 611-char remark
Show marketing remark (611 chars)
Affordable, attractive condo for SENIORS in Pacific Palisades in a woodsy neighborhood between the Village & the Ocean. SPECIAL FEATURES: single-level, elevator, large walk-in closet, sliding doors to private balcony, tree top views, assigned parking 2 separate spaces, and more. BUYER GUIDELINES are based on age, income, documentation, and Buyer's own financial ability. Conventional loans are not available. BUYER QUESTIONS: Are you 62 years old or older? Is your household gross maximum income $77,350.76 or less? Financing is Buyer's CASH ONLY. Please contact LA 1 if you are within these guidelines.
-
2007-11-30soldstatus $135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,600 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,203 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- +$603/yr (+$50/mo · 37.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥81°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,205
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,234
- − Property taxes
- −$1,600
- − Insurance
- −$2,247
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,176
- − Management
- −$4,176
- − HOA
- −$6,648
- − Depreciation
- −$8,431
- Taxable income
- $8,694
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,087
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,390
- Household income
- $189,713
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 688.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 9% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.51%
- Current HPI
- 350.2712
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.38%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+114.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $289,804 TheMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $296,804 TheMLS
- 2007-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,600 · -30.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…