4846 la Entrada Dr · Brownsville, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
Key facts
- Solar panels
- 6,472 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-591/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (4.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (13.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 5.0% in Brownsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in TX, #2,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime D-.
- Brownsville ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #710 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.4%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,898/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1800% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 449 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 449 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.96%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,703
- List price
- $220,000
- Delta
- 1.06%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 987 Paso Del Rio Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,457 (+1%) | 21mo | $199,999 | $137 | 71 |
| 4951 Daffodil Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,498 (+4%) | 16mo | $239,500 | $160 | 48 |
| 1558 Guadalajara Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,581 (+10%) | 17mo | $249,000 | $157 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-28,713
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $16,785
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78520
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Rents YoY
- 11.4%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,898 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$303 /mo · $3,636/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $-49
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $75 | -5% $13 | +0% $-49 | +5% $-112 | +10% $-174 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-199 | -5% $-124 | +0% $-49 | +5% $26 | +10% $101 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $62 | -0.5pp $7 | base $-49 | +0.5pp $-106 | +1.0pp $-164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1044 Alta Mesa Blvd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4883 Camino Verde Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 944 Alta Mesa Blvd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $1,900 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1124 Sierra Grande Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,599 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1315 Pinion Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,950 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1683 Artemisa Ave Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1717 | $1,950 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1653 W San Marcelo Blvd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1587 Pinion Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,750 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4951 Daffodil Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4951 Daffodil Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2066 Saketa Ln Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2043 Saketa Ln Unit A Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,700 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2018 Diamond Dr Unit A Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1465 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2019 Diamond Dr Unit B Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1565 | $1,950 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2011 Diamond Dr Unit A Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1465 | $2,900 | $1.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 15 Valles Ct Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1715 | $2,350 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2100 W San Marcelo Blvd Apt 185 Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2100 W San Marcelo Blvd Brownsville, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1069 | $1,500 | $1.40 | 44d | 2 | 1.18mi |
| 2107 Carlos Ave Unit A Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 6732 Stone Oak Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $2,300 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 124 Barcelona Ave Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1708 | $2,900 | $1.70 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2034 Toluca Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1669 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 184 Stars Ave Unit 7 Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,900 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6601 Garden Woods Ave Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5871 Greenwood Dr Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $1,950 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 35 La Paz Ct Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1660 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 501 Geraldine Ln Brownsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $1,900 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 424 Gilson Rd Brownsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1935 Athens St Brownsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $2,200 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1935 Athens St Brownsville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $2,200 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4518 La Salida Dr Unit A Brownsville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
-
2026-02-19price $220,000 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
-
2026-02-10price $225,000 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
-
2026-02-10status Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
-
2026-02-10historical 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
-
2026-01-12status Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
-
2026-01-10historical 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
-
2025-11-03price $230,000 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
-
2025-10-27status Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
-
2025-10-25historical 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
-
2025-02-05$240,000 Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
This Charming home is a 3-bedroom and 2 full bath it is a must-see! It's all about Location, Location, Location. The property is centrally located near shopping centers, hospitals, and schools—the Solar Panels Convey with the sale.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,636 · $303/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,026 · $336/mo
- Expected delta
- +$390/yr (+$33/mo · 10.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,771
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,636
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,822
- − Management
- −$1,822
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$4,332
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,040
- After-tax cash flow
- $448/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811680
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,490
- Composite
- 21.8/100
- National rank
- #8249
- State rank
- #710 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brownsville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #2311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownsville, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 212,132
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,740
- Household income
- $50,116
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1800.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 44% White 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 88%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 82%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.91%
- Current HPI
- 214.4335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.41%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-8.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — RGVMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $220,000 RGVMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $225,000 RGVMLS
- 2026-02-10 Relisted — RGVMLS
- 2026-02-10 Delisted — RGVMLS
- 2026-01-12 Relisted — RGVMLS
- 2026-01-10 Delisted — RGVMLS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $230,000 RGVMLS
- 2025-10-27 Relisted — RGVMLS
- 2025-10-25 Delisted — RGVMLS
- 2025-02-05 Listed $240,000 RGVMLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,636 · -9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…