1100 Safrit Rd · Salisbury, NC 28146

$220,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,716 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market

Built 1998 Est $281k · 22% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +14.1/30.0
• DSCR +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• 1% rule +2.7/10.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Very spacious 4bedroom. . quick to i-85. Great area.

Key facts

• Built 1998
• Listed 23 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($390/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (23.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $169k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.2% in Salisbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities D-.
• Rowan-Salisbury Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #142 of 178 in NC (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 230 active listings in the ZIP; 592 units permitted in Rowan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Rowan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $45k; list at $220k implies a 389% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $169,232 (23.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.77% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.63%
• DSCR: 1.03
• GRM: 10.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $281,424
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1365 Safrit Rd	0.25mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,612 (-6%)	6mo	$265,000	$164	68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.45×
• Total profit: $-33,689
• Equity at exit: $32,803

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.56×
• Total profit: $-27,108
• Equity at exit: $19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 28146

• Home prices YoY: -23.3%
• Active inventory: 230
• Price-to-rent: 10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,692 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,154
• Tax from tax record: −$59 /mo · $709/yr
• Insurance: −$92
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$355
• Net cashflow: $32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,651

Max offer price $220,000

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $55,000
• Closing costs: $6,600
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $220,000 Active 23 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $220,000 Active 22 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $220,000 Active 21 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $220,000 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $220,000 Active 18 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $220,000 Active 14 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $220,000 Active 13 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $220,000 Active 9 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 7 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 5 DOM
14. 2026-05-26
    listed $220,000 Active
15. 2005-11-07
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $709 · $59/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,804 · $150/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,095/yr (+$91/mo · 154.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,308
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,323
• − Property taxes: −$709
• − Insurance: −$1,100
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,625
• − Management: −$1,625
• − Depreciation: −$6,400
• Taxable loss: −$3,474
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$834
• After-tax cash flow: $1,223/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rowan-Salisbury Schools
• NCES district ID: 3704050
• Math proficiency: 26% ▲ 2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $43,953
• Composite: 26.01/100
• National rank: #7317
• State rank: #142 of 178 in NC

Livability — Salisbury

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #365
• US rank: #14533

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Rowan County · 103,630 people
• City population: 85,081
• Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
• Population (ZIP): 31,292
• Household income: $69,279
• Rent vs Own: 16.9% rent · 83.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 299.0

Population outlook (Rowan County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 140,430 people
• By 2030: 140,193 · -0.2%
• By 2040: 137,617 · -2.0%
• By 2050: 131,826 · -6.1%
• By 2075: 115,123 · -18.0%
• By 2100: 92,774 · -33.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rowan

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.6% · R 67.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -22.8pp · 2024: -35.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+35.7 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+22.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -83.32%
• Current HPI: 273.7508
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

+388.9% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $220,000 FSBO.com
• 2005-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $709 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.