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16 Conrad Park
B+ Composite 75.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

16 Conrad Park · Dayville, CT 06241
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 550 sqft · Manufactured public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1961 $109/sqft · 32% below area Est $88k · 32% under $675/mo HOA · 41% of rent ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 1 bed, 1 bath mobile home has been updated. Nicely located at the back of Conrads Park. The remodeled kitchen boasts new cabinets and a granite breakfast bar that opens to the living room, new fridge, all make for an inviting space. All-new flooring runs throughout, while the bathroom features a stylish tub/shower combo. You'll also enjoy a good-sized bedroom, a utility room with laundry, and mostly new windows for added efficiency. Step outside to a large yard for the area with beautiful grass-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Located less than a mile from 395 and shopping conveniences like Target, Lowe's, Aldi, TJ Maxx, and more, you'll have everything you need nearby. The $675 monthly lot dues includes water, sewer, trash pickup, snow removal, lawn and road maintenance, plus property management for easy, affordable living.

Key facts

  • Mostly new windows
  • Remodeled kitchen
  • New flooring

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENGRANITE BREAKFAST BARNEW FLOORINGUTILITY ROOM WITH LAUNDRYMOSTLY NEW WINDOWSLARGE YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Killingly School District (rural): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #119 of 153 in CT (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 149 units permitted in Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $52k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
Recommended offer $58,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.76%
Cap rate
10.70%
Cash-on-cash
15.73%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,848
List price
$60,000
Delta
-31.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1032 N Main St #9 0.08mi 1/1.0 (-1) 600 (+9%) 1mo $47,900 $80 75
1032 N Main St #5 0.08mi 2/1.0 600 (+9%) 21mo $46,000 $77 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$4,741
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$23,972
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06241

Home prices YoY
-14.2%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,658 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$675
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$220

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,379
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$675 · $8,100/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashsnow removal

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    price $60,000 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    This 1 bed, 1 bath mobile home has been updated. Nicely located at the back of Conrads Park. The remodeled kitchen boasts new cabinets and a granite breakfast bar that opens to the living room, new fridge, all make for an inviting space. All-new flooring runs throughout, while the bathroom features a stylish tub/shower combo. You'll also enjoy a good-sized bedroom, a utility room with laundry, and mostly new windows for added efficiency. Step outside to a large yard for the area with beautiful grass-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Located less than a mile from 395 and shopping conveniences like Target, Lowe's, Aldi, TJ Maxx, and more, you'll have everything you need nearby. The $675 monthly lot dues includes water, sewer, trash pickup, snow removal, lawn and road maintenance, plus property management for easy, affordable living.

  2. 2026-04-09
    listed $65,000 Active 846-char remark
    Show marketing remark (846 chars)

    This 1 bed, 1 bath mobile home has been updated. Nicely located at the back of Conrads Park. The remodeled kitchen boasts new cabinets and a granite breakfast bar that opens to the living room, new fridge, all make for an inviting space. All-new flooring runs throughout, while the bathroom features a stylish tub/shower combo. You'll also enjoy a good-sized bedroom, a utility room with laundry, and mostly new windows for added efficiency. Step outside to a large yard for the area with beautiful grass-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Located less than a mile from 395 and shopping conveniences like Target, Lowe's, Aldi, TJ Maxx, and more, you'll have everything you need nearby. The $675 monthly lot dues includes water, sewer, trash pickup, snow removal, lawn and road maintenance, plus property management for easy, affordable living.

  3. 2025-11-05
    soldstatus $52,000 Closed 876-char remark
    Show marketing remark (876 chars)

    This 1 bed, 1 bath mobile home has been beautifully updated and offers a smart, spacious feel. The remodeled kitchen boasts new cabinets and a granite breakfast bar that opens to the living room, creating a bright and inviting space. All-new flooring runs throughout, while the bathroom features a stylish tub/shower combo. You'll also enjoy a good-sized bedroom, a utility room with laundry, and mostly new windows for added efficiency. Step outside to a large yard for the area with beautiful grass-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Located less than a mile from 395 and shopping conveniences like Target, Lowe's, Aldi, TJ Maxx, and more, you'll have everything you need nearby. The $675 monthly lot dues includes water, sewer, trash pickup, snow removal, lawn and road maintenance, plus property management for easy, affordable living. Inspections for buyers info only.

  4. 2025-10-13
    status Under Contract 876-char remark
    Show marketing remark (876 chars)

    This 1 bed, 1 bath mobile home has been beautifully updated and offers a smart, spacious feel. The remodeled kitchen boasts new cabinets and a granite breakfast bar that opens to the living room, creating a bright and inviting space. All-new flooring runs throughout, while the bathroom features a stylish tub/shower combo. You'll also enjoy a good-sized bedroom, a utility room with laundry, and mostly new windows for added efficiency. Step outside to a large yard for the area with beautiful grass-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Located less than a mile from 395 and shopping conveniences like Target, Lowe's, Aldi, TJ Maxx, and more, you'll have everything you need nearby. The $675 monthly lot dues includes water, sewer, trash pickup, snow removal, lawn and road maintenance, plus property management for easy, affordable living. Inspections for buyers info only.

  5. 2025-10-04
    price $50,000 876-char remark
    Show marketing remark (876 chars)

    This 1 bed, 1 bath mobile home has been beautifully updated and offers a smart, spacious feel. The remodeled kitchen boasts new cabinets and a granite breakfast bar that opens to the living room, creating a bright and inviting space. All-new flooring runs throughout, while the bathroom features a stylish tub/shower combo. You'll also enjoy a good-sized bedroom, a utility room with laundry, and mostly new windows for added efficiency. Step outside to a large yard for the area with beautiful grass-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Located less than a mile from 395 and shopping conveniences like Target, Lowe's, Aldi, TJ Maxx, and more, you'll have everything you need nearby. The $675 monthly lot dues includes water, sewer, trash pickup, snow removal, lawn and road maintenance, plus property management for easy, affordable living. Inspections for buyers info only.

  6. 2025-09-20
    listed $69,900 Active 876-char remark
    Show marketing remark (876 chars)

    This 1 bed, 1 bath mobile home has been beautifully updated and offers a smart, spacious feel. The remodeled kitchen boasts new cabinets and a granite breakfast bar that opens to the living room, creating a bright and inviting space. All-new flooring runs throughout, while the bathroom features a stylish tub/shower combo. You'll also enjoy a good-sized bedroom, a utility room with laundry, and mostly new windows for added efficiency. Step outside to a large yard for the area with beautiful grass-perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Located less than a mile from 395 and shopping conveniences like Target, Lowe's, Aldi, TJ Maxx, and more, you'll have everything you need nearby. The $675 monthly lot dues includes water, sewer, trash pickup, snow removal, lawn and road maintenance, plus property management for easy, affordable living. Inspections for buyers info only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,896
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,592
− Management
−$1,592
− HOA
−$8,100
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$2,306
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$554
After-tax cash flow
$2,089/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Killingly School District
NCES district ID
0902070
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$55,485
Composite
28.71/100
National rank
#6684
State rank
#119 of 153 in CT

Livability — Dayville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayville, CT
Population (ZIP)
6,317

Population outlook (Northeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
104,160

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 20% Romanian 7% Russian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
R (+15.4) · D 41.5% · R 57.0% · Other 1.5%
All cycles
2024: R+15.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.86%
Current HPI
216.1835
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $60,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $65,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-11-05 Sold (MLS) $52,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-10-13 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2025-10-04 Price Changed $50,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-09-20 Listed $69,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $104 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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