🏗️ New Construction
Skyline 120 Northtowne Meadows Plan · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy life to the fullest at Northtowne Meadows. Make this quaint and scenic manufactured community the place you call home. Our 2 and 3 bedroom homes are fully customizable and come with core features like wood kitchen cabinets, full kitchen appliances packages, kitchen islands, entertainment centers, primaryr suites, and more. At Northtowne Meadows, we make high-quality luxury living a reality at an affordable price! Northtowne Meadows is located in Erie, Michigan, near the Michigan/Ohio border, with Toledo just five miles away. Our community is also close to the Great Lake Erie, making beautiful and scenic lakeside parks and beaches a quick drive away. Northtowne Meadows offers residents amazing on-site amenities, including a community center, pool, basketball and volleyball court, dog park, playground, and fitness center. With so much to do in the community, you'll love being a resident here. Visit our office to start the search for your new home today! Northtowne Meadows is located in the Bedford Schools District.
Key facts
- Customizable homes
- Kitchen islands
- Primary suites
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $98k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Bedford Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #150 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $681 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.44%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $802
- Equity at exit
- $14,687
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $22,333
- Equity at exit
- $8,516
Cash invested: $27,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,194 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$517
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$123 /mo · $1,478/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $263
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,625
- Closing costs
- $2,955
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6255 S Telegraph Erie, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,288 | $1.09 | 14d | 3 | 0.10mi |
| 6220 Lewis Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $895 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 540 W Alexis Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $944 | $1.30 | 14d | 14 | 0.92mi |
| 1509 Brooke Park Dr Apt 3 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 859 | $700 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1520 Brooke Park Dr Apt 6 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $760 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $98,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $98,500 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $98,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-01-21$98,500 Active 1038-char remark
Show marketing remark (1038 chars)
Enjoy life to the fullest at Northtowne Meadows. Make this quaint and scenic manufactured community the place you call home. Our 2 and 3 bedroom homes are fully customizable and come with core features like wood kitchen cabinets, full kitchen appliances packages, kitchen islands, entertainment centers, primaryr suites, and more. At Northtowne Meadows, we make high-quality luxury living a reality at an affordable price! Northtowne Meadows is located in Erie, Michigan, near the Michigan/Ohio border, with Toledo just five miles away. Our community is also close to the Great Lake Erie, making beautiful and scenic lakeside parks and beaches a quick drive away. Northtowne Meadows offers residents amazing on-site amenities, including a community center, pool, basketball and volleyball court, dog park, playground, and fitness center. With so much to do in the community, you'll love being a resident here. Visit our office to start the search for your new home today! Northtowne Meadows is located in the Bedford Schools District.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,334
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,518
- − Property taxes
- −$1,478
- − Insurance
- −$492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,147
- − Management
- −$1,147
- − Depreciation
- −$2,865
- Taxable income
- $1,687
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$405
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,750/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor aesthetic updates to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers
- Both Add a small front porch or bench — Improves curb appeal and can be used as a relaxing space
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers ↑
- Both Add a small front porch or bench — Improves curb appeal and can be used as a relaxing space ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bedford Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2604470
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,784
- Composite
- 38.22/100
- National rank
- #4252
- State rank
- #150 of 540 in MI
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe · 13,010 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Monroe, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,711
- Household income
- $65,867
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 33.5
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,439 people
- By 2030
- 140,033 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 128,408 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 115,024 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 87,273 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 63,110 · -56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Romanian 9% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.33%
- Current HPI
- 152.4502
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-21 Listed $98,500 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…