1893 Ashbrook Dr · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bdrm 1.5 bath Cape Cod. Newer Dimensional roof, hdwd floors, furnace & HWH. AC 1year. Move in condition. Must see! Excellent for investor or 1st time buyers.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Bright living area
- Main-floor bedroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning; Lot approximately 40 x 120 (0.114 acres)
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front garage (1 car); Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Cape Cod style; Single-family home; One and one half stories; Block foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Vinyl windows (insulated)
Interior
- Kitchen: Wood cabinets; Dishwasher; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom 11 x 14 (Level: 2); Bedroom 2 9 x 14 (Level: 2); Bedroom 3 13 x 10 (Level: 1); First-floor bedroom available
- Flooring: Wood floors in living and dining areas
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; First-floor full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning; Natural gas
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Full unfinished basement with concrete floor
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $135k implies a 346% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.43%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,440
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1772 Tuxworth Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,493 (-4%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $104 | 81 |
| 1646 Tuxworth Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,557 (-0%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $116 | 75 |
| 4925 Shirley Pl | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-7%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $158 | 68 |
| 1702 Ashbrook Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,369 (-12%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $102 | 68 |
| 5036 Ralph Ave | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,432 (-8%) | 1mo | $273,428 | $191 | 53 |
| 1191 Rulison Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (+10%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $166 | 52 |
| 4778 Loretta Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,664 (+7%) | 5mo | $236,900 | $142 | 52 |
| 1175 Nancy Lee Ln | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,477 (-5%) | 0mo | $178,000 | $121 | 51 |
| 1418 Covedale Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,436 (-8%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $153 | 48 |
| 1127 Rulison Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,702 (+9%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $165 | 47 |
| 1147 Olivia Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (-14%) | 4mo | $194,000 | $145 | 43 |
| 1429 Covedale Ave | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,379 (-12%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $149 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,124
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $41,852
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45238
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,589 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,958/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1723 Tuxworth Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2706 E Tower Dr Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $1,520 | $1.60 | 1d | 61 | 0.47mi |
| 2621 Gehrum Ln Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2511 Ferguson Rd Unit 2537 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2682 Lafeuille Cir Cincinnati, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,574 | $1.66 | 3d | 16 | 0.71mi |
| 5256 Ponce Ln Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,866 | $1.47 | 1d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1031 Schiff Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2142 | $1,300 | $0.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1240 Rosemont Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,100 | $0.86 | 20d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1233 Dewey Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1411 | $1,375 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1024 Edgetree Ln Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1949 | $2,250 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1214 Gilsey Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1214 Gilsey Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1311 Manss Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,295 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1740 Minion Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1607 Minion Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1066 | $1,675 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1620 Minion Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $1,550 | $0.84 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4227 W 8th St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1832 | $2,050 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3772 W Liberty St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 905 Suire Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1699 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 868 Academy Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,699 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3666 Glenway Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1339 | $1,250 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 862 Academy Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1627 | $1,450 | $0.89 | 17d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4284 Foley Rd Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $2,800 | $2.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3245 Koenig Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2045 | $2,475 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2854 Shaffer Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $134,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $144,900
-
2026-04-12$149,900 Active
-
2012-09-14soldstatus $30,250 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
3 bdrm 1.5 bath Cape Cod. Newer Dimensional roof, hdwd floors, furnace & HWH. AC 1year. Move in condition. Must see! Excellent for investor or 1st time buyers.
-
2012-08-13$32,900 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
3 bdrm 1.5 bath Cape Cod. Newer Dimensional roof, hdwd floors, furnace & HWH. AC 1year. Move in condition. Must see! Excellent for investor or 1st time buyers.
-
2009-04-29soldstatus $10,565 238-char remark
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
HUD Owned Case#411-350040 Agents must submit bids online, info available in agent remarks. Property Sold AS IS, Buyer to rely on own inspections. MLS info is believed accurate but not guaranteed. IE-FHA Financing requires escrow of $1210.
-
2009-03-16$8,100 238-char remark
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
HUD Owned Case#411-350040 Agents must submit bids online, info available in agent remarks. Property Sold AS IS, Buyer to rely on own inspections. MLS info is believed accurate but not guaranteed. IE-FHA Financing requires escrow of $1210.
-
2008-12-10historical
-
2008-06-20$59,000
-
2008-03-31historical
-
2007-08-10$43,636
-
2006-08-07historical
-
2006-03-17$82,900
-
2002-10-23soldstatus $76,000
-
2002-10-07soldstatus $76,000
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2002-08-12$76,900
-
1995-11-30soldstatus $64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,958 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,031 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$73/yr (+$6/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,958
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,525
- − Management
- −$1,525
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $1,903
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$457
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,485/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,351
- Household income
- $66,277
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2012.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 28% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.57%
- Current HPI
- 213.5097
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+126.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $144,900 Cincy MLS
- 2026-04-12 Listed $149,900 Cincy MLS
- 2012-09-14 Sold (MLS) $30,250 Cincy MLS
- 2012-08-13 Listed $32,900 Cincy MLS
- 2009-04-29 Sold (MLS) $10,565 Cincy MLS
- 2009-03-16 Listed $8,100 Cincy MLS
- 2008-12-10 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2008-06-20 Listed $59,000 Cincy MLS
- 2008-03-31 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2007-08-10 Listed $43,636 Cincy MLS
- 2006-08-07 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2006-03-17 Listed $82,900 Cincy MLS
- 2002-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-07 Sold (MLS) $76,000 Cincy MLS
- 2002-08-12 Listed $76,900 Cincy MLS
- 1995-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,958 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…