447 Saxony J Way Unit 447-J · Delray Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 2 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
First-Floor, Beautifully Updated Condo in King's Point - 55+ Resort-Style Living. Rare opportunity to own a desirable ground-floor 1-bedroom, 1.5-bath residence. Enjoy the ease and convenience of first-floor living — no stairs, no elevators — just comfortable, accessible everyday living. This move-in-ready unit features tile flooring throughout, a renovated kitchen with modern finishes, updated bathroom vanities, and a refreshed shower design. Thoughtfully maintained and tastefully updated, the space feels bright, clean, and inviting. Relax and indulge in the exceptional resort-style amenities of King's Point, including two 18-hole golf courses, indoor and outdoor pools, tennis
Key facts
- Renovated kitchen
- First floor living
- $689 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Take Atlantic Avenue West then right onto Jog Road, left onto Kings Point Entrance. After gate follow signs to Saxony J.
- Financial info: Pet-friendly with possible restrictions; Located in a senior community
- HOA & community: HOA membership with monthly fee; HOA amenities include billiard room, clubhouse, fitness center, golf course, indoor pool, outdoor pool, sauna, shuffleboard, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, manager on site, café/restaurant, community room, courtesy bus, pickleball courts, and street lights; HOA fee paid monthly (amount provided in records)
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; Single-story; Resale property; Faces west
- Construction: Built with CBS construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: No special interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet inside the unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.3% in Delray Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 577 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $895 of equity ($449 loan paydown + $446 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 2→8/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.35%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.69% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $8,498
- Equity at exit
- $21,137
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $19,571
- Equity at exit
- $27,292
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33446
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 577
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,678 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$689
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $187
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 662 Saxony N Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,450 | $2.01 | 20d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 594 Saxony Trl Unit 594 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,650 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 123 Saxony C Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $2,500 | $3.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 594 Saxony Trl Unit 594 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,550 | $2.15 | 2d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 23 Saxony a Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 7d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 370 Saxony H Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,500 | $2.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 679 Saxony Way Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,600 | $2.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 459 Monaco J #459 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,400 | $1.94 | 1d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 482 Monaco Blvd #482 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,400 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 399 Brittany I Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,450 | $2.01 | 18d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 399 Brittany I Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,450 | $2.01 | 12d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 211 Saxony Ln #211 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,400 | $1.94 | 7d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 675 Brittany O Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 451 Monaco Blvd Unit J Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,599 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 459 Monaco Blvd Unit 459 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 20d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 711 Monaco O Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,550 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 11 Brittany a Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 725 | $1,500 | $2.07 | 7d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 58 Monaco Blvd Unit 58 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,650 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 286 Monaco F Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 726 | $1,700 | $2.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 715 Saxony O Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,200 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 686 Brittany O Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,600 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 151 Saxony D Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,500 | $2.07 | 12d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 718 Brittany Park #718 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,795 | $2.49 | 16d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 99 Saxony C Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $2,500 | $3.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 195 Monaco E Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 728 | $1,550 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 270 Brittany F Unit F Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,600 | $2.22 | 7d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 159 Brittany Ter Unit 159 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,795 | $2.49 | 16d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 419 Brittany I Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,450 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 175 Valencia H Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,500 | $2.07 | 7d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 318 Seville N #318 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,495 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 322 Seville N Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,495 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 111 Normandy Ln Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 726 | $1,450 | $2.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 242 Seville K Unit 242 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,380 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 102 Waterford D Unit 102 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,900 | $2.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 43 Waterford B Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,400 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 154 Seville G Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,490 | $2.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 163 Tuscany C Unit C Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,300 | $1.81 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 126 Seville E Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,450 | $2.01 | 18d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 522 Capri K Unit K Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 730 | $1,350 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $689 · $8,268/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-02-12$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 2 d/yr ≥107°F today · 8 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,133
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,611
- − Management
- −$1,611
- − HOA
- −$8,268
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,812
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$435
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,812/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Delray Beach
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #3160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 123,167
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,431
- Household income
- $80,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 494.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 9% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.69%
- Current HPI
- 242.5138
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.51%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Listed $65,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…