43 Grant Ave · Auburn, NY 13021

$119,900

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,640 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 145 Days on market

Built 1900 Fair condition 3,939 sqft lot $73/sqft · 32% below area Est $178k · 32% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

New Price! 2 Story Home with 4 Bedrooms, 1.5 Bath, Spacious Living room & Dining room with hardwood flooring. Full bath upstairs with a 1/2 bath down. Attic storage. Front enclosed porch and small side yard for low maintenance. Newer Roof. Shared driveway with room for 2 vehicles. Fantastic price for a 4 bed/ 2 bath home. Nicely priced home for an Owner Occupy! or Great Investment property with good income potential.

Key facts

• 3,939 sq ft lot
• Parking
• Built 1900

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
• Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 6.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment D-.
• Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Herman Avenue Elementary School (math 21% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,774 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 444 students, 51% FRL); Auburn Junior High School (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #661 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 598 students, 81% FRL); Auburn High School (math 88% / reading 84%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,183 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 42% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 296 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $50k; list at $120k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.52% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.47%
• DSCR: 2.00
• GRM: 5.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $177,526
• List price: $119,900
• Delta: -32.46%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
69 Lansing St	0.22mi	4/1.5	1,608 (-2%)	9mo	$204,000	$127	77
76 Grant Ave	0.14mi	4/1.5	1,744 (+6%)	5mo	$173,000	$99	77
18 Paul St	0.13mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,516 (-8%)	6mo	$65,000	$43	70
3 Parsons St	0.42mi	5/2.0 (+1)	1,624 (-1%)	4mo	$39,000	$24	66
126 N Fulton St	0.33mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,568 (-4%)	8mo	$162,500	$104	64
39 Perry St	0.33mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,472 (-10%)	2mo	$30,000	$20	61
34 Liberty St	0.40mi	4/1.5	1,464 (-11%)	5mo	$135,000	$92	58
121 E Genesee St	0.37mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,800 (+10%)	4mo	$395,000	$219	53
318 N Seward Ave	0.48mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,500 (-8%)	9mo	$219,900	$147	51
22 Sherman St	0.53mi	5/2.0 (+1)	1,782 (+9%)	4mo	$250,000	$140	49
130 North St	0.53mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,789 (+9%)	4mo	$198,000	$111	48
78 Standart Ave	0.51mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,448 (-12%)	2mo	$165,000	$114	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.61×
• Total profit: $20,624
• Equity at exit: $17,877

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.07×
• Total profit: $69,577
• Equity at exit: $10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 23 active · 19 under contract
• Months of supply: 6.9 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $199,900 ($127/sqft)
• Median days on market: 44 d
• This list price: lowest-priced of the active set
• ARV vs active asking: -14.7% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 13021

• Home prices YoY: -22.4%
• Active inventory: 296
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,820 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$629
• Tax from tax record: −$131 /mo · $1,570/yr
• Insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$382
• Net cashflow: $629

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,025

Max offer price $119,900

Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $696	-5% $663	+0% $629	+5% $595	+10% $561
Rent	-10% $485	-5% $557	+0% $629	+5% $701	+10% $772
Rate	-1.0pp $689	-0.5pp $659	base $629	+0.5pp $598	+1.0pp $566

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $29,975
• Closing costs: $3,597
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5 Sheridan St Auburn, NY	4.0	2.0	1788	$1,995	$1.12	93d	1	0.39mi
173 E Genesee St Unit 171 Auburn, NY	3.0	1.5	2000	$2,000	$1.00	93d	1	0.59mi

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-08-08
   days on market $119,900 Active 145 DOM
2. 2026-08-07
   days on market $119,900 Active 144 DOM
3. 2026-08-06
   days on market $119,900 Active 143 DOM
4. 2026-08-05
   days on market $119,900 Active 142 DOM
5. 2026-08-04
   days on market $119,900 Active 141 DOM
6. 2026-08-03
   days on market $119,900 Active 140 DOM
7. 2026-07-31
   days on market $119,900 Active 137 DOM
8. 2026-07-30
   days on market $119,900 Active 136 DOM
9. 2026-07-29
   days on market $119,900 Active 135 DOM
10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $119,900 Active 133 DOM
11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $119,900 Active 131 DOM
12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $119,900 Active 130 DOM
13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $119,900 Active 129 DOM
14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $119,900 Active 128 DOM
15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 127 DOM
16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 124 DOM
17. 2026-07-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 122 DOM
18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 121 DOM
19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 120 DOM
20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 119 DOM
21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 118 DOM
22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $119,900 Active 117 DOM
23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 116 DOM
24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 115 DOM
25. 2026-07-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 114 DOM
26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 113 DOM
27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $119,900 Active 112 DOM
28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $119,900 Active 111 DOM
29. 2026-07-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 110 DOM
30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 109 DOM
31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 108 DOM
32. 2026-07-01
    price $119,900 Active 107 DOM
33. 2026-07-01
    days on market $124,999 Active 107 DOM
34. 2026-06-30
    days on market $124,999 Active 106 DOM
35. 2026-06-29
    days on market $124,999 Active 105 DOM
36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $124,999 Active 104 DOM
37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $124,999 Active 103 DOM
38. 2026-06-26
    days on market $124,999 Active 101 DOM
39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $124,999 Active 98 DOM
40. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,999 Active 95 DOM
41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,999 Active 94 DOM
42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,999 Active 93 DOM
43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,999 Active 92 DOM
44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,999 Active 91 DOM
45. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,999 Active 89 DOM
46. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,999 Active 88 DOM
47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,999 Active 85 DOM
48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,999 Active 84 DOM
49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,999 Active 83 DOM
50. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,999 Active 80 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,570 · $131/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,798 · $150/mo
• Expected delta: +$228/yr (+$19/mo · 14.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,846
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,716
• − Property taxes: −$1,570
• − Insurance: −$600
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,748
• − Management: −$1,748
• − Depreciation: −$3,488
• Taxable income: $5,977
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,434
• After-tax cash flow: $6,109/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $41,000–$73,800 screening

A 2-story home with fair exterior condition, requiring minor repairs and maintenance. Paint exterior and trim landscaping to boost curb appeal and value.

Repairs flagged

• Minor Exterior paint — Some wear visible
• Minor Landscaping — Some overgrown areas

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
• Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 45/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Herman Avenue Elementary School F NY #1,774/2,108 Nat'l #28,175/41,679 Middle Auburn Junior High School F NY #661/729 Nat'l #11,464/14,009 High Auburn High School A NY #347/1,100 Nat'l #648/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Auburn City School District
• NCES district ID: 3603480
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $43,567
• Composite: 29.71/100
• National rank: #6452
• State rank: #558 of 590 in NY

B Composite livability gradescore 74/100

Livability — Auburn

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #298
• US rank: #4814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Auburn, NY
• County: Cayuga County · 74,820 people
• City population: 37,247
• Metro: Auburn, NY
• Population (ZIP): 37,247
• Household income: $60,712
• Rent vs Own: 37.8% rent · 62.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 17% of renters

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Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 74,820 people
• By 2030: 72,402 · -3.2%
• By 2040: 66,917 · -10.6%
• By 2050: 61,007 · -18.5%
• By 2075: 48,047 · -35.8%
• By 2100: 34,512 · -53.9%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (87%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga

• 2024 margin: R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -97.53%
• Current HPI: 338.5537
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Auburn, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+56.4% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Price Changed $124,999 CNYIS
• 2026-04-11 Price Changed $134,900 CNYIS
• 2026-03-16 Listed $145,000 CNYIS
• 2022-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
• 2022-08-31 Sold (MLS) $50,000 UNYREIS
• 2022-08-04 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2020-12-01 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
• 2019-03-04 Listing Removed — CNYIS
• 2018-11-30 Price Changed $69,900 CNYIS
• 2018-08-13 Listed $79,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

-3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,570 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.