43 Grant Ave · Auburn, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New Price! 2 Story Home with 4 Bedrooms, 1.5 Bath, Spacious Living room & Dining room with hardwood flooring. Full bath upstairs with a 1/2 bath down. Attic storage. Front enclosed porch and small side yard for low maintenance. Newer Roof. Shared driveway with room for 2 vehicles. Fantastic price for a 4 bed/ 2 bath home. Nicely priced home for an Owner Occupy! or Great Investment property with good income potential.
Key facts
- 3,939 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $746 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 5.8% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment D-.
- Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Herman Avenue Elementary School (math 21% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,774 of 2,108 statewide, top 84%, 444 students, 51% FRL); Auburn Junior High School (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #661 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 598 students, 81% FRL); Auburn High School (math 88% / reading 84%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,183 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 42% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 434 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 41d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $110k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.09%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,280
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -39.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lawton Ave | 0.24mi | 4/1.5 | 1,620 (-1%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $86 | 84 |
| 32 Morris St | 0.23mi | 4/1.5 | 1,650 (+1%) | 2mo | $224,000 | $136 | 84 |
| 43 Arterial W | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,680 (+2%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $98 | 76 |
| 19 Morris St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,526 (-7%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $147 | 69 |
| 59 Cayuga St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,516 (-8%) | 2mo | $182,000 | $120 | 68 |
| 136 N Fulton St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,494 (-9%) | 0mo | $196,000 | $131 | 64 |
| 148 Franklin St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,508 (-8%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $123 | 61 |
| 39 Perry St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,472 (-10%) | 4mo | $30,000 | $20 | 59 |
| 12 Drummond St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,580 (-4%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $196 | 55 |
| 30 Sherman St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,483 (-10%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $71 | 50 |
| 54 Maple St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,504 (-8%) | 0mo | $192,000 | $128 | 44 |
| 26 Standart Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,864 (+14%) | 2mo | $256,000 | $137 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $29,726
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.83×
- Total profit
- $87,162
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 32 active · 36 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.6 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $194,450 ($123/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 58 d
- This list price
- 3% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -9.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 13021
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 434
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,897 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,570/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $746
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $808 | -5% $777 | +0% $746 | +5% $715 | +10% $684 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $596 | -5% $671 | +0% $746 | +5% $821 | +10% $896 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $801 | -0.5pp $774 | base $746 | +0.5pp $717 | +1.0pp $689 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sheridan St Auburn, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1788 | $1,995 | $1.12 | 184d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 124 Curtis Pl Auburn, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1295 | $2,300 | $1.78 | 0d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 173 E Genesee St Unit 171 Auburn, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 184d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 38 Frances St Auburn, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,200 | $1.05 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4 Lake Ave Auburn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1824 | $1,650 | $0.90 | 40d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 71 Chedell Pl Auburn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2146 | $1,600 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $109,900 Active 237 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $109,900 Active 236 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $109,900 Active 235 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $109,900 Active 234 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $109,900 Active 233 DOM
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2026-11-02days on market $109,900 Active 231 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $109,900 Active 230 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $109,900 Active 229 DOM
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2026-10-30days on market $109,900 Active 228 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $109,900 Active 227 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $109,900 Active 226 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $109,900 Active 225 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $109,900 Active 224 DOM
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2026-10-25days on market $109,900 Active 223 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $109,900 Active 222 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $109,900 Active 221 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $109,900 Active 220 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $109,900 Active 219 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $109,900 Active 218 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $109,900 Active 217 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $109,900 Active 216 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $109,900 Active 215 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $109,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-10-15days on market $109,900 Active 213 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $109,900 Active 212 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $109,900 Active 211 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $109,900 Active 210 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $109,900 Active 209 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $109,900 Active 208 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $109,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $109,900 Active 206 DOM
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2026-10-07days on market $109,900 Active 205 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $109,900 Active 204 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $109,900 Active 203 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $109,900 Active 202 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $109,900 Active 201 DOM
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2026-10-03remarks 515-char remark
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2026-10-02days on market $109,900 Active 200 DOM
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2026-10-01days on market $109,900 Active 199 DOM
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2026-09-30days on market $109,900 Active 198 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $109,900 Active 197 DOM
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2026-09-28days on market $109,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-09-27days on market $109,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-09-26days on market $109,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $109,900 Active 193 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $109,900 Active 192 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $109,900 Active 191 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $109,900 Active 189 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $109,900 Active 188 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $109,900 Active 186 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,570 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,714 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$144/yr (+$12/mo · 9.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,768
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,570
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,821
- − Management
- −$1,821
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $7,653
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,837
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,115/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
A 2-story home with fair exterior condition, requiring minor repairs and maintenance. Paint exterior and trim landscaping to boost curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior paint — Some wear visible
- Minor Landscaping — Some overgrown areas
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3603480
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,567
- Composite
- 29.71/100
- National rank
- #6452
- State rank
- #558 of 590 in NY
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #298
- US rank
- #4814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, NY
- County
- Cayuga County · 74,820 people
- City population
- 37,247
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,247
- Household income
- $60,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,820 people
- By 2030
- 72,402 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 66,917 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 61,007 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 48,047 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 34,512 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.53%
- Current HPI
- 338.5537
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+56.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $124,999 CNYIS
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $134,900 CNYIS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $145,000 CNYIS
- 2022-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-31 Sold (MLS) $50,000 UNYREIS
- 2022-08-04 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-12-01 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-03-04 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2018-11-30 Price Changed $69,900 CNYIS
- 2018-08-13 Listed $79,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,570 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…