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43 Grant Ave
B+ Composite 76.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,999

43 Grant Ave · Auburn, NY 13021
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,640 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 95 Days on market
Built 1900 3,939 sqft lot $76/sqft · 29% below area Est $176k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New Price! 2 Story Home with 4 Bedrooms, 1.5 Bath, Spacious Living room & Dining room with hardwood flooring. Full bath upstairs with a 1/2 bath down. Attic storage. Front enclosed porch and small side yard for low maintenance. Newer Roof. Shared driveway with room for 2 vehicles. Fantastic price for a 4 bed/ 2 bath home. Nicely priced home for an Owner Occupy! or Great Investment property with good income potential.

Key facts

  • 3,939 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 7.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $125k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $113,749 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
12.05%
Cash-on-cash
20.56%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,321
List price
$124,999
Delta
-29.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
69 Lansing St 0.22mi 4/1.5 1,608 (-2%) 7mo $204,000 $127 78
76 Grant Ave 0.14mi 4/1.5 1,744 (+6%) 3mo $173,000 $99 78
18 Paul St 0.13mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,516 (-8%) 4mo $65,000 $43 71
3 Parsons St 0.42mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,624 (-1%) 3mo $39,000 $24 68
126 N Fulton St 0.33mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,568 (-4%) 6mo $162,500 $104 65
34 Liberty St 0.40mi 4/1.5 1,464 (-11%) 3mo $135,000 $92 59
29 Liberty St 0.41mi 4/1.5 1,470 (-10%) 8mo $153,300 $104 55
121 E Genesee St 0.37mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,800 (+10%) 2mo $395,000 $219 54
318 N Seward Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,500 (-8%) 8mo $219,900 $147 52
22 Sherman St 0.53mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,782 (+9%) 2mo $250,000 $140 50
130 North St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,789 (+9%) 2mo $198,000 $111 49
78 Standart Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,448 (-12%) 1mo $165,000 $114 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$17,955
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$64,871
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13021

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,820 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,570/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$600

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,061
Max offer price $124,999
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5 Sheridan St Auburn, NY 4.0 2.0 1788 $1,995 $1.12 44d 1 0.39mi
173 E Genesee St Unit 171 Auburn, NY 3.0 1.5 2000 $2,000 $1.00 44d 1 0.59mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,999 Active 95 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,999 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,999 Active 93 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,999 Active 92 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,999 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,999 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,999 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,999 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,999 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,999 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,999 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,999 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,999 Active 78 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,999 Active 77 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,999 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,999 Active 75 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    price $124,999 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    New Price! 2 Story Home with 4 Bedrooms, 1.5 Bath, Spacious Living room & Dining room with hardwood flooring. Full bath upstairs with a 1/2 bath down. Attic storage. Front enclosed porch and small side yard for low maintenance. Newer Roof. Shared driveway with room for 2 vehicles. Fantastic price for a 4 bed/ 2 bath home. Nicely priced home for an Owner Occupy! or Great Investment property with good income potential.

  18. 2026-04-11
    price $134,900 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    New Price! 2 Story Home with 4 Bedrooms, 1.5 Bath, Spacious Living room & Dining room with hardwood flooring. Full bath upstairs with a 1/2 bath down. Attic storage. Front enclosed porch and small side yard for low maintenance. Newer Roof. Shared driveway with room for 2 vehicles. Fantastic price for a 4 bed/ 2 bath home. Nicely priced home for an Owner Occupy! or Great Investment property with good income potential.

  19. 2026-03-16
    listed $145,000 Active 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    New Price! 2 Story Home with 4 Bedrooms, 1.5 Bath, Spacious Living room & Dining room with hardwood flooring. Full bath upstairs with a 1/2 bath down. Attic storage. Front enclosed porch and small side yard for low maintenance. Newer Roof. Shared driveway with room for 2 vehicles. Fantastic price for a 4 bed/ 2 bath home. Nicely priced home for an Owner Occupy! or Great Investment property with good income potential.

  20. 2022-09-08
    soldstatus $50,000
  21. 2022-08-31
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed Sale or Rented 96-char remark
    Show marketing remark (96 chars)

    Investors Delight or Owner Occupied! Newly renovated home and presently rented. Priced to Sell!

  22. 2022-08-04
    status Pending Sale 96-char remark
    Show marketing remark (96 chars)

    Investors Delight or Owner Occupied! Newly renovated home and presently rented. Priced to Sell!

  23. 2020-12-01
    listed $69,900 Active 96-char remark
    Show marketing remark (96 chars)

    Investors Delight or Owner Occupied! Newly renovated home and presently rented. Priced to Sell!

  24. 2019-03-04
    historical
  25. 2018-11-30
    price $69,900
  26. 2018-08-13
    listed $79,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,570 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,841 · $153/mo
Expected delta
+$271/yr (+$23/mo · 17.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,846
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,570
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,748
− Management
−$1,748
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$5,517
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,324
After-tax cash flow
$5,873/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn City School District
NCES district ID
3603480
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$43,567
Composite
29.71/100
National rank
#6452
State rank
#558 of 590 in NY

Livability — Auburn

Score
74/100
State rank
#298
US rank
#4814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, NY
County
Cayuga County · 37,247 people
City population
37,247
Metro
Auburn, NY
Population (ZIP)
37,247
Household income
$60,712
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1449.0

Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
74,820 people
By 2030
72,402 · -3.2%
By 2040
66,917 · -10.6%
By 2050
61,007 · -18.5%
By 2075
48,047 · -35.8%
By 2100
34,512 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga

2024 margin
R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.53%
Current HPI
338.5537
Rent YoY
Metro
Auburn, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $124,999 CNYIS
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $134,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $145,000 CNYIS
  • 2022-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-31 Sold (MLS) $50,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-08-04 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2020-12-01 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
  • 2019-03-04 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2018-11-30 Price Changed $69,900 CNYIS
  • 2018-08-13 Listed $79,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

-3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,570 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…