🌊 Lakefront
212 Western Ave · Claiborne, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is priced for a quick sale! With some TLC, this house can be a great home on a beautiful almost 2 acre lake front lot. Located in a great school zone! Come imagine the possibilities!
Key facts
- 1.81 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.0% in Claiborne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#109 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Good Hope Middle School (math 35% / reading 53%, grade D, #51 of 218 statewide, top 24%, 602 students, 53% FRL); West Monroe High School (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #77 of 265 statewide, top 29%, 2,189 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.51%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $283,152
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Standard Reed Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 2,015 (-3%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $141 | 58 |
| 4 Western Cir | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 2,205 (+6%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $136 | 54 |
| 200 Nottaway Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,040 (-2%) | 14mo | $320,000 | $157 | 48 |
| 102 Boxwood Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,290 (+10%) | 2mo | $242,000 | $106 | 46 |
| 123 Baytree Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,067 (-1%) | 15mo | $169,000 | $82 | 45 |
| 500 Lost Lakes Bnd | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,210 (+6%) | 5mo | $440,000 | $199 | 39 |
| 300 Lakeland Dr | 0.66mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,260 (+8%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $117 | 37 |
| 115 Sonoma Cir | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,827 (-12%) | 23mo | $199,900 | $109 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $5,725
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $72,476
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71291
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,672 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,664/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-03remarks 189-char remark
-
2026-06-03$150,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,664 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,664 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,664
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,605
- − Management
- −$1,605
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,671
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$401
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ouachita Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201200
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,316
- Composite
- 32.14/100
- National rank
- #5791
- State rank
- #26 of 98 in LA
Livability — Claiborne
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #10626
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Claiborne, LA
- County
- Ouachita Parish · 118,340 people
- Metro
- Monroe, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,269
- Household income
- $71,639
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 847.0
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,370 people
- By 2030
- 165,520 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 167,652 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 166,699 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 156,348 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 134,102 · -17.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.15%
- Current HPI
- 220.1737
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.93%
- Metro
- Monroe, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Delisted — NELABOR
- 2026-06-01 Listed $150,000 NELABOR
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,664 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…