Queen Plan · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.9/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- 1% rule +0.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$304,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Introducing the Queen, a four-bedroom floor plan from our Value collection. Designed for privacy and comfort, this home features three bedrooms on one side while the Owner's Suite is situated on the other side. As you enter through the foyer, you'll notice the Great Room and Dining Area offers a seamless flow and abundant natural light from the sliding glass doors leading to the backyard. The kitchen, positioned at the back of the home, is conveniently adjacent to the dining room. With ample counterspace and cabinets, it provides the perfect setting for culinary endeavors and storage of all your essentials. The laundry room, located within the home, flows seamlessly into the two-car garage,
Key facts
- Digital thermostat
- Dining area
- Ample counterspace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $310000
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Home design: Plan named Queen; New construction plan
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Living area approximately 1802
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $304k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-938 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $257k (15.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (26.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 523 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 523 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.57% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.24%
- DSCR
- 0.54
- GRM
- 14.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $392,836
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4515 W 7th St St W | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,676 (-7%) | 0mo | $298,900 | $178 | 75 |
| 52 Floyd Ave S | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,715 (-5%) | 7mo | $374,900 | $219 | 68 |
| 703 James Ave N | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (+1%) | 18mo | $353,640 | $193 | 57 |
| 806 Champion Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,747 (-3%) | 9mo | $380,000 | $218 | 50 |
| 4914 7th St W | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,892 (+5%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $137 | 49 |
| 101 Eric Ave N | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-15%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $234 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $147,630
- Equity at exit
- $353,898
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.27×
- Total profit
- $470,010
- Equity at exit
- $763,194
Cash invested: $109,994 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33976
- Home prices YoY
- 6.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 786
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,249 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,060
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$491 /mo · $5,893/yr
- Insurance
- −$164
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $-938
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,209
- Closing costs
- $11,785
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Hightower Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2376 | $1,800 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 703 Felix Ave N Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $2,600 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4715 4th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 124 Gilbert Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $1,810 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 121 Homer Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2438 | $1,800 | $0.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4807 5th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,755 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4320 12th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1598 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4320 12th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1598 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4307 2nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $2,191 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1502 Scholar Ct Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $2,400 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4911 7th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4707 Brixton Ct Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2199 | $2,499 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 610 Floyd Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 721 Ivan Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 721 Ivan Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,850 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 723 Ivan Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 723 Ivan Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,850 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4218 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4003 3rd St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,985 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3914 9th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $1,999 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4903 Beauty St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1777 | $1,970 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5003 Barth St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $1,816 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3919 3rd St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $2,131 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4910 Bywood St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $2,750 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3906 6th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1024 Chauncey Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1715 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 19d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4914 Bywood St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,250 | $1.63 | 10d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3837 17th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1871 | $2,450 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5215 Butte St Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,400 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1110 Hightower Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,325 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3906 11th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $1,835 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4008 15th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,625 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3908 Sunset Rd Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1815 | $2,450 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5210 2nd St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,740 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2052 Oxford Ridge Cir Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5032 Bristo St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $2,500 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 826 Adeline Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,920 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3820 3rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $1,745 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3904 20th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $3,200 | $1.74 | 19d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2280 Somerset Ridge Dr #204 Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $304,000 Active 523 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $304,000 Active 522 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $304,000 Active 521 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $304,000 Active 519 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $310,000 Active 515 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $310,000 Active 513 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,000 Active 507 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,000 Active 506 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,984
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,005
- − Property taxes
- −$5,893
- − Insurance
- −$1,964
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,159
- − Management
- −$2,159
- − Depreciation
- −$11,428
- Taxable loss
- −$18,623
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,469
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,791/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,277
- Household income
- $72,679
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 574.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.77%
- Current HPI
- 340.4255
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.54%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…