Multi-family
813 Wager St · Utica, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$187,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Incredible Investment Opportunity. Rent ready. Top Dollar Rent paid for this 6 on 6 flat. Each apartment features 3 bedrooms with 1 bath, living room, dining room, and kitchen. Move in condition. Separate Utilities. New Roof, New Windows, New Kitchens & Baths, New Flooring, New Lighting, and Doors. Freshly painted and ready for a tenant or owner occupant. Quiet one-way street. Centrally located near, school, work, and shopping. Move Right In!!!! Ready to Roll!!!
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- New kitchens
- Rent ready
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $188k).
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,277/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1604% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $188k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.73%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $110,344
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 Wager St | 0.00mi | 6/2.0 | 2,122 (0%) | 1mo | $182,000 | $86 | 99 |
| 1202 Stark St | 0.07mi | 6/2.0 | 2,200 (+4%) | 3mo | $72,500 | $33 | 88 |
| 935 Lenox Ave | 0.23mi | 6/2.0 | 2,180 (+3%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $60 | 74 |
| 714 Roberts St | 0.30mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,230 (+5%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $52 | 70 |
| 706 Roberts St | 0.32mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,060 (-3%) | 7mo | $153,750 | $75 | 70 |
| 711 Stevens St | 0.18mi | 6/2.0 | 2,337 (+10%) | 9mo | $109,000 | $47 | 67 |
| 1218 City St | 0.27mi | 6/2.0 | 2,288 (+8%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $39 | 66 |
| 1106 Lenox Ave | 0.21mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,986 (-6%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $68 | 66 |
| 730 Roberts St | 0.28mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,372 (+12%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $44 | 58 |
| 1217 York St | 0.39mi | 6/2.0 | 2,350 (+11%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $72 | 55 |
| 141 Eagle St | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,193 (+3%) | 6mo | $36,500 | $17 | 54 |
| 1109 York St | 0.36mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,406 (+13%) | 5mo | $118,000 | $49 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $58,018
- Equity at exit
- $27,957
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $164,327
- Equity at exit
- $16,212
Cash invested: $52,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13502
- Home prices YoY
- -12.1%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,277 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$983
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,672/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$688
- Net cashflow
- $1,388
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,494 | -5% $1,441 | +0% $1,388 | +5% $1,335 | +10% $1,282 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,129 | -5% $1,259 | +0% $1,388 | +5% $1,518 | +10% $1,647 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,483 | -0.5pp $1,436 | base $1,388 | +0.5pp $1,340 | +1.0pp $1,290 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,276 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,638 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,638 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,277 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,875
- Closing costs
- $5,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-02-09status Pending
-
2026-02-03$187,500 Active
-
2025-06-09soldstatus $71,000
-
2025-05-30soldstatus $71,000 Closed
-
2025-03-24status Pending
-
2025-03-20$74,900 Active
-
2017-09-29soldstatus $31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,672 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,420 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- +$748/yr (+$62/mo · 44.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,324
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,503
- − Property taxes
- −$1,672
- − Insurance
- −$938
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,146
- − Management
- −$3,146
- − Depreciation
- −$5,455
- Taxable income
- $14,465
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,472
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,186/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629370
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,834
- Composite
- 29.01/100
- National rank
- #6613
- State rank
- #562 of 590 in NY
Livability — Utica
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Utica, NY
- County
- Oneida County · 89,710 people
- City population
- 72,968
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,037
- Household income
- $57,835
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1604.0
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% American 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.76%
- Current HPI
- 368.3955
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+504.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $187,500 CNYIS
- 2025-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-30 Sold (MLS) $71,000 CNYIS
- 2025-03-24 Pending — CNYIS
- 2025-03-20 Listed $74,900 CNYIS
- 2017-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,672 · -57.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…