1110 S Mill St · Decorah, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Schools +7.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice ranch home located on a quiet dead end street in a great location. Would make a great starter or retirement home.
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Quiet dead-end road
- Fenced-in backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-281/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (1.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (15.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.4% in Decorah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in IA, #499 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Decorah Community School District (town): math 80% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #21 of 289 in IA (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: John Cline Elementary School (354 students, 28% FRL); Decorah Middle School (math 77% / reading 83%, grade A+, #32 of 246 statewide, top 13%, 461 students, 26% FRL); Decorah High School (math 85% / reading 92%, grade A, #3 of 336 statewide, top 1%, 576 students, 22% FRL).
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 49 units permitted in Winneshiek County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winneshiek County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $144k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.47%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,963
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1110 S Mill St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,293 (0%) | 1mo | $207,000 | $160 | 97 |
| 1112 S Mill St St | 0.01mi | 3/1.5 | 1,396 (+8%) | 2mo | $266,000 | $191 | 84 |
| 1020 Mechanic St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (-2%) | 19mo | $147,500 | $116 | 75 |
| 1500 Division St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (-8%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $201 | 67 |
| 405 Washington St | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,279 (-1%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $156 | 61 |
| 406 Twin View Drive Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,114 (-14%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $224 | 55 |
| 201 Hollihan St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,407 (+9%) | 10mo | $222,000 | $158 | 52 |
| 603 Day St | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,278 (-1%) | 16mo | $140,000 | $110 | 49 |
| 608 Day St. St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+5%) | 14mo | $280,000 | $207 | 48 |
| 605 River St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (-8%) | 18mo | $309,900 | $260 | 46 |
| 614 Mechanic St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,110 (-14%) | 11mo | $85,000 | $77 | 46 |
| 610 Vernon St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,171 (-9%) | 22mo | $261,000 | $223 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-36,305
- Equity at exit
- $32,042
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-33,491
- Equity at exit
- $18,581
Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52101
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,816 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$242 /mo · $2,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $98 | -5% $37 | +0% $-23 | +5% $-84 | +10% $-145 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-167 | -5% $-95 | +0% $-23 | +5% $48 | +10% $120 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $85 | -0.5pp $31 | base $-23 | +0.5pp $-79 | +1.0pp $-136 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,725
- Closing costs
- $6,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Washington St Decorah, IA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1279 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 510 W Main St Decorah, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-23price $214,900
-
2026-04-16$235,000 Active
-
2017-05-26soldstatus $144,500
-
2017-05-25soldstatus $145,000 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Nice ranch home located on a quiet dead end street in a great location. Would make a great starter or retirement home.
-
2017-04-11$149,000 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
Nice ranch home located on a quiet dead end street in a great location. Would make a great starter or retirement home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,900 · $242/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,137 · $261/mo
- Expected delta
- +$237/yr (+$20/mo · 8.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,793
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,038
- − Property taxes
- −$2,900
- − Insurance
- −$1,074
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,743
- − Management
- −$1,743
- − Depreciation
- −$6,252
- Taxable loss
- −$3,957
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$950
- After-tax cash flow
- $669/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decorah Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908730
- Math proficiency
- 80% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,304
- Composite
- 69.72/100
- National rank
- #294
- State rank
- #21 of 289 in IA
Livability — Decorah
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decorah, IA
- County
- Winneshiek County · 12,706 people
- City population
- 12,706
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,706
- Household income
- $73,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 207.0
Population outlook (Winneshiek County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,379 people
- By 2030
- 19,937 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 18,697 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 17,392 · -14.7%
- By 2075
- 14,921 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 12,836 · -37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 25% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Winneshiek
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.3) · D 44.6% · R 53.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.9pp toward R · 2008: 22.7pp · 2024: -9.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.3 2020: R+5.1 2016: R+0.8 2012: D+14.8 2008: D+22.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.20%
- Current HPI
- 189.63
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+44.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $214,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-04-16 Listed $235,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2017-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $144,500 Public Records
- 2017-05-25 Sold (MLS) $145,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2017-04-11 Listed $149,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,900 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…