Duplex
3 Primrose Dr · Cheektowaga, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained 3/1 duplex located on a quiet dead-end street, an excellent opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. Currently has one side occupied and one side vacant , this property offers immediate income potential or the option to house hack. The spacious three bedroom unit features a large eat-in kitchen with vaulted ceilings, a generous family room with a sliding glass door leading to the back deck, three well-sized bedrooms, and a full basement. The second unit is a comfortable one-bedroom apartment offering an eat-in kitchen, a sizable living area, and the convenience of in-unit laundry, with kitchen appliances included. Each unit has its own private park
Key facts
- In-unit laundry
- Full basement
- Sliding glass door
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two-unit property with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Operating expense details: see remarks
- Financial info: Owner pays grounds care, trash collection, water, and other items (see remarks); Rent may include gardener, trash collection, water, and other items (see remarks)
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking; Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story property; Vinyl siding; Existing (resale) condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Irregular residential lot; Near public transit; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 91
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varies by area
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Carpet and luxury vinyl flooring; varies by room; Crawl space and partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×3bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $725 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $363/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
- Cleveland Hill Union Free School District (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #468 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,580/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 991% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.36%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,820
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -10.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mapleview Rd | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,595 (+0%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $163 | 68 |
| 3 Pendlewood Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+1%) | 11mo | $222,000 | $139 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $15,436
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $73,071
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14225
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,580 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$542
- Net cashflow
- $725
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,371 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,210 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,580 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 Awood Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,500 | $0.82 | 1d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 44 Aurora Dr Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $3,300 | $2.59 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 758 S Huth Rd Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2235 | $2,800 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 11d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-10status $190,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $190,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-12historical
-
2026-04-06status Active
-
2026-03-29status Pending
-
2026-03-20$190,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,850
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,477
- − Management
- −$2,477
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $6,036
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,449
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,253/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained 3/1 duplex is in good condition with minor repairs needed. Upgrading the kitchen backsplash and bathroom fixtures can significantly enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen backsplash — The brick backsplash could be replaced with a more modern material for a fresh look.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Updating the fixtures in the bathrooms could improve the aesthetic appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — A modern backsplash can significantly enhance the kitchen's appeal and value.
- Resale Updating bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve the bathroom's appearance and functionality.
- Rental Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can attract more tenants and improve curb appeal.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen backsplash · The brick backsplash could be replaced with a more modern material for a fresh look. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Updating the fixtures in the bathrooms could improve the aesthetic appeal. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — A modern backsplash can significantly enhance the kitchen's appeal and value. ↑
- Resale Updating bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve the bathroom's appearance and functionality. ↑
- Rental Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can attract more tenants and improve curb appeal. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleveland Hill Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607680
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,785
- Composite
- 37.87/100
- National rank
- #4323
- State rank
- #468 of 590 in NY
Livability — Cheektowaga
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cheektowaga, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 55,470
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,620
- Household income
- $67,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 991.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.26%
- Current HPI
- 320.6248
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-06-05 Listed $190,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-29 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $190,000 WNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…