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3 Primrose Dr Duplex
B Composite 74.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

3 Primrose Dr · Cheektowaga, NY 14225
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,590 sqft · MultiFamily · 4 Days on market
Built 1943 Good condition 9,148 sqft lot $119/sqft · 10% below area Est $212k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained 3/1 duplex located on a quiet dead-end street, an excellent opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. Currently has one side occupied and one side vacant , this property offers immediate income potential or the option to house hack. The spacious three bedroom unit features a large eat-in kitchen with vaulted ceilings, a generous family room with a sliding glass door leading to the back deck, three well-sized bedrooms, and a full basement. The second unit is a comfortable one-bedroom apartment offering an eat-in kitchen, a sizable living area, and the convenience of in-unit laundry, with kitchen appliances included. Each unit has its own private park

Key facts

  • In-unit laundry
  • Full basement
  • Sliding glass door

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENVAULTED CEILINGSSLIDING GLASS DOORBACK DECKFULL BASEMENTIN-UNIT LAUNDRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two-unit property with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Operating expense details: see remarks
  • Financial info: Owner pays grounds care, trash collection, water, and other items (see remarks); Rent may include gardener, trash collection, water, and other items (see remarks)

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking; Two or more parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story property; Vinyl siding; Existing (resale) condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Irregular residential lot; Near public transit; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 91

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varies by area
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Carpet and luxury vinyl flooring; varies by room; Crawl space and partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×3bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $725 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $363/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
  • Cleveland Hill Union Free School District (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #468 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,580/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 991% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $190,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.87%
Cash-on-cash
16.36%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$211,820
List price
$190,000
Delta
-10.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Mapleview Rd 0.58mi 4/2.0 1,595 (+0%) 6mo $260,000 $163 68
3 Pendlewood Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+1%) 11mo $222,000 $139 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$15,436
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$73,071
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14225

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,580 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$542
Net cashflow
$725

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,662
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 67%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3 1 $1,371
1× unit 1 1 $1,210
Total (2 units) $2,580

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
47 Awood Pl Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1840 $1,500 $0.82 1d 1 0.40mi
44 Aurora Dr Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1272 $3,300 $2.59 1d 1 0.95mi
758 S Huth Rd Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2235 $2,800 $1.25 43d 1 1.25mi
143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,600 $1.40 11d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $190,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on marketlisting id $190,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-05-12
    historical
  6. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  7. 2026-03-29
    status Pending
  8. 2026-03-20
    listed $190,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,960
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$2,850
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,477
− Management
−$2,477
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$6,036
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,449
After-tax cash flow
$7,253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 3/1 duplex is in good condition with minor repairs needed. Upgrading the kitchen backsplash and bathroom fixtures can significantly enhance its resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen backsplash — The brick backsplash could be replaced with a more modern material for a fresh look.
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Updating the fixtures in the bathrooms could improve the aesthetic appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — A modern backsplash can significantly enhance the kitchen's appeal and value.
  • Resale Updating bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve the bathroom's appearance and functionality.
  • Rental Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can attract more tenants and improve curb appeal.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen backsplash · The brick backsplash could be replaced with a more modern material for a fresh look. Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Updating the fixtures in the bathrooms could improve the aesthetic appeal. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — A modern backsplash can significantly enhance the kitchen's appeal and value.
  • Resale Updating bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve the bathroom's appearance and functionality.
  • Rental Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can attract more tenants and improve curb appeal.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cleveland Hill Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3607680
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$50,785
Composite
37.87/100
National rank
#4323
State rank
#468 of 590 in NY

Livability — Cheektowaga

Score
84/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#811

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cheektowaga, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
55,470
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
33,620
Household income
$67,237
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
991.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -120.26%
Current HPI
320.6248
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $190,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-29 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $190,000 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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