11300 124th Ave #33 · Largo, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
RECENT REDUCTION! Tucked away off the beaten path, one of the county’s best-kept secrets awaits in this welcoming 55+ resident-owned community of Bel-Aire Mobile Village which welcomes one small dog or cat. Here, you’ll enjoy the peace of a private setting paired with the value of low monthly fees of only $235.00 per month that conveniently include water, sewer, lawn care, and garbage service. Residents take pride in their neighborhood and enjoy a variety of amenities designed for both relaxation and connection, including a sparkling pool, shuffleboard courts, an active clubhouse filled with planned activities and social events, and a convenient on-site laundry room. Despite its
Key facts
- Shuffleboard courts
- Active clubhouse
- On site laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions provided to community; Living area reported as 752 square feet; Building area reported as 1,288 square feet
- Financial info: Total monthly fees listed as $235; Total annual fees listed as $2,820; Unit is furnished
- HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $235); Association amenities include clubhouse, laundry, pool, recreation facilities, shuffleboard court; Association fee includes pool, escrow reserves, grounds maintenance, management, sewer, trash, water; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs, with limits); Buyer approval required; Golf carts OK; Sidewalks and association-owned recreation
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected; Sewer available and connected; Cable available and connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces north
- Construction: Metal siding; Built-up roof; Crawlspace foundation; Shed(s) on property
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Private mailbox; Sidewalk; Landscaped lot; Paved surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan; Thermostat; Window treatments; Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry listed as 'Other'
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.10%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $38,088
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12674 Seminole Blvd Unit C47 | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 587 (+6%) | 4mo | $40,750 | $69 | 69 |
| 11300 124th Ave #69 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 624 (+13%) | 13mo | $25,000 | $40 | 62 |
| 12766 Seminole Blvd #24 | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 624 (+13%) | 16mo | $60,000 | $96 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $3,640
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $21,562
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33778
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,511 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$235
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $334
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13333 Ridge Rd Largo, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 860 | $1,410 | $1.64 | 7d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2098 Seminole Blvd Largo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $1,895 | $1.86 | 2d | 23 | 0.86mi |
| 10546 106th Ave N Unit a Largo, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,223 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 10464 106th Ave N Unit 2 Largo, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,250 | $2.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10464 106th Ave N Unit 2 Largo, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,200 | $2.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10165 106th Ter Unit 1 Largo, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,325 | $2.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1201 Seminole Blvd Largo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1067 | $1,295 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $235 · $2,820/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashlandscapingpool
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending
-
2026-04-01price $94,900
-
2026-03-05$98,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,048 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,048 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,135
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,451
- − Management
- −$1,451
- − HOA
- −$2,820
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $2,814
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$675
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,337/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Largo
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Largo, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 106,311
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,807
- Household income
- $65,355
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 261.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 10% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -320.64%
- Current HPI
- 369.3008
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.38%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-4.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $94,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Listed $98,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,048 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…