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321 Midlothian Rd
C Composite 57.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

321 Midlothian Rd · Glasgow Village, MO 63137
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 854 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1953 6,359 sqft lot Est $83k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY - OCCUPIED Three bedroom home to add to your portfolio. No showings without accepted contract. Please do not disturb tenant. $1,344 rent (SLHA)

Key facts

  • 6,359 sq ft lot
  • Built 1953
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (Ameren); Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#756 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Gibson Elem. (math 0% / reading 7%, grade F, #1,097 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 429 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $110k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.81%
Cash-on-cash
16.14%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$82,838
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
363 Shepley Dr 0.06mi 3/1.0 854 (0%) 3mo $110,000 $129 95
10539 Renfrew Dr 0.22mi 3/1.0 854 (0%) 2mo $119,900 $140 88
321 Caithness Rd 0.22mi 3/1.0 902 (+6%) 3mo $47,700 $53 78
237 Ben Nevis Rd 0.41mi 3/1.0 873 (+2%) 1mo $89,000 $102 76
10640 Spring Garden Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 873 (+2%) 1mo $77,500 $89 66
10519 Renfrew Dr 0.21mi 3/1.5 982 (+15%) 2mo $95,000 $97 61
10300 Ross Cir 0.42mi 3/1.0 980 (+15%) 1mo $105,000 $107 55
200 Mcalpine Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 927 (+8%) 1mo $90,000 $97 54
147 Monteith Cir 0.73mi 3/1.0 909 (+6%) 2mo $24,900 $27 54
151 Brigadoon Cir 0.67mi 3/1.0 927 (+8%) 2mo $34,900 $38 53
158 Monteith Cir 0.70mi 3/1.0 927 (+8%) 0mo $94,900 $102 53
10746 Glen Garry Rd 0.74mi 3/1.0 927 (+8%) 1mo $89,900 $97 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$13,833
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$69,303
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63137

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,411 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $935/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$414

Break-even live

Break-even rent $887
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $477 -5% $446 +0% $414 +5% $383 +10% $352
Rent -10% $303 -5% $359 +0% $414 +5% $470 +10% $526
Rate -1.0pp $470 -0.5pp $442 base $414 +0.5pp $386 +1.0pp $357

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
329 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,195 $1.40 3d 1 0.05mi
251 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,499 $1.42 44d 1 0.06mi
312 Banff Cir Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,175 $1.38 24d 1 0.07mi
323 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 850 $1,175 $1.38 2d 1 0.08mi
10432 Balmoral Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 826 $1,600 $1.94 2d 1 0.08mi
409 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,095 $1.28 5d 1 0.11mi
305 Lancashire Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,100 $1.29 18d 1 0.12mi
204 Tay Rd Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 854 $1,500 $1.76 18d 1 0.15mi
10617 Dunkeld Cir Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,299 $1.49 8d 1 0.15mi
10617 Dunkeld Cir Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,299 $1.49 44d 1 0.15mi
432 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,350 $1.21 11d 1 0.16mi
457 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,350 $1.58 24d 1 0.20mi
10518 Gretna Cir Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1082 $1,450 $1.34 24d 1 0.20mi
10527 Prestwick Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 854 $1,395 $1.63 8d 1 0.21mi
325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,425 $1.67 12d 1 0.21mi
325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,540 $1.80 44d 1 0.21mi
437 Lancashire Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1082 $1,395 $1.29 44d 1 0.21mi
232 Cameron Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 984 $1,295 $1.32 13d 1 0.22mi
10650 Dunkeld Cir Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,250 $1.46 8d 1 0.23mi
10519 Renfrew Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 982 $1,399 $1.42 44d 1 0.24mi
317 Cameron Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,350 $1.58 24d 1 0.25mi
10524 Durness Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 44d 1 0.27mi
241 Grampian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 837 $1,250 $1.49 44d 1 0.30mi
237 Grampian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,499 $1.72 44d 1 0.30mi
157 Perthshire Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,850 $2.12 44d 1 0.32mi
416 Crawford Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 844 $1,499 $1.78 24d 1 0.33mi
10309 Galloway Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 892 $1,295 $1.45 13d 1 0.33mi
10327 Renfrew Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 844 $1,199 $1.42 44d 1 0.37mi
138 Grampian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,499 $1.72 44d 1 0.39mi
257 Glen Garry Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,025 $1.17 15d 1 0.39mi
225 Ben Nevis Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,250 $1.43 3d 1 0.44mi
743 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 932 $1,025 $1.10 8d 1 0.45mi
117 Glen Garry Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 3d 1 0.46mi
10063 Northgate Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1054 $1,200 $1.14 44d 1 0.46mi
10401 Hobkirk Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 18d 1 0.47mi
10213 Durness Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 932 $1,225 $1.31 44d 1 0.47mi
10613 Spring Garden Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,169 $1.34 24d 1 0.55mi
10019 Northgate Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 991 $1,150 $1.16 22d 1 0.55mi
1205 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 901 $1,350 $1.50 44d 1 0.56mi
1205 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 901 $1,325 $1.47 24d 1 0.56mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 164-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$935 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,067 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$132/yr (+$11/mo · 14.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,936
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$935
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,355
− Management
−$1,355
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$3,380
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$811
After-tax cash flow
$4,161/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Riverview Gardens
NCES district ID
2926670
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,759
Composite
4.22/100
National rank
#10058
State rank
#324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Glasgow Village

Score
55/100
State rank
#756
US rank
#23451

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Glasgow Village, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
19,684
Household income
$43,422
Rent vs Own
52.2% rent · 47.8% own
Severe rent burden
1863.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 82% White 13% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.70%
Current HPI
130.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 6.59%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 2020-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
  • 2003-10-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
  • 2002-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2000-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2000-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
  • 1995-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
  • 1995-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $935 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…