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15 S 1st St Unit A1217
D+ Composite 49.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$149,900

15 S 1st St Unit A1217 · Minneapolis, MN 55401
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 667 sqft · Condo public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1965 $225/sqft · 46% below area $618/mo HOA · 31% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come admire views of the Mississippi River & Target Field from your new home. One bedroom, one bathroom downtown living offers unsurpassed location along with exceptional amenities. Featuring pool, cabana, patios, grills, exercise rooms & 24 hr security.

Key facts

  • $618 HOA
  • Pool
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA managed by Sudler Property Management; Monthly association fee ($618.11) includes air conditioning, cable TV, hazard insurance, heating, internet, grounds maintenance, professional management, shared amenities and water; Building amenities: 24-hour guard, laundry, elevators, lobby entrance, sauna; Shared rooms include amusement/party room and exercise room

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional onsite parking available for a fee; Street parking on 1st or Marquette
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Fuel: Other
  • Home design: Residential attached property; One level; Irregular lot of about 3.825 acres; Flat roof
  • Construction: Foundation: Other; Foundation area 739
  • Exterior features: Stone exterior; Below-ground pool

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Boiler heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Main floor full bathroom; Accessible elevator installed; Basement: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-545/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (5.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $409 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-627 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Recommended offer $141,878 (5.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.30%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$306,372
List price
$149,900
Delta
-51.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.42% appreciation · 5.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-4,601
Equity at exit
$40,417
10-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$32,770
Equity at exit
$46,167

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
34 Tenant-Leaning
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City Minneapolis
34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

ZIP-level market 55401

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,023 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,127/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$618
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$425
Net cashflow
$-45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,081
Max offer price $141,878
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
111 S Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 970 $1,516 $1.56 2d 12 0.05mi
120 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 960 $2,590 $2.70 7d 10 0.08mi
115 2nd Ave S Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 508 $1,371 $2.70 2d 15 0.12mi
222 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 994 $2,040 $2.05 2d 12 0.17mi
110 N 1st St Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 885 $1,719 $1.94 2d 20 0.17mi
120 N 2nd St Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1039 $1,591 $1.53 1d 19 0.20mi
270 Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0–3.0 1505 $4,088 $2.72 2d 54 0.23mi
313 Washington Ave S Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $2,288 $2.73 2d 9 0.27mi
365 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0–3.5 1656 $4,363 $2.63 3d 33 0.28mi
400 Marquette Ave Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1103 $2,905 $2.63 2d 14 0.31mi
316 N 2nd St Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 795 $1,417 $1.78 3d 10 0.33mi
465 Nicollet Mall Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–3.0 1153 $3,030 $2.63 2d 14 0.34mi
360 1st St N Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 889 $1,834 $2.06 3d 11 0.35mi
101 S 5th St Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1249 $2,289 $1.83 2d 35 0.38mi
401 N 1st St Minneapolis, MN 1.0 531 $1,282 $2.41 43d 1 0.40mi
337 N Washington Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 796 $2,114 $2.65 2d 30 0.42mi
250 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 902 $1,950 $2.16 2d 11 0.44mi
225 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 837 $2,410 $2.88 3d 70 0.46mi
608 2nd Ave S Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 999 $1,823 $1.82 2d 34 0.48mi
511 S 4th St Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 882 $2,215 $2.51 2d 11 0.48mi
432 N 1st St Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1067 $1,395 $1.31 2d 6 0.50mi
240 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1047 $2,075 $1.98 3d 2 0.51mi
205 Park Ave Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 859 $1,809 $2.11 7d 5 0.52mi
360 N 5th Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.5 1185 $4,452 $3.75 2d 85 0.52mi
528 Washington Ave N Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 543 $2,629 $4.84 2d 18 0.52mi
600 5th Ave S Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 915 $1,440 $1.57 1d 9 0.56mi
240 Chicago Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $2,164 $2.62 2d 11 0.59mi
700 S 4th St Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 897 $2,688 $2.99 1d 26 0.59mi
616 N Washington Ave Unit 1014635P Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 742 $4,168 $5.62 7d 1 0.59mi
616 N Washington Ave Unit 1014633P Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 742 $3,776 $5.09 43d 1 0.59mi
607 N Washington Ave Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 845 $1,855 $2.20 2d 4 0.60mi
608 N 3rd St Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 746 $2,446 $3.28 1d 64 0.60mi
315 N 7th Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 748 $2,314 $3.09 2d 12 0.62mi
811 Washington Ave S Minneapolis, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 862 $1,660 $1.93 19d 9 0.62mi
650 Portland Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 1104 $2,825 $2.56 3d 18 0.63mi
431 S 7th St #2610 Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 430 $1,250 $2.91 24d 1 0.64mi
333 E Hennepin Ave Minneapolis, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 786 $2,458 $3.13 2d 18 0.64mi
431 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 430 $1,250 $2.91 11d 2 0.65mi
431 S 7th St Minneapolis, MN 1.0 1.0 430 $1,250 $2.91 43d 2 0.65mi
200 University Ave SE Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0–3.0 1554 $3,878 $2.49 1d 25 0.65mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$618 · $7,416/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    listed $149,900 Active 1183-char remark
  15. 2026-05-12
    historical $149,900 1183-char remark
  16. 2021-12-15
    soldstatus $132,500
  17. 2021-12-03
    soldstatus $132,500 Sold
  18. 2021-11-29
    status Pending
  19. 2021-11-19
    historical Contingent - Subject to Statutory Rescission
  20. 2021-11-09
    price $134,900
  21. 2021-10-14
    price $139,900
  22. 2021-09-13
    price $148,000
  23. 2021-07-10
    listed $153,000 Active
  24. 2015-10-08
    soldstatus $133,000
  25. 2015-09-03
    soldstatus $133,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Come admire views of the Mississippi River & Target Field from your new home. One bedroom, one bathroom downtown living offers unsurpassed location along with exceptional amenities. Featuring pool, cabana, patios, grills, exercise rooms & 24 hr security.

  26. 2015-08-12
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Come admire views of the Mississippi River & Target Field from your new home. One bedroom, one bathroom downtown living offers unsurpassed location along with exceptional amenities. Featuring pool, cabana, patios, grills, exercise rooms & 24 hr security.

  27. 2015-08-06
    historical Contingent - Inspection
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Come admire views of the Mississippi River & Target Field from your new home. One bedroom, one bathroom downtown living offers unsurpassed location along with exceptional amenities. Featuring pool, cabana, patios, grills, exercise rooms & 24 hr security.

  28. 2015-07-17
    price $136,800
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Come admire views of the Mississippi River & Target Field from your new home. One bedroom, one bathroom downtown living offers unsurpassed location along with exceptional amenities. Featuring pool, cabana, patios, grills, exercise rooms & 24 hr security.

  29. 2015-06-05
    listed $139,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Come admire views of the Mississippi River & Target Field from your new home. One bedroom, one bathroom downtown living offers unsurpassed location along with exceptional amenities. Featuring pool, cabana, patios, grills, exercise rooms & 24 hr security.

  30. 2007-12-08
    historical
  31. 2007-05-08
    listed $129,800
  32. 1990-12-06
    soldstatus $37,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,127 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,127 · $177/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,279
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,127
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,942
− Management
−$1,942
− HOA
−$7,416
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$2,655
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$637
After-tax cash flow
$92/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minneapolis Public School District
NCES district ID
2721240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,521
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5067
State rank
#217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

Score
78/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minneapolis, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
417,555
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
11,816
Household income
$113,522
Rent vs Own
71.6% rent · 28.4% own
Severe rent burden
610.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 5%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.42%
Current HPI
233.936
Rent YoY
▲ 5.49%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+305.1% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $149,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Coming Soon $149,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $132,500 Public Records
  • 2021-12-03 Sold (MLS) $132,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-29 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-19 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-09 Price Changed $134,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-14 Price Changed $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-13 Price Changed $148,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-10 Listed $153,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
  • 2015-09-03 Sold (MLS) $133,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-08-12 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-08-06 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-17 Price Changed $136,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-05 Listed $139,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-12-08 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-05-08 Listed $129,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,127 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…