5346 JO St · Zephyrhills West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect for seasonal or year-round living in sunny Florida, this inviting 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is located in the desirable Betmar Acres active 55+ golf community, where you own the land and enjoy a low annual community fee of just $448. Designed for comfortable living, the home features a desirable split-bedroom floor plan and an open-concept layout between the kitchen and living room, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere. A versatile bonus room offers endless possibilities and could serve as a third bedroom, craft room, hobby space, or home office. Outside, you'll find exceptional storage and workspace options, including a large carport and spacious attached laundry area with p
Key facts
- Attached rear shed
- Large carport
- Versatile bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Senior community; Pets allowed
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee required); Monthly HOA approximately $37.33 (annual $448); Association approval required; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis, pickleball, basketball, shuffleboard, golf course/access, recreation facilities, trails, dog park, street lights; Community features include deed restrictions, golf carts allowed, buyer approval required, association recreation owned
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; 2-space carport
- Security: Community security
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One story; Faces west
- Construction: Metal siding; Membrane roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built in 1 building (single story)
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Storage shed(s); Level lot; Asphalt/paved road; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Wall/window AC unit(s)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Central vacuum; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Split bedroom floor plan; Thermostat; Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Outdoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $110k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.69%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $77,220
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5400 Amanda St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+2%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $156 | 84 |
| 37113 Lois Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+2%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $112 | 80 |
| 37112 Sandra Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 | 664 (+1%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $105 | 80 |
| 37137 Lois Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 | 684 (+4%) | 4mo | $66,000 | $96 | 78 |
| 37020 Lois Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-6%) | 2mo | $73,000 | $117 | 74 |
| 5241 Bolton Dr | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+2%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $119 | 70 |
| 37031 Karen Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 | 720 (+9%) | 1mo | $92,000 | $128 | 70 |
| 37302 Carol Ave | 0.25mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 684 (+4%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $80 | 67 |
| 5251 Flint St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (-9%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $208 | 66 |
| 5313 Aurora Dr | 0.64mi | 2/1.5 | 672 (+2%) | 4mo | $66,000 | $98 | 62 |
| 37042 Lois Ave | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 748 (+13%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $127 | 60 |
| 36416 Cordova Cir | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+2%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $89 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-5,853
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $373
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33542
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Rents YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,335 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,753/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$37
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $249
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5168 Crooked Ln Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,645 | $2.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5611 1st St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6302 Abbott Station Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 855 | $1,732 | $2.02 | 1d | 142 | 0.93mi |
| 38010 14th Ave Apt 3 Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 537 | $1,195 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4833 Royal Palm Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,090 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 38044 6th Ave Unit 38044 Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 494 | $950 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 37925 Date Palm Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,300 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5150 6th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $925 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5426 8th St #1 Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 432 | $1,150 | $2.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5208 7th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $950 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5214 7th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,100 | $2.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5214 7th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $950 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5206 7th St Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $950 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $37 · $444/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,753 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,753 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,016
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,753
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − HOA
- −$444
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,345
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,661/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills West
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #772
- US rank
- #17403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Zephyrhills West, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,612
- Household income
- $49,316
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 831.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.25%
- Current HPI
- 313.3993
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.56%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+423.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1979-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,753 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…