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209 Union Dr
D- Composite 39.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0

$165,000

209 Union Dr · Sulphur, OK 73086
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,620 sqft · Manufactured public records · 22 Days on market
Built 2017 10,716 sqft lot $50/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This beautiful home is in a nice gated community with a spectacular view of the fishing pond and breathtaking sunsets. With 3 beds and 2 baths there is plenty of room for everyone whether it is to live or vacation. There is 2 living rooms, so you will have plenty of space to entertain. The master bedroom is just off of the first living room. In this you will find an en-suite master bathroom with a walk in closet. Next, there is the beautiful open kitchen with an island that is perfect for serving during dinner parties. Just off the kitchen is the dining room with a beautiful chandelier. The 2nd living room is spacious and comes with an electric fireplace to make your movie nights extra cozy. Right off of the 2nd living room is the two bedrooms with a full bathroom in between. There is also a laundry room/ mudroom. Outside you will find your own private taste of happiness with a shed, storm shelter, and pergola to accentuate your own slice of heaven in your backyard.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Fenced yard
  • 0.25 acre lot

Tags

DOUBLE WIDE MOBILE HOMEOPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE FRONT COVERED DECKFENCED YARDUNDERGROUND STORM SHELTERNICE SIZED STORAGE BUILDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Below-ground storm shelter; Homestead eligible
  • Financial info: Loan financing available; Not assumable
  • HOA & community: Mandatory association dues; Association fee $594 (includes garbage, gated entry, common area maintenance, partial utilities)

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities:
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-level; North-facing; Residential property; Move-to-site (manufactured placement)
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Composition roof; Built on a conventional foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered porch; Outbuildings; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric range and oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Two living areas; No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Conventional foundation

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-145 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (15.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (28.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.4% in Sulphur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#60 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sulphur (town): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #56 of 270 in OK (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sulphur Es (419 students, 0% FRL); Sulphur Hs (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #67 of 447 statewide, top 16%, 436 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Murray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • Murray County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $132k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,816 (28.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.24%
Cash-on-cash
-3.76%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$37,441
Equity at exit
$102,694
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
3.54×
Total profit
$117,566
Equity at exit
$185,347

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73086

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,188 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,191/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$-145

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,371
Max offer price $139,450
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-51 -5% $-98 +0% $-145 +5% $-191 +10% $-238
Rent -10% $-238 -5% $-192 +0% $-145 +5% $-98 +10% $-51
Rate -1.0pp $-62 -0.5pp $-103 base $-145 +0.5pp $-187 +1.0pp $-231

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr
Likely covers
electricsecurity

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $165,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2025-09-14
    listed $175,000 Active
  17. 2025-09-11
    historical
  18. 2025-07-22
    price $179,000
  19. 2025-05-06
    price $199,000
  20. 2025-03-07
    listed $225,000 Active
  21. 2019-12-13
    soldstatus $132,000 980-char remark
    Show marketing remark (980 chars)

    This beautiful home is in a nice gated community with a spectacular view of the fishing pond and breathtaking sunsets. With 3 beds and 2 baths there is plenty of room for everyone whether it is to live or vacation. There is 2 living rooms, so you will have plenty of space to entertain. The master bedroom is just off of the first living room. In this you will find an en-suite master bathroom with a walk in closet. Next, there is the beautiful open kitchen with an island that is perfect for serving during dinner parties. Just off the kitchen is the dining room with a beautiful chandelier. The 2nd living room is spacious and comes with an electric fireplace to make your movie nights extra cozy. Right off of the 2nd living room is the two bedrooms with a full bathroom in between. There is also a laundry room/ mudroom. Outside you will find your own private taste of happiness with a shed, storm shelter, and pergola to accentuate your own slice of heaven in your backyard.

  22. 2019-12-13
    soldstatus $132,000
    Show marketing remark (980 chars)

    This beautiful home is in a nice gated community with a spectacular view of the fishing pond and breathtaking sunsets. With 3 beds and 2 baths there is plenty of room for everyone whether it is to live or vacation. There is 2 living rooms, so you will have plenty of space to entertain. The master bedroom is just off of the first living room. In this you will find an en-suite master bathroom with a walk in closet. Next, there is the beautiful open kitchen with an island that is perfect for serving during dinner parties. Just off the kitchen is the dining room with a beautiful chandelier. The 2nd living room is spacious and comes with an electric fireplace to make your movie nights extra cozy. Right off of the 2nd living room is the two bedrooms with a full bathroom in between. There is also a laundry room/ mudroom. Outside you will find your own private taste of happiness with a shed, storm shelter, and pergola to accentuate your own slice of heaven in your backyard.

  23. 2019-11-07
    listed $139,900 980-char remark
    Show marketing remark (980 chars)

    This beautiful home is in a nice gated community with a spectacular view of the fishing pond and breathtaking sunsets. With 3 beds and 2 baths there is plenty of room for everyone whether it is to live or vacation. There is 2 living rooms, so you will have plenty of space to entertain. The master bedroom is just off of the first living room. In this you will find an en-suite master bathroom with a walk in closet. Next, there is the beautiful open kitchen with an island that is perfect for serving during dinner parties. Just off the kitchen is the dining room with a beautiful chandelier. The 2nd living room is spacious and comes with an electric fireplace to make your movie nights extra cozy. Right off of the 2nd living room is the two bedrooms with a full bathroom in between. There is also a laundry room/ mudroom. Outside you will find your own private taste of happiness with a shed, storm shelter, and pergola to accentuate your own slice of heaven in your backyard.

  24. 2005-02-08
    soldstatus $35,000
  25. 2001-06-15
    soldstatus $6,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,191 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,485 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$294/yr (+$24/mo · 24.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,258
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,191
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,141
− Management
−$1,141
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$4,682
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,124
After-tax cash flow
$-612/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sulphur
NCES district ID
4029160
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,116
Composite
26.47/100
National rank
#7214
State rank
#56 of 270 in OK

Livability — Sulphur

Score
68/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#9249

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
8,504
Population (ZIP)
8,504

Population outlook (Murray County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,976 people
By 2030
15,487 · +3.4%
By 2040
16,455 · +9.9%
By 2050
17,308 · +15.6%
By 2075
19,421 · +29.7%
By 2100
20,335 · +35.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Two or more races 14% Native American 12% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Portuguese 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Murray

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.3) · D 18.4% · R 79.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.4pp · 2024: -61.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.3 2020: R+58.6 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+40.1 2008: R+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.90%
Current HPI
331.8646
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2816.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-14 Listed $175,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-09-11 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-22 Price Changed $179,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-05-06 Price Changed $199,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-03-07 Listed $225,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2019-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
  • 2019-12-13 Sold (MLS) $132,000 MLSOK
  • 2019-11-07 Listed $139,900 MLSOK
  • 2005-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2001-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+25.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,191 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…