🏷️ Likely Rental
5512 N Hartford Pl · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.3/10.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
$129,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTORS' DREAM OPPORTUNITY!! 4 BEDROOM 2 BATHROOM RENTED HOME. Tenant occupied by the same family for over 8 years. Current and leased at $ 1,250.00 per month; lease expires October 2026, family should sign a new lease in October. One-year-old A/C unit and air handler, the other A/C unit was new when the addition was added. The house has a current American Shield warranty. The roof is only 4 years old! The house has a full-service GENERATOR. 2 years ago, the kitchen was remodeled with a solid butcher-block counter; at the same time, the flooring was replaced with vinyl planks, except for the two small bedrooms and bathrooms. This solid brick home was a 3-bedroom 1-bath. The owner added a
Key facts
- Kitchen remodeled
- Vinyl plank flooring
- 7,200 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Generator; Gas water heater
- HOA & community: Gutter(s)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; High speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Rain gutters; Covered patio; Shed(s); Full fencing; Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, multiple units); Central air conditioning (two units)
- Interior features: Butcher block counters; High speed internet; Pullman bath; Cable TV; Ceiling fan(s); Programmable thermostat; Aluminum-framed windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $130k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.74%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $169,900
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5531 N Hartford Pl | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,585 (-7%) | 20mo | $158,000 | $100 | 65 |
| 877 E 52nd Pl | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-10%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $101 | 52 |
| 213 E 54th St N | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,564 (-8%) | 20mo | $100,000 | $64 | 38 |
| 643 E 51st Pl | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,454 (-14%) | 15mo | $130,000 | $89 | 36 |
| 505 E 48th Pl N | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,515 (-11%) | 14mo | $185,000 | $122 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-365
- Equity at exit
- $19,376
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $26,180
- Equity at exit
- $11,236
Cash invested: $36,386 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74126
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,397 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $512/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $326
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,488
- Closing costs
- $3,898
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5519 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 636 E 49th Pl N Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,000 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1553 E 53rd St N Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1645 E 54th St Tulsa, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,600 | $0.89 | 10d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6308 N Boulder Ave Unit A Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4430 N Main St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,950 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,950 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,950 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,950 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$129,950 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $512 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,170 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$658/yr (+$55/mo · 128.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,770
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,279
- − Property taxes
- −$512
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,342
- − Management
- −$1,342
- − Depreciation
- −$3,780
- Taxable income
- $1,865
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$448
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,461/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- County
- Osage County · 26,244 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,920
- Household income
- $42,172
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 417.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.45%
- Current HPI
- 253.7105
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+159.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $129,950 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-13 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $144,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $145,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $150,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-27 Listed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-03-23 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-03-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-03-21 Listed $45,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-03-15 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-12-29 Price Changed $45,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-09-22 Listed $50,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
-4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $512 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…