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5512 N Hartford Pl 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 66.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.3/10.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0

$129,950

5512 N Hartford Pl · Tulsa, OK 74126
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,699 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1961 7,200 sqft lot Est $170k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTORS' DREAM OPPORTUNITY!! 4 BEDROOM 2 BATHROOM RENTED HOME. Tenant occupied by the same family for over 8 years. Current and leased at $ 1,250.00 per month; lease expires October 2026, family should sign a new lease in October. One-year-old A/C unit and air handler, the other A/C unit was new when the addition was added. The house has a current American Shield warranty. The roof is only 4 years old! The house has a full-service GENERATOR. 2 years ago, the kitchen was remodeled with a solid butcher-block counter; at the same time, the flooring was replaced with vinyl planks, except for the two small bedrooms and bathrooms. This solid brick home was a 3-bedroom 1-bath. The owner added a

Key facts

  • Kitchen remodeled
  • Vinyl plank flooring
  • 7,200 sq ft lot

Tags

ONE YEAR OLD A C UNITFULL SERVICE GENERATORKITCHEN REMODELEDSOLID BUTCHER BLOCK COUNTERVINYL PLANK FLOORINGHUGE SPACIOUS MASTER BEDROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Generator; Gas water heater
  • HOA & community: Gutter(s)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; High speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Rain gutters; Covered patio; Shed(s); Full fencing; Mature trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, multiple units); Central air conditioning (two units)
  • Interior features: Butcher block counters; High speed internet; Pullman bath; Cable TV; Ceiling fan(s); Programmable thermostat; Aluminum-framed windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $129,950 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$169,900) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $326 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
  • Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $130k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,950

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.74%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$169,900
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5531 N Hartford Pl 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,585 (-7%) 20mo $158,000 $100 65
877 E 52nd Pl 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-10%) 9mo $155,000 $101 52
213 E 54th St N 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,564 (-8%) 20mo $100,000 $64 38
643 E 51st Pl 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,454 (-14%) 15mo $130,000 $89 36
505 E 48th Pl N 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,515 (-11%) 14mo $185,000 $122 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-365
Equity at exit
$19,376
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$26,180
Equity at exit
$11,236

Cash invested: $36,386 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74126

Home prices YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,397 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $512/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $985
Max offer price $129,950
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,488
Closing costs
$3,898
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5519 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,200 $1.12 21d 1 0.08mi
636 E 49th Pl N Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,000 $0.87 14d 1 0.53mi
1553 E 53rd St N Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 2d 1 0.87mi
1645 E 54th St Tulsa, OK 4.0 2.0 1800 $1,600 $0.89 10d 1 0.93mi
6308 N Boulder Ave Unit A Tulsa, OK 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 2d 1 1.09mi
4430 N Main St Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 2d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,950 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,950 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,950 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,950 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $129,950 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$512 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,170 · $97/mo
Expected delta
+$658/yr (+$55/mo · 128.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,770
− Mortgage interest
−$7,279
− Property taxes
−$512
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,342
− Management
−$1,342
− Depreciation
−$3,780
Taxable income
$1,865
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$448
After-tax cash flow
$3,461/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tulsa
NCES district ID
4030240
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$37,895
Composite
8.04/100
National rank
#9919
State rank
#250 of 270 in OK

Livability — Tulsa

Score
75/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#4058

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tulsa, OK
County
Osage County · 26,244 people
City population
389,418
Metro
Tulsa, OK
Population (ZIP)
9,920
Household income
$42,172
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
417.0

Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
723,846 people
By 2030
766,033 · +5.8%
By 2040
851,386 · +17.6%
By 2050
938,389 · +29.6%
By 2075
1,166,011 · +61.1%
By 2100
1,350,277 · +86.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Native American 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa

2024 margin
R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.45%
Current HPI
253.7105
Rent YoY
Metro
Tulsa, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+159.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $129,950 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-13 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $144,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $145,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $150,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-10-27 Listed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2016-03-23 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2016-03-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2016-03-21 Listed $45,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2016-03-15 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2015-12-29 Price Changed $45,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2015-09-22 Listed $50,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $512 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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