6132 Sherwood Ln · Denver, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE REDUCTION! MAKE THIS YOUR OWN! LAND IS HARD TO FIND this is a good chance to get your privacy yiu have been looking for! This home is located on a . 917/acre lot in Catawba Springs Township. This is in the Knottingham Forrest Subdivision. The roof and plumbing are brand new. The home features a split bedroom plan. Property also offers garage for storage. This is a good house for someone looking for privacy and a big yard.
Key facts
- Big yard
- .917 acre lot
- New plumbing
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway available
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system
- Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One story; Residential zoning (R-T)
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl exterior; Other foundation (see remarks)
- Exterior features: Dirt and gravel road access; Private maintained road (other - see remarks)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: One-level living; 1 total room
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $834 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 2.1% in Denver — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#255 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lincoln County Schools (rural): math 57% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #42 of 178 in NC (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Rock Springs Elementary (math 78% / reading 72%, grade A, #52 of 1,410 statewide, top 4%, 647 students, 22% FRL); North Lincoln High (math 75% / reading 74%, grade B+, #92 of 535 statewide, top 18%, 1,079 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools average 24% FRL vs 41% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 75% at this address vs 56% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lincoln County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 697 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $150k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.84%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $22,336
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $62,767
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28037
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,199 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $645/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $834
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $919 | -5% $877 | +0% $834 | +5% $792 | +10% $749 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $661 | -5% $747 | +0% $834 | +5% $921 | +10% $1,008 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $910 | -0.5pp $872 | base $834 | +0.5pp $795 | +1.0pp $756 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3860 Azalea Trl Denver, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 18d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3973 Huntington Ct Denver, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,495 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $150,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $160,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $195,000
-
2026-05-17price $200,000
-
2026-05-12price $210,000
-
2026-05-09price $220,000
-
2026-05-05price $230,000
-
2026-04-28$245,000 Active
-
2018-03-02soldstatus $30,000
-
1995-08-14soldstatus $68,500
-
1992-06-05soldstatus $52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $645 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,230 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$585/yr (+$49/mo · 90.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,387
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$645
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,111
- − Management
- −$2,111
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $8,004
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,921
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,090/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702680
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,203
- Composite
- 47.7/100
- National rank
- #2242
- State rank
- #42 of 178 in NC
Livability — Denver
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #11212
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Denver, NC
- County
- Lincoln County · 69,118 people
- City population
- 28,768
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,768
- Household income
- $111,703
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 546.0
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,972 people
- By 2030
- 89,467 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 93,107 · +7.1%
- By 2050
- 94,304 · +8.4%
- By 2075
- 95,190 · +9.4%
- By 2100
- 90,096 · +3.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.7) · D 26.8% · R 72.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.3pp · 2024: -45.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.7 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+38.9 2008: R+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.60%
- Current HPI
- 263.1328
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.26%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+271.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $195,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $200,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $210,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $220,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $230,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $245,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1995-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
- 1992-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $645 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…