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1602 Price St
B- Composite 67.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

1602 Price St · Rockford, IL 61103
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,710 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 1939 4,792 sqft lot Est $195k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a great opportunity for homeowners or investors. Situated on a corner lot with a fenced backyard, this charming property features beautiful hardwood floors, a front enclosed porch, and a partially finished lower level perfect for extra living space or storage. Built in 1939, the home spans over a manageable lot size with city water and sewer services. Heating is provided through forced air and natural gas. Although cooling is not currently installed, the property offers ample potential for upgrades. Located in District 205-RFD and close to parks, schools, and local amenities, this home is ready for its next owner.

Key facts

  • Front enclosed porch
  • City water
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED BACKYARDHARDWOOD FLOORSFRONT ENCLOSED PORCHPARTIALLY FINISHED LOWER LEVELCITY WATER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Shared driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; House
  • Construction: Below-grade finished area; Finished lower level present
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; 0.11-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Gas cooktop; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Wood-burning fireplace (2 total); Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 10 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $125k implies a 213% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.20%
Cash-on-cash
10.40%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,120
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1909 Price St 0.23mi 3/1.0 2,359 (-13%) 7mo $155,000 $66 62
917 Haskell Ave 0.54mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,700 (-0%) 9mo $86,000 $32 56
919 Garfield Ave 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,942 (+9%) 6mo $243,500 $83 53
1108 North Ave 0.30mi 4/1.0 (+1) 2,435 (-10%) 15mo $176,500 $72 52
1332 Camp Ave Ave 0.60mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,464 (-9%) 20mo $120,000 $49 30
206 Franklin Pl 0.66mi 4/3.0 (+1) 3,064 (+13%) 10mo $369,900 $121 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$7,164
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$67,964
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61103

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Rents YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,525 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,340/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,142
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $374 -5% $338 +0% $303 +5% $268 +10% $232
Rent -10% $182 -5% $243 +0% $303 +5% $363 +10% $423
Rate -1.0pp $366 -0.5pp $335 base $303 +0.5pp $271 +1.0pp $238

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    listed $124,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a great opportunity for homeowners or investors. Situated on a corner lot with a fenced backyard, this charming property features beautiful hardwood floors, a front enclosed porch, and a partially finished lower level perfect for extra living space or storage. Built in 1939, the home spans over a manageable lot size with city water and sewer services. Heating is provided through forced air and natural gas. Although cooling is not currently installed, the property offers ample potential for upgrades. Located in District 205-RFD and close to parks, schools, and local amenities, this home is ready for its next owner.

  2. 2026-05-21
    listed $124,900 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a great opportunity for homeowners or investors. Situated on a corner lot with a fenced backyard, this charming property features beautiful hardwood floors, a front enclosed porch, and a partially finished lower level perfect for extra living space or storage. Built in 1939, the home spans over a manageable lot size with city water and sewer services. Heating is provided through forced air and natural gas. Although cooling is not currently installed, the property offers ample potential for upgrades. Located in District 205-RFD and close to parks, schools, and local amenities, this home is ready for its next owner.

  3. 2025-12-26
    historical $1,355
  4. 2025-11-25
    listed $1,355
  5. 2025-11-01
    historical
  6. 2025-10-31
    historical
  7. 2025-10-31
    historical
  8. 2025-10-03
    price
  9. 2025-10-03
    price $114,900
  10. 2025-09-17
    listed Active
  11. 2025-09-12
    price $119,900
  12. 2025-09-12
    price
  13. 2025-05-26
    listed Active
  14. 2023-11-10
    historical $1,300
  15. 2023-09-27
    listed $1,300
  16. 2015-05-07
    soldstatus $39,900
  17. 2015-05-04
    soldstatus $39,900
  18. 2015-03-23
    listed $44,900
  19. 2015-03-17
    historical
  20. 2014-09-17
    listed New
  21. 2014-08-31
    historical
  22. 2014-04-15
    listed New
  23. 2012-10-30
    historical
  24. 2012-10-26
    listed New
  25. 1997-10-01
    soldstatus $56,500
  26. 1997-10-01
    soldstatus $56,500
  27. 1994-05-04
    soldstatus $49,000
  28. 1994-05-04
    soldstatus $49,000
  29. 1990-01-30
    soldstatus $39,000
  30. 1990-01-30
    soldstatus $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,340 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,588 · $216/mo
Expected delta
+$247/yr (+$21/mo · 10.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,304
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$2,340
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,464
− Management
−$1,464
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$1,781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$427
After-tax cash flow
$3,208/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
22,869
Household income
$51,161
Rent vs Own
48.4% rent · 51.6% own
Severe rent burden
1402.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 25% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.02%
Current HPI
215.8559
Rent YoY
▲ 8.11%
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+220.3% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $124,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $124,900 NWIAR
  • 2025-12-26 Rental Removed $1,355 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-11-25 Listed for Rent $1,355 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-11-01 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $114,900 NWIAR
  • 2025-09-17 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $119,900 NWIAR
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-26 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-10 Rental Removed $1,300 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-09-27 Listed for Rent $1,300 BUILDIUM
  • 2015-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
  • 2015-05-04 Sold (MLS) $39,900 NWIAR
  • 2015-03-23 Listed $44,900 NWIAR
  • 2015-03-17 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-17 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-08-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-15 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-30 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-26 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
  • 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
  • 1994-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1994-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1990-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
  • 1990-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,340 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…