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1011 Harrison Blv Harrison Blv Blvd
D+ Composite 45.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

1011 Harrison Blv Harrison Blv Blvd · Lincoln Park, MI 48146
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1946 5,227 sqft lot Est $186k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A fantastic opportunity in a highly sought-after Lincoln Park location! This bungalow features three bedrooms (plus an additional one in the basement) and two modern full bathrooms - one upstairs and one in the basement. It offers a comfortable layout comprising a living room, dining room, kitchen, and basement. The kitchen comes equipped with a refrigerator, gas stove, and range hood. The roof was replaced just two months ago. The home has been well-maintained and kept clean. Don't miss out on this opportunity!

Key facts

  • Comfortable layout
  • Refrigerator
  • Gas stove

Tags

LINCOLN PARK LOCATIONMODERN FULL BATHROOMSCOMFORTABLE LAYOUTREFRIGERATORGAS STOVERANGE HOOD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Built with an above-grade finished area of 956 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.12 acres (130 x 42)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (9.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,720 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Lincoln Park School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #440 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Earl F Carr School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #744 of 1,397 statewide, top 57%, 290 students, 90% FRL); Lincoln Park Middle School (math 12% / reading 35%, grade F, #399 of 493 statewide, top 81%, 1,105 students, 86% FRL); Lincoln Park High School (math 5% / reading 33%, grade F, #630 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 1,367 students, 79% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $185k implies a 561% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $167,336 (9.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.39%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$186,472
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1119 Harrison Blvd 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,145 (+0%) 1mo $179,900 $157 87
844 Harrison Blvd 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,210 (+6%) 3mo $170,000 $140 73
4137 Duplex Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+5%) 1mo $206,000 $172 68
673 Leblanc St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (-4%) 1mo $177,900 $163 66
1660 Goddard Rd 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,174 (+3%) 1mo $188,000 $160 62
13315 Birrell St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,130 (-1%) 3mo $135,000 $119 58
12984 Callender St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,108 (-3%) 1mo $203,500 $184 57
12813 Birrell St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (-8%) 2mo $212,000 $202 56
1072 11th St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,062 (-7%) 1mo $218,000 $205 56
1670 Michigan Blvd 0.68mi 4/1.0 1,211 (+6%) 4mo $189,000 $156 55
663 Highland Ave 0.63mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,200 (+5%) 3mo $195,000 $163 53
1429 12th St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,048 (-8%) 0mo $194,000 $185 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-20,608
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,438
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48146

Home prices YoY
-32.7%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,673 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,061/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,543
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $208 -5% $155 +0% $103 +5% $51 +10% $-2
Rent -10% $-29 -5% $37 +0% $103 +5% $169 +10% $235
Rate -1.0pp $196 -0.5pp $150 base $103 +0.5pp $55 +1.0pp $6

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1130 21st St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 864 $1,420 $1.64 0d 1 0.21mi
854 Harrison Blvd Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1410 $1,750 $1.24 45d 1 0.21mi
1163 17th St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,695 $1.68 45d 1 0.31mi
1650 19th St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,899 $1.73 19d 1 0.45mi
4163 Burns Ave Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 3d 1 0.70mi
13020 Pullman St Southgate, MI 4.0 1.0 1050 $1,550 $1.48 4d 1 0.83mi
357 Emmons Blvd Lincoln Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1268 $1,695 $1.34 0d 1 0.90mi
1159 McKinley St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,350 $1.29 0d 1 1.18mi
170 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,399 $1.30 4d 1 1.36mi
168 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,295 $1.20 6d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    remarks 515-char remark
  2. 2026-06-21
    listed $185,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,061 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,455 · $205/mo
Expected delta
+$394/yr (+$33/mo · 19.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 14% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,080
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,061
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,606
− Management
−$1,606
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$1,863
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$447
After-tax cash flow
$1,683/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln Park School District
NCES district ID
2621600
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,486
Composite
19.93/100
National rank
#8678
State rank
#440 of 540 in MI

Livability — Lincoln Park

Score
80/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1720

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lincoln Park, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
39,257
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,257
Household income
$58,616
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1142.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 17% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
222.8545
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+48.1% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-20 Listed $185,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-20 Listed $185,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-11-02 Sold (MLS) $28,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-11-02 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-09-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-09-23 Listed $26,500 REALCOMP
  • 2011-09-23 Listed $26,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
  • 2005-12-30 Sold (MLS) $125,500 REALCOMP
  • 2005-12-30 Sold (MLS) $125,500 REALCOMP
  • 2005-12-30 Sold (MLS) $125,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-12-30 Sold (MLS) $125,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-12-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-12-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-09-15 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-09-15 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-09-15 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-09-15 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,061 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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