1011 Harrison Blv Harrison Blv Blvd · Lincoln Park, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.14%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A fantastic opportunity in a highly sought-after Lincoln Park location! This bungalow features three bedrooms (plus an additional one in the basement) and two modern full bathrooms - one upstairs and one in the basement. It offers a comfortable layout comprising a living room, dining room, kitchen, and basement. The kitchen comes equipped with a refrigerator, gas stove, and range hood. The roof was replaced just two months ago. The home has been well-maintained and kept clean. Don't miss out on this opportunity!
Key facts
- Comfortable layout
- Refrigerator
- Gas stove
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Built with an above-grade finished area of 956 square feet
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.12 acres (130 x 42)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (9.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,720 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Lincoln Park School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #440 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Earl F Carr School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #744 of 1,397 statewide, top 57%, 290 students, 90% FRL); Lincoln Park Middle School (math 12% / reading 35%, grade F, #399 of 493 statewide, top 81%, 1,105 students, 86% FRL); Lincoln Park High School (math 5% / reading 33%, grade F, #630 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 1,367 students, 79% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $185k implies a 561% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.39%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $186,472
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1119 Harrison Blvd | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,145 (+0%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $157 | 87 |
| 844 Harrison Blvd | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,210 (+6%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $140 | 73 |
| 4137 Duplex Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+5%) | 1mo | $206,000 | $172 | 68 |
| 673 Leblanc St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-4%) | 1mo | $177,900 | $163 | 66 |
| 1660 Goddard Rd | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,174 (+3%) | 1mo | $188,000 | $160 | 62 |
| 13315 Birrell St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,130 (-1%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $119 | 58 |
| 12984 Callender St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,108 (-3%) | 1mo | $203,500 | $184 | 57 |
| 12813 Birrell St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (-8%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $202 | 56 |
| 1072 11th St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,062 (-7%) | 1mo | $218,000 | $205 | 56 |
| 1670 Michigan Blvd | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 | 1,211 (+6%) | 4mo | $189,000 | $156 | 55 |
| 663 Highland Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,200 (+5%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $163 | 53 |
| 1429 12th St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-8%) | 0mo | $194,000 | $185 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-20,608
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,438
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48146
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,673 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,061/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $208 | -5% $155 | +0% $103 | +5% $51 | +10% $-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-29 | -5% $37 | +0% $103 | +5% $169 | +10% $235 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $196 | -0.5pp $150 | base $103 | +0.5pp $55 | +1.0pp $6 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1130 21st St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,420 | $1.64 | 0d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 854 Harrison Blvd Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1163 17th St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,695 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1650 19th St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,899 | $1.73 | 19d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4163 Burns Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 13020 Pullman St Southgate, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,550 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 357 Emmons Blvd Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,695 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1159 McKinley St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 0d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 170 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,399 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 168 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 6d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-21remarks 515-char remark
-
2026-06-21$185,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,061 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,455 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- +$394/yr (+$33/mo · 19.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 14% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,080
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,061
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,606
- − Management
- −$1,606
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$1,863
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$447
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,683/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Park School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621600
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,486
- Composite
- 19.93/100
- National rank
- #8678
- State rank
- #440 of 540 in MI
Livability — Lincoln Park
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln Park, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 39,257
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,257
- Household income
- $58,616
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1142.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.25%
- Current HPI
- 222.8545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+48.1% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-20 Listed $185,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-20 Listed $185,000 REALCOMP
- 2011-11-02 Sold (MLS) $28,000 REALCOMP
- 2011-11-02 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-23 Listed $26,500 REALCOMP
- 2011-09-23 Listed $26,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
- 2005-12-30 Sold (MLS) $125,500 REALCOMP
- 2005-12-30 Sold (MLS) $125,500 REALCOMP
- 2005-12-30 Sold (MLS) $125,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-12-30 Sold (MLS) $125,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-12-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-12-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-09-15 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-09-15 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-09-15 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-09-15 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,061 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…