CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2276 Lodge Rd SW
D Composite 40.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

2276 Lodge Rd SW · Dellroy, OH 44675
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,350 sqft · Other · 73 Days on market
Built 1980 0.30 ac lot $133/sqft · 44% below area Est $323k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming and beautifully updated home located just across the street from Atwood Lake! This cozy yet functional property offers an open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this home combines comfort with modern updates throughout. Enjoy relaxing evenings by the fireplace or unwind in the enclosed porch with a partial lake view. The spacious two-car garage provides plenty of storage and convenience. Ideally situated near both Atwood Lake Marinas and the Atwood Yacht Club, you'll have easy access to boating, dining, and all the recreation the lake has to offer. With its prime location and appealing features, this property also offers excellent Airbnb or short-term rental potential. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or investment opportunity, this adorable home is a must-see!

Key facts

  • Partial lake view
  • Enclosed porch
  • Two-car garage

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTENCLOSED PORCHPARTIAL LAKE VIEWTWO-CAR GARAGEAIRBNB POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (14.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (24.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#955 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
  • Carrollton Exempted Village (town): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #419 of 656 in OH (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carroll County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $94k; list at $180k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $135,324 (24.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.13%
Cash-on-cash
-4.16%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$322,706
List price
$180,000
Delta
-44.22%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.3%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-40,286
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-49,339
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44675

Home prices YoY
-7.5%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,353 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$-175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,575
Max offer price $154,695
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-50 -5% $-113 +0% $-175 +5% $-237 +10% $-299
Rent -10% $-282 -5% $-228 +0% $-175 +5% $-121 +10% $-68
Rate -1.0pp $-84 -0.5pp $-129 base $-175 +0.5pp $-222 +1.0pp $-269

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $180,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $180,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $180,000 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 58 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $180,000 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-05-07
    price $180,000 879-char remark
    Show marketing remark (879 chars)

    Charming and beautifully updated home located just across the street from Atwood Lake! This cozy yet functional property offers an open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this home combines comfort with modern updates throughout. Enjoy relaxing evenings by the fireplace or unwind in the enclosed porch with a partial lake view. The spacious two-car garage provides plenty of storage and convenience. Ideally situated near both Atwood Lake Marinas and the Atwood Yacht Club, you'll have easy access to boating, dining, and all the recreation the lake has to offer. With its prime location and appealing features, this property also offers excellent Airbnb or short-term rental potential. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or investment opportunity, this adorable home is a must-see!

  18. 2026-04-07
    listed $190,000 Active 879-char remark
    Show marketing remark (879 chars)

    Charming and beautifully updated home located just across the street from Atwood Lake! This cozy yet functional property offers an open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this home combines comfort with modern updates throughout. Enjoy relaxing evenings by the fireplace or unwind in the enclosed porch with a partial lake view. The spacious two-car garage provides plenty of storage and convenience. Ideally situated near both Atwood Lake Marinas and the Atwood Yacht Club, you'll have easy access to boating, dining, and all the recreation the lake has to offer. With its prime location and appealing features, this property also offers excellent Airbnb or short-term rental potential. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or investment opportunity, this adorable home is a must-see!

  19. 2023-10-27
    soldstatus $94,500
  20. 2015-01-30
    historical
  21. 2014-08-15
    listed $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,239
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$2,700
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,299
− Management
−$1,299
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$5,279
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,267
After-tax cash flow
$-832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carrollton Exempted Village
NCES district ID
3904527
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,165
Composite
43.94/100
National rank
#2903
State rank
#419 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dellroy

Score
61/100
State rank
#955
US rank
#18425

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Carroll · 27,595 people
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
Population (ZIP)
2,255
Household income
$84,826
Rent vs Own
21.6% rent · 78.4% own
Severe rent burden
3.6

Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,766 people
By 2030
24,481 · -5.0%
By 2040
21,803 · -15.4%
By 2050
19,323 · -25.0%
By 2075
15,205 · -41.0%
By 2100
12,287 · -52.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carroll

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.7) · D 22.2% · R 77.0%
2008→2024 swing
-49.9pp toward R · 2008: -4.8pp · 2024: -54.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.7 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+13.7 2008: R+4.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.06%
Current HPI
223.5165
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+260.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $180,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $190,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $94,500 Public Records
  • 2015-01-30 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2014-08-15 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+42.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $142 · -18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…