2276 Lodge Rd SW · Dellroy, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and beautifully updated home located just across the street from Atwood Lake! This cozy yet functional property offers an open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this home combines comfort with modern updates throughout. Enjoy relaxing evenings by the fireplace or unwind in the enclosed porch with a partial lake view. The spacious two-car garage provides plenty of storage and convenience. Ideally situated near both Atwood Lake Marinas and the Atwood Yacht Club, you'll have easy access to boating, dining, and all the recreation the lake has to offer. With its prime location and appealing features, this property also offers excellent Airbnb or short-term rental potential. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or investment opportunity, this adorable home is a must-see!
Key facts
- Partial lake view
- Enclosed porch
- Two-car garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (14.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (24.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $135k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#955 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
- Carrollton Exempted Village (town): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #419 of 656 in OH (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carroll County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $94k; list at $180k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.16%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $322,706
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -44.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-40,286
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-49,339
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44675
- Home prices YoY
- -7.5%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $-175
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-50 | -5% $-113 | +0% $-175 | +5% $-237 | +10% $-299 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-282 | -5% $-228 | +0% $-175 | +5% $-121 | +10% $-68 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-84 | -0.5pp $-129 | base $-175 | +0.5pp $-222 | +1.0pp $-269 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $180,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $180,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $180,000 879-char remark
Show marketing remark (879 chars)
Charming and beautifully updated home located just across the street from Atwood Lake! This cozy yet functional property offers an open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this home combines comfort with modern updates throughout. Enjoy relaxing evenings by the fireplace or unwind in the enclosed porch with a partial lake view. The spacious two-car garage provides plenty of storage and convenience. Ideally situated near both Atwood Lake Marinas and the Atwood Yacht Club, you'll have easy access to boating, dining, and all the recreation the lake has to offer. With its prime location and appealing features, this property also offers excellent Airbnb or short-term rental potential. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or investment opportunity, this adorable home is a must-see!
-
2026-04-07$190,000 Active 879-char remark
Show marketing remark (879 chars)
Charming and beautifully updated home located just across the street from Atwood Lake! This cozy yet functional property offers an open-concept layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, this home combines comfort with modern updates throughout. Enjoy relaxing evenings by the fireplace or unwind in the enclosed porch with a partial lake view. The spacious two-car garage provides plenty of storage and convenience. Ideally situated near both Atwood Lake Marinas and the Atwood Yacht Club, you'll have easy access to boating, dining, and all the recreation the lake has to offer. With its prime location and appealing features, this property also offers excellent Airbnb or short-term rental potential. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, vacation home, or investment opportunity, this adorable home is a must-see!
-
2023-10-27soldstatus $94,500
-
2015-01-30historical
-
2014-08-15$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,239
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,299
- − Management
- −$1,299
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$5,279
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,267
- After-tax cash flow
- $-832/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carrollton Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904527
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,165
- Composite
- 43.94/100
- National rank
- #2903
- State rank
- #419 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dellroy
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #955
- US rank
- #18425
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Carroll · 27,595 people
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,255
- Household income
- $84,826
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.6
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,766 people
- By 2030
- 24,481 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 21,803 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 19,323 · -25.0%
- By 2075
- 15,205 · -41.0%
- By 2100
- 12,287 · -52.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.7) · D 22.2% · R 77.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -49.9pp toward R · 2008: -4.8pp · 2024: -54.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.7 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+13.7 2008: R+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.06%
- Current HPI
- 223.5165
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+260.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $180,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-07 Listed $190,000 MLSNOW
- 2023-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $94,500 Public Records
- 2015-01-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2014-08-15 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+42.2%/yrLatest (2025): $142 · -18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…